Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,609
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    NH8550
    Newest Member
    NH8550
    Joined

Extended summer stormlover74 future snow hole banter thread 23


BxEngine
 Share

Recommended Posts

Post on a neighborhood forum:

“OK...SERIOUSLY!!! I just saw the car-sized drone fly over my house in White Plains, NY. I am close to the corner of Davis Avenue and Prospect Street. It had red flashing lights, and was making a pretty loud humming sound.”

Little does he know, there’s a drone base aka Westchester County Airport, nearby.

 

  • Haha 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

30 minutes ago, Eduardo said:

 

 

 

Thanks so much everyone!  We’ve been up there a few times and it’s become our wintertime happy place.  As weenied out as I was (it snowed almost the entire time we were there), I don’t think city folk like us could ever make the move—though I definitely understand the appeal.

Beautiful, picturesque town with some incredibly lovely people and excellent though.  Can’t recommend it highly enough!

Congratulations! -11 there last night, just a little(way) too nippy for me. If it's so cold out you can't enjoy the snow that's another bummer. Closest I've ever been to there is Lake George. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, donsutherland1 said:

Post on a neighborhood forum:

“OK...SERIOUSLY!!! I just saw the car-sized drone fly over my house in White Plains, NY. I am close to the corner of Davis Avenue and Prospect Street. It had red flashing lights, and was making a pretty loud humming sound.”

Little does he know, there’s a drone base aka Westchester County Airport, nearby.

 

 

nothingtosee-here.jpg

Link to comment
Share on other sites

12 hours ago, jm1220 said:

Congratulations! -11 there last night, just a little(way) too nippy for me. If it's so cold out you can't enjoy the snow that's another bummer. Closest I've ever been to there is Lake George. 

Thank you so much, fellow Bill Evans board OG :).

No doubt the coldest place I’ve ever been, but I absolutely love it.  Also, just another reason to get cozy while inside.  I would def recommend driving an extra hour north from Lake George to see it!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Thank you so much, fellow Bill Evans board OG .
No doubt the coldest place I’ve ever been, but I absolutely love it.  Also, just another reason to get cozy while inside.  I would def recommend driving an extra hour north from Lake George to see it!

Oh man, Bill Evans board! That was great. I loved when he called the February 2003 storm.


.
Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 12/8/2024 at 5:04 PM, donsutherland1 said:

The last 7-10 days of December has remained a question mark. The 12/7 ECMWF weeklies were close to normal in the eastern half of the CONUS/Canada and warm in the western half. The  CFSv2 was warmer than normal across almost all of North America.

Nevertheless, some accounts on Social Media were spiking the proverbial football this afternoon for a much colder pattern even before anything had actually verified. Meanwhile, less than an hour after the festivities celebrating a dramatic turn toward a colder pattern for the Christmas/Hanukkah holiday had gotten underway, the ECMWF weeklies attempted to take away the punch bowl.

Let's have a look:

ECMWF 12/7 Run for 12/23-30:

webp-worker-commands-5c7bc9b8bc-wc6k2-6fe5cac1a363ec1525f54343b6cc9fd8-2u8wzr85.thumb.webp.2d68a1f3a5f5438fd9f87b60e8b95dcd.webp

ECMWF 12/8 Run for 12/23-30:

webp-worker-commands-5c7bc9b8bc-zbqlr-6fe5cac1a363ec1525f54343b6cc9fd8-i9zu0qcc.thumb.webp.afee6c31b475f6131d0cab68b7b85192.webp

And how about for the following week?

ECMWF 12/7 Run for 12/30-1/6:

webp-worker-commands-5c7bc9b8bc-zbqlr-6fe5cac1a363ec1525f54343b6cc9fd8-c7p8odwt.thumb.webp.3cc6224f49f6dba01ed8e395dc1ece00.webp

ECMWF 12/8 Run for 12/30-1/6:

webp-worker-commands-5c7bc9b8bc-8gq4c-6fe5cac1a363ec1525f54343b6cc9fd8-tgw1vvuh.thumb.webp.f37d48b8a929e64663e06baef3b0acd2.webp

In reality, nothing much has changed in the larger forecasting scheme since the 0z runs. Some of the guidance has shifted colder, but the ECMWF weeklies went in the opposite direction. All of that could be noise prior to the models ultimately coming into agreement. All said, there's no major reason to move away from the idea that it could turn colder during the closing days of the month, while respecting that there is uncertainty concerning the timing of any shift should it occur.

IMO, until there is sustained model commitment in one direction or the other, one should avoid prematurely verifying forecasts that may yet fail to verify. It's better to allow the passage of some time to get things right than to pre-verify an outcome that might never actually occur.

