HillsdaleMIWeather Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 The cold front already being over the lake is wayyy ahead of schedule and is probably why the risk is a little less now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 Pretty lame so far. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 17 minutes ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said: The cold front already being over the lake is wayyy ahead of schedule and is probably why the risk is a little less now Yeah unfortunately this will be yet again another sando for Michigan. Best chances will be south and east. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 Nice 10 second 65mph sustained with that globular cluster that just went through. Not one lightning strike. Started having SE coastal living flashbacks lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 Yay my whole area is getting a tornado watch too. Was feeling left out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 Interesting observation in Rockwood MI wind blowing from the SE from Lake Erie atm wonder if that will impact anything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 54 minutes ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said: The cold front already being over the lake is wayyy ahead of schedule and is probably why the risk is a little less now Downdraft crapvection front. Real warm air got tackled on the 5 yard line and couldn’t get back up. Getting some flash flooding here. Entire lawn is a puddle. SE corner of the state has a chance. Maybe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 2 hours ago, WestMichigan said: Where were you in this area? Middleville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 Nice open area ahead of the main line I think the eastern counties of SE Michigan will get some goodies as stated above. 65/59 right now at my work site Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 21 minutes ago, frostfern said: Downdraft crapvection front. Real warm air got tackled on the 5 yard line and couldn’t get back up. Getting some flash flooding here. Entire lawn is a puddle. SE corner of the state has a chance. Maybe. To be honest my excitement is low for this one. Looks like some quick moving heavy rain with embedded thunder. The very SE counties might do better. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 Sun has actually came out here for the last 30 mins 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 Stood in the garage while the squall line came through. Winds gusted to about 40 mph. Heavy rain. Some good CG's. Nice spring storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torchageddon Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 Getting the 5th storm or more now, nothing wild just lightning with some CGs which is rare here. Still sitting at 8.4C but the T/dp spread is low (6C). I've never seen a setup like this in April here, one decent storm after another in succession with the atmosphere giving more than one might expect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 20 minutes ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said: Sun has actually came out here for the last 30 mins You certainly stand a good chance for a good one this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 1 minute ago, Harry Perry said: You certainly stand a good chance for a good one this afternoon. Some rotation starting to appear on the portion of the line near you rn in Marshall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 Bust impending for FWA. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 I wonder if the convection is mid Indiana will be the complex that effects the DTW area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 The radar is kind of a mess, with only 4 severe warnings in the country right now. I'm not used to temp of 77 with dew of 63. It's like insta-summer. I'm used to getting the first few 70 degree temps out West, not too long after snow, with a dew point of 20 and a view of the snowy mountains. The SPC really kind of busted with the Arkansas area yesterday, you know, like 100% bust when you look at this map. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 10 minutes ago, IWXwx said: Bust impending for many of us FYP... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 000 FXUS63 KIWX 051526 AFDIWX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Northern Indiana 1126 AM EDT Wed Apr 5 2023 An updated weather briefing has been published to depict a declining tornado and hail risk. Squall line that has moved in from the west has weakened and MUCAPE is declining. Cluster of storms moving through central IN will further muddy the waters so to speak. So, have removed the "kitchen sink" from the forecast grids and have instead offered damaging wind as the primary threat, should convection become reinvigorated with pockets of clearing noted on satellite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nvck Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 tor warn (pink) in Central IN , rotation not super obvious though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 The HRRR was right last night, for the most part anyway. Looked like a hot mess for this morning and the hot mess transpired. I expected storms later on today so I took it upon myself to take advantage of the warm temps to epoxy paint my enclosed trailer floor thinking, “oh I have a few hours before the rain”… I’ll tell you all one thing, don’t. At least don’t believe the radar when it looks like you’ll have an hour before the rain begins; because surprise! Sideways rain and 40mph wind 5 minutes later from a rogue cell the developed in one scan. What. A. Mess. Epoxy everywhere, chips all over the yard. Standing water 3” deep in my backyard (where the trailer is currently parked). Today, in all… a huge shit sandwich. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 Outbreak cancel. Y’all should be used to this in Michigan though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 58 minutes ago, Chinook said: The radar is kind of a mess, with only 4 severe warnings in the country right now. I'm not used to temp of 77 with dew of 63. It's like insta-summer. I'm used to getting the first few 70 degree temps out West, not too long after snow, with a dew point of 20 and a view of the snowy mountains. The SPC really kind of busted with the Arkansas area yesterday, you know, like 100% bust when you look at this map. Quincy in the Central States forum brought up the possibility of a 'CAP Bust' on Sunday or Monday for yesterday, the NAMs hinted at it. Loaded gun forecast soundings but the trigger was never pulled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
largetornado Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 Silly hobby 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 Now there are have peak winds gusts of 47mph at Defiance without thunderstorms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 A glorious bust 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 Calling my back yard will be in the gap with the next wave going just to my south edit: probably just your garden variety showers. Was hoping the two lines would connect 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 46 minutes ago, Chargers09 said: Outbreak cancel. Y’all should be used to this in Michigan though. I'm all for severe weather out in open fields in Iowa, but I'll never understand why people want severe weather in their backyards and homes. As far as today goes, front sped up, less time for atmosphere to get juiced for metro detroit. It's always something on this side of the state for storms lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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