donsutherland1 Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 Reminder that beyond about 2 weeks, extended range models have little skill. In just one day, here's how the ECMWF weeklies changed for the January 1-8, 2024 timeframe. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 Just a heads up for contest entrants, 30 days hath Nov ... and it's a wrap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 1, 2023 Share Posted December 1, 2023 On 11/8/2023 at 10:32 PM, donsutherland1 said: Annual public service announcement: Beware of long-range maps (especially those calling for cold and snow) and proclamations of imminent sudden or major stratospheric warming events on social media. Beyond two weeks, the maps have little skill. Beyond 7-10 days, forecasts for stratospheric warming events also have low skill. The final map. Cold anomalies were widespread, but the coldest anomalies were centered in the Plains States westward not the Southeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 2, 2023 Share Posted December 2, 2023 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 3, 2023 Share Posted December 3, 2023 Oof FSU @BxEngine 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 3, 2023 Share Posted December 3, 2023 Also Georgia lost 1 game by 3 points after winning 29 straight and 2 national championships also not in. Wild stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 3, 2023 Share Posted December 3, 2023 8 minutes ago, Rjay said: Also Georgia lost 1 game by 3 points after winning 29 straight and 2 national championships also not in. Wild stuff. Thankfully it's the last year of this 4 team nonsense 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted December 3, 2023 Author Share Posted December 3, 2023 29 minutes ago, Rjay said: Oof FSU @BxEngine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted December 3, 2023 Share Posted December 3, 2023 2 hours ago, Rjay said: Oof FSU @BxEngine FSU has good D but if they played the other teams that made it they would get destroyed IMO. It was ugly the last 2 games watching FSU's offense try to move the ball. At least next year 12 teams are in the field, so this theoretically doesn't happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 3, 2023 Share Posted December 3, 2023 18 minutes ago, uofmiami said: FSU has good D but if they played the other teams that made it they would get destroyed IMO. It was ugly the last 2 games watching FSU's offense try to move the ball. At least next year 12 teams are in the field, so this theoretically doesn't happen. I agree but leaving them out after they did everything they were supposed to do is rough. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted December 3, 2023 Share Posted December 3, 2023 Unusual larger explosive event from Marapi today (not to be confused with Mt Merapi). This volcano doesn’t normally do eruptions like this, large for the volcano and notable on a yearly basis, but not large large. https://watchers.news/2023/12/03/high-level-eruption-at-marapi-volcano-ash-to-15-km-50-000-feet-a-s-l-indonesia/ Very photogenic eruption column. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted December 4, 2023 Author Share Posted December 4, 2023 Thats IrishRob after 3 Heady toppers and a taco bell run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 4, 2023 Share Posted December 4, 2023 2 hours ago, BxEngine said: Thats IrishRob after 3 Heady toppers and a taco bell run. I found out about an hour ago that apparently Texas bbq has a similar effect… 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted December 4, 2023 Share Posted December 4, 2023 15 hours ago, Volcanic Winter said: Unusual larger explosive event from Marapi today (not to be confused with Mt Merapi). This volcano doesn’t normally do eruptions like this, large for the volcano and notable on a yearly basis, but not large large. https://watchers.news/2023/12/03/high-level-eruption-at-marapi-volcano-ash-to-15-km-50-000-feet-a-s-l-indonesia/ Very photogenic eruption column. 2 hours ago, BxEngine said: Thats IrishRob after 3 Heady toppers and a taco bell run. If that’s the case, Rob will have to go solo for awhile. As always ….. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted December 4, 2023 Author Share Posted December 4, 2023 46 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: I found out about an hour ago that apparently Texas bbq has a similar effect… The pics looked nice tho lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 5, 2023 Share Posted December 5, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 5, 2023 Share Posted December 5, 2023 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted December 5, 2023 Share Posted December 5, 2023 that's no fun 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 7, 2023 Share Posted December 7, 2023 BAM! weather! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 7, 2023 Share Posted December 7, 2023 13 hours ago, forkyfork said: BAM! weather! BAM! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 7, 2023 Share Posted December 7, 2023 Join News12 Long Island a freelance Meteorologist/Weather Presenter! Elevate weather information across platforms with clarity and engagement. Bring your passion for meteorology and shape the ultimate viewer experience! Details here: #WeatherPresenter https://www.mediabistro.com/jobs/altice-usa/job/107104719-meteorologist-freelance?fbclid=IwAR0Lr8MG0eIdYhf4Qxpttz196nYvj64fkrUi77-JVmz_pZvWvvi0D-aGMbo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted December 7, 2023 Share Posted December 7, 2023 4 hours ago, Stormlover74 said: Join News12 Long Island a freelance Meteorologist/Weather Presenter! Elevate weather information across platforms with clarity and engagement. Bring your passion for meteorology and shape the ultimate viewer experience! Details here: #WeatherPresenter