 

Don 12/16/24 I stopped by my sister’s house in Bay Ridge Brooklyn. I paused as I stared at the Camilla I planted 60 years ago. It was blooming. The house is old porch style detached on a 40 by 100 plot with towering sycamores on the curb. Granted it’s a Southern exposure but still ….. Stay well, as always.

 

IMG_0672.jpeg

IMG_0674.jpeg

IMG_0673.jpeg

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

24 minutes ago, rclab said:

Don 12/16/24 I stopped by my sister’s house in Bay Ridge Brooklyn. I paused as I stared at the Camilla I planted 60 years ago. It was blooming. The house is old porch style detached on a 40 by 100 plot with towering sycamores on the curb. Granted it’s a Southern exposure but still ….. Stay well, as always.

 

IMG_0672.jpeg

IMG_0674.jpeg

IMG_0673.jpeg

This is happening more and more frequently as winters continue to warm. The Arctic shot next weekend/early next week will probably bring an end to the blooms.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 hours ago, donsutherland1 said:

This is happening more and more frequently as winters continue to warm. The Arctic shot next weekend/early next week will probably bring an end to the blooms.

 

3 hours ago, STORMANLI said:

rclab,

You may have a market to compete with Christmas contemporaries like Poinsettias.

The Christmas Camilla

Stay well

Don I see anomalous blooming with greater frequency. Apparently well defined blooming seasons are also becoming rare on the coastal plain. 

Thank you STORMANLI my sister will enjoy your suggestion.


Stay well, as always …

 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

12 hours ago, North and West said:

I think some people (including myself) said this last season, but people are really taking the withdrawal and reversion to the mean recently from all of those great snowy years hard.

giphy.gif


.

Yeah we are all feeling it, though at least we’ve had some cold this year rather than the persistent wintertime swampiness to which we’ve become accustomed these past few years.  I actually think we are near—if not slightly past—the worst of the famine though.  Although I generally am in the camp that, over the long term, the trend is toward lower average snowfall, I think we snow lovers have some better times ahead over the next few years—and maybe even some favorable periods this winter if things shake out the right way—as we hopefully finish up this “downward spike” in seasonal snowfall.

  • Like 1
  • Confused 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Yeah we are all feeling it, though at least we’ve had some cold this year rather than the persistent wintertime swampiness to which we’ve become accustomed these past few years.  I actually think we are near—if not slightly past—the worst of the famine though.  Although I generally am in the camp that, over the long term, the trend is toward lower average snowfall, I think we snow lovers have some better times ahead over the next few years—and maybe even some favorable periods this winter if things shake out the right way—as we hopefully finish up this “downward spike” in seasonal snowfall.

Agreed


.
Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 12/15/2024 at 9:01 PM, Rjay said:

Screenshot_20241215_210057_YouTube.jpg

What is this implying? That the Bahamas will see a several inches of snow too, and even Aruba should see at least a coating?

He's the worst weather clickbait channel on youtube. He keeps doing it because it's profitable. People want snow, and someone will step in to fill the demand for lies. Even if, right now, there's a better chance of something happening within the next 10 days, the clown's been doing this -at least- ever since he started popping up in my feed in mid-august.

  • Like 1
  • 100% 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

What is this implying? That the Bahamas will see a several inches of snow too, and even Aruba should see at least a coating?

He's the worst weather clickbait channel on youtube. He keeps doing it because it's profitable. People want snow, and someone will step in to fill the demand for lies. Even if, right now, there's a better chance of something happening within the next 10 days, the clown's been doing this -at least- ever since he started popping up in my feed in mid-august.

Market demand. You cannot escape economic incentives. It’s why black markets exists.

Nature abhors a vacuum, et. al.


.
  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, jaysoner said:

What is this implying? That the Bahamas will see a several inches of snow too, and even Aruba should see at least a coating?

He's the worst weather clickbait channel on youtube. He keeps doing it because it's profitable. People want snow, and someone will step in to fill the demand for lies. Even if, right now, there's a better chance of something happening within the next 10 days, the clown's been doing this -at least- ever since he started popping up in my feed in mid-august.

His goober sounding voice is exactly what I’d expect a massive :weenie: would sound like. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 12/17/2024 at 9:25 AM, Eduardo said:

Yeah we are all feeling it, though at least we’ve had some cold this year rather than the persistent wintertime swampiness to which we’ve become accustomed these past few years.  I actually think we are near—if not slightly past—the worst of the famine though.  Although I generally am in the camp that, over the long term, the trend is toward lower average snowfall, I think we snow lovers have some better times ahead over the next few years—and maybe even some favorable periods this winter if things shake out the right way—as we hopefully finish up this “downward spike” in seasonal snowfall.

Unfortunately the weather isn’t forecasted based on “feelings”

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...