SolidIcewx Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 Just some showers here. Glad to see a nice precip hole this morning hoping for some big Tstorms today. Sucks the timeframe seems 11-5pm and that’s when I’m doing some running around hope it holds off till I’m home Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 Large tornado PDS warning in n/c AR near Franklin not far south of MO border. This is rather odd ... 3-18-1925, 4-3-1974, 2023. I suppose one might want to circle the 19th on one's calendar. Have to say, the trailing wave feature on this is taking a similar track to the 1925 event which ran about 150 miles south of the 1974 low (which in turn was a bit south of this one, at 21z on Apr 3 1974 there was a 986 mb low near Keokuk IA). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 u still using jupiter's moons and shit to make your forecasts, roger? 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 Sure am, they were in the prime position overnight. And I think one day science will catch up. There has been a lot of work done by other researchers in curved bands within the solar system magnetic field, the only difference in my research is that I co-locate these with Jupiter and to some extent other planets. And if there are powerful signals involved, then moons of those planets would modulate the signals. I have no expectation of recognition of these theories in my lifetime, the over/under on when it will be recognized is about 2400-2700 AD and it would take somebody with a better designed career path than mine, I have been more or less blacklisted (for other reasons) since 1980. And I used to care about that but I don't now as my life has been splendid and I have done everything I wanted to do and a lot more. So whether people believe me or not is the least of my concerns or worries. I might add that the elites running our world are not exactly showing themselves to be an infallible brain trust but that's not my problem at age 74. Well 73.9 getting ahead of the curve there. (People may be confused by this exchange and I don't want to derail the thread given that a very dangerous severe weather potential exists for a large part of the forum, so I would just say the key point is that a lot of severe weather outbreaks show a strong correlation with times where Jupiter's magnetic field would be at a peak state of disturbance, and this happens at predictable times that are roughly 3.5 days apart and which peak in cycles of 435 days, which being longer than an earth year by about 20% means that roughly every five years the peak coincides with the spring months. However it would also be relevant to locate the earth's orbital position relative to the curved portions of the solar system magnetic field, so it's not as simple as saying there is a five year cycle of severe weather events ... I will leave it at that, my interest in severe weather is otherwise conventional and therefore this is seen as being a theory under development while I do normal meteorology). The dynamics of this system are pretty impressive whether it has anything to do with solar system magnetic fields or not. 6 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 cool 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 Maybe it would be good to speed up that timetable, figure out a way of modulating this energy, so we don't get tornadoes any more. I will say 3200-3700 AD for that one. And I am not optimistic we will still be around then at this rate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mogget Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 Solid t-storm here at about 5:45. I enjoyed waking up to it but the dog not so much, poor guy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 Those isolated storms before the main ingredients move in are already packing a punch. Dangerous day ahead. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 21 minutes ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said: Those isolated storms before the main ingredients move in are already packing a punch. Dangerous day ahead. I look forward to it. My boss is sending the crew home at noon they don’t want us outside 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 It's your moment michigan 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 Got woken up by an unexpected tornado warning for mby with the line coming though. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 Woke up to a severe warning around 4am. Had 50mph winds for a brief bit, picked up another 0.27". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 9 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: It's your moment michigan 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 4 minutes ago, Powerball said: We will see. The Lions are doing better so that’s a good sign right? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 14 minutes ago, SolidIcewx said: We will see. The Lions are doing better so that’s a good sign right? It's a sad day when the Lions are our best pro team 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 Got 10 seconds of sun this morning so I’m expecting an EF-4 by noon, but in all seriousness waking up to 70° feels like mid-summer here this morning. Lots of crap-vection going on just to my west, have a feeling that’s going to set the stage for outflow boundaries later on however I think the best shot at severe or tornadoes specifically with discrete-sup’s will end up being Coldwater/Jackson/Lansing and east. I believe St. Joeseph/Calhoun county will be a little too close to the worked over atmosphere from this morning for anything major. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 I wonder what that area of convection is going to do as it works NE from SW Indiana Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 10 hours ago, frostfern said: I chased that elevated supercell about 30 minutes south of my house and barely reached shelter before hail up to golf ball size hit. Nothing like sitting in the driving range! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IjzXVitHSk8 Where were you in this area? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magoos0728 Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 More hail in Arlington Heights. What the hail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 50 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: It's your moment michigan Hey, I'm in that box too. Too hell with Jupiters magno rings Quantum entanglement is forecasting a big dog here. My fishing reel looks like Phyllis Diller's hair and I'm sick of messing with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 It’s certainly odd getting most of the severe weather of the day in the morning. A cell to my southwest went warned for ping pong ball size hail. At this point I think we may get some spin ups along the squall line but I don’t know that we’ll get an outbreak. It felt nice to let the dogs out in shorts and a tshirt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 1 minute ago, sbnwx85 said: It’s certainly odd getting most of the severe weather of the day in the morning. A cell to my southwest went warned for ping pong ball size hail. At this point I think we may get some spin ups along the squall line but I don’t know that we’ll get an outbreak. It felt nice to let the dogs out in shorts and a tshirt. You dress up your dogs? 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 Waiting for that Tornado Watch, wonder when they're gonna do it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaveNay Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 Storm damage from the 6am line through southern DeKalb County. Mother in law is also reporting some siding damage in Sycamore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 8 minutes ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said: Waiting for that Tornado Watch, wonder when they're gonna do it Applied just as the HRRR now puts a big 0 QPF IMBY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King James Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 Power out in Eastern IKK. Couple utility poles down from those storms that popped up ahead of the front around 630am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 Watch has been issued Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 Goodbye 10% sig, we hardly knew thee 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 6 minutes ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said: Goodbye 10% sig, we hardly knew thee All it takes is one 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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