CoastalWx Posted August 25, 2023 Share Posted August 25, 2023 55 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I’m shocked you feel this way. Also strong Ninos aren’t good for the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted August 26, 2023 Share Posted August 26, 2023 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Also strong Ninos aren’t good for the coast. I thought this wasn’t typically behaving like one? If it’s that strong, congrats PF 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted August 26, 2023 Share Posted August 26, 2023 5 hours ago, CoastalWx said: I feel like an interior winter maybe. I feel like an average winter maybe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted August 26, 2023 Share Posted August 26, 2023 30 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I thought this wasn’t typically behaving like one? If it’s that strong, congrats PF It’s too early to know…it’s still august. Let’s see where we end up come early December? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 26, 2023 Share Posted August 26, 2023 5 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: I feel like an average winter maybe. I'm feeling a Mid Atlantic winter Sadly 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted August 26, 2023 Share Posted August 26, 2023 4 minutes ago, MJO812 said: I'm feeling a Mid Atlantic winter Sadly Nah….SNE will out perform the Mid Atlantic imo. Like always. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 26, 2023 Share Posted August 26, 2023 6 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Nah….SNE will out perform the Mid Atlantic imo. Like always. I know people are worried about this being strong but give me EL Nino anyway over La Nina. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted August 26, 2023 Share Posted August 26, 2023 9 minutes ago, MJO812 said: I know people are worried about this being strong but give me EL Nino anyway over La Nina. Yes. In the last super Nino you killed it with one monster blizzard in Jan 2016. And in a sea of warmth.. we broke an all time low record on the night of Saturday February 13th, into the morning of the 14th of that same year(2016). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 26, 2023 Share Posted August 26, 2023 9 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Yes. In the last super Nino you killed it with one monster blizzard in Jan 2016. And in a sea of warmth.. we broke an all time low record on the night of Saturday February 13th, into the morning of the 14th of that same year(2016). 30 inches that storm in 2016 27 hours of gold falling from the sky. I remember I was working during that storm and my rmp got suck so I had to walk about 20 blocks to get to the precinct from where I was lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted August 26, 2023 Share Posted August 26, 2023 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: 30 inches that storm in 2016 27 hours of gold falling from the sky. I remember I was working during that storm and my rmp got suck so I had to walk about 20 blocks to get to the precinct from where I was lol Ahhh ya…you killed it with that one! I was on the northern fringe of the heavy stuff, but still managed to get 10-12 inches. A couple days prior we were supposed to be shut out. But then it crept a bit north. If you went just 20 plus miles south and west it went up dramatically. And then even more than that Southwest of there where the southwest corner of CT was into the big stuff. Conversely, if you went just 15-20 miles northeast of me…it went down dramatically also to just 3-4 inches. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sebastiaan1973 Posted August 26, 2023 Share Posted August 26, 2023 On 8/12/2023 at 6:37 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2023/08/preliminary-analysis-of-extratropical.html?m=1 Thanks a lot, seems to me, there is something wrong, because when I click on the link, the website shows your article of 12th of august about the polar vortex. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 26, 2023 Author Share Posted August 26, 2023 17 minutes ago, sebastiaan1973 said: Thanks a lot, seems to me, there is something wrong, because when I click on the link, the website shows your article of 12th of august about the polar vortex. I think the odds are fairly strong that we will see a PV take shape in a couple of months, but let me know if you feel differently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 26, 2023 Author Share Posted August 26, 2023 14 hours ago, WinterWolf said: Nah….SNE will out perform the Mid Atlantic imo. Like always. Anomalywise, decent shot we will not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted August 26, 2023 Share Posted August 26, 2023 6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Anomalywise, decent shot we will not. Well it’s easier for them in that case…but I’ll believe it when I see it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 26, 2023 Share Posted August 26, 2023 I'm hoping to be able to string together an outlook or at least some thoughts by the end of September or early October. While I did have some hope that despite a strong Nino, we could see a pretty decent winter, some of that hope is slipping away, but that is just super general thoughts right now. I think it comes down to the Arctic and how much support we can get via blocking but I am slightly leaning towards the direction of very little support in this regard, but maybe we'd had some room earlier in winter. This is very basic and super generic thought though. I am hoping to be able to ramp into things over the next month (so long the tropics stay quiet...or at least we don't see any major US threats). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted August 26, 2023 Share Posted August 26, 2023 I don’t get the angst with the upcoming winter. After last year, it can’t get any worse..we at the bottom already. Can only go up for most of SNE..except Hub Dave. 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 26, 2023 Share Posted August 26, 2023 25 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: I don’t get the angst with the upcoming winter. After last year, it can’t get any worse..we at the bottom already. Can only go up for most of SNE..except Hub Dave. ehhh unfortunately, we can do worse than last winter...not saying we will but we have seen worse. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 26, 2023 Author Share Posted August 26, 2023 5 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: ehhh unfortunately, we can do worse than last winter...not saying we will but we have seen worse. It's not going to be worse than last year. 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted August 26