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2023-2024 Winter/ENSO Disco


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11 hours ago, stadiumwave said:

Paul is an absolute giant of an expert. His peer-reviwed paper on this is in 2nd tweet:

 

Dr. Roundy is a good friend of mine. We spoke yesterday afternoon. It's difficult to reach him lol. He told me that it will be very interesting with not many analogs to look at and with so many competing forces this winter. The pdo will probably trend less negative as winter approaches. He said definitely a trend west which is atypical of niños and probably not as west as 2015-16 but he said still too early to know for sure. 

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22 hours ago, Itryatgolf70 said:

Dr. Roundy is a good friend of mine. We spoke yesterday afternoon. It's difficult to reach him lol. He told me that it will be very interesting with not many analogs to look at and with so many competing forces this winter. The pdo will probably trend less negative as winter approaches. He said definitely a trend west which is atypical of niños and probably not as west as 2015-16 but he said still too early to know for sure. 

Any insight on whether or not he will allow the restraining order on@snowman19to expire?

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1 hour ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Fish

I'm just posting. Don’t care about the LR stuff (though I recognize and value the contributions of folks like Ray and Raindance)

 

He don't seem to realize that the sample size for this is almost non existent to really compare anything to, except 1876 from what I've gathered. This winter may ultimately be warm, but imo it's still too early to guarantee anything because of the uniqueness moving forward of so many factors

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1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

More bad news for those hoping/ calling for big winter 

https://x.com/ericfisher/status/1709300382361403646?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

Is actually a good sign. Last year at this time there were all these calls that went to was going to be amazing. I'm just about everyone. I think we all went into December thinking this is going to be epic and it turned out to be a big weenie dud. So I'm going with a better winter. Plus, this whole super Nina thing, I'm not sure that's happening. Moderate at best.

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