https://www.mediabistro.com/jobs/altice-usa/job/107104719-meteorologist-freelance?fbclid=IwAR0Lr8MG0eIdYhf4Qxpttz196nYvj64fkrUi77-JVmz_pZvWvvi0D-aGMbo Awesome, that was my dream as kid, but I do not have the math skills for a meteorology degree. It’s basically a math degree. I was able to pull off a bs In economics however. And that degree tells me, that, the salary sucks. Who can afford to live on Long Island with that salary range. (Not putting anyone down if you make less then that) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vegan_edible Posted December 7, 2023 Share Posted December 7, 2023 3 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Awesome, that was my dream as kid, but I do not have the math skills for a meteorology degree. It’s basically a math degree. I was able to pull off a bs In economics however. And that degree tells me, that, the salary sucks. Who can afford to live on Long Island with that salary range. (Not putting anyone down if you make less then that) been recently thinking i should go back to school and try studying meteorology. facing the world with a degree in photography is kinda tricky. then i remembered i absolutely suck at math. dream, out the window Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted December 7, 2023 Share Posted December 7, 2023 19 minutes ago, vegan_edible said: been recently thinking i should go back to school and try studying meteorology. facing the world with a degree in photography is kinda tricky. then i remembered i absolutely suck at math. dream, out the window That’s the thing, your going past Calc 3, and into the world of differential equations and discrete math. My roommate in college was a math wiz and couldn’t handle discrete math. It’s when the formulas fill the blackboard. That’s really what it takes for a meteo degree. Personally I think it’s super archaic. Understanding the bigger picture should be what it takes, not doing equations with a slide rule. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Intensewind002 Posted December 7, 2023 Share Posted December 7, 2023 12 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: That’s the thing, your going past Calc 3, and into the world of differential equations and discrete math. My roommate in college was a math wiz and couldn’t handle discrete math. It’s when the formulas fill the blackboard. That’s really what it takes for a meteo degree. Personally I think it’s super archaic. Understanding the bigger picture should be what it takes, not doing equations with a slide rule. I was taking diff eq for the first time this fall… not fun (at least for me), especially when you don’t have the greatest professor, I had to withdraw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 7, 2023 Share Posted December 7, 2023 On 12/3/2023 at 12:29 PM, Rjay said: Oof FSU @BxEngine I was actually in the Gaylord Texan on Sunday morning, not as part of the CFP Committee clearly but to see ‘ICE featuring The Grinch’ which was pretty incredible, just google it but I digress. While walking through the place we came across two women decked out in FSU gear with signs and everything. I asked them if they were related to @BxEngine to which I got blank stares and “Who?” My wife then reminded me that we had tickets for the ICE thing and we didn’t have time to find out if some ladies were related to that weenie. GO IRISH! Who have essentially no receivers for the bowl game… 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted December 8, 2023 Share Posted December 8, 2023 Found a couple inches of snow today in the Catskills, but had to go pretty high for it. https://www.instagram.com/p/C0kjUXSJCls/?igshid=MzRlODBiNWFlZA== 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Star Posted December 8, 2023 Share Posted December 8, 2023 20 hours ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: That’s the thing, your going past Calc 3, and into the world of differential equations and discrete math. My roommate in college was a math wiz and couldn’t handle discrete math. It’s when the formulas fill the blackboard. That’s really what it takes for a meteo degree. Personally I think it’s super archaic. Understanding the bigger picture should be what it takes, not doing equations with a slide rule. I was horrible at math and had to take remedial math in college, but made it through Calc 4. I think the multiple blackboard equations were not necessary. If you wanted to advance the science, then yes, or if you wanted to program for the models. My head spun for sure, but luckily, many of my professors could notice that glazed look and call on me to bring me back in. I didn't stay in the field long because I didn't want to work nights for minimal pay or have to work for free for over a year as an intern. One of my professors suggested to the class to minor in meteorology, as the field was pretty small and not well paying for the effort in education. He did not last too long after that, but was a heckuva synoptic meteorologist! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 I noticed this nicely blooming plant behind a row house fence Christmas lights. It’s December 9th, some roses are still blooming but this impressed me. To me it looks like some type of Camilla. Perhaps confused by our North Mid Atlantic December, thinking it was a South Mid Atlantic March. Maybe Don or any flora aficionado member can enlighten me. Thank you and stay well everyone. As always …. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 Last call for two snowfall contests (deadlines for both are end of Sunday 10th): (1) On our site, in general interest forum, you can enter a nine-location snowfall contest in the Dec 2023 contest thread. (2) At link below, you can enter 25th annual northeast US snowfall contest for 25 locations in the eastern US, as well as storm forecast contests announced on site when available... http://newxsfc.blogspot.com Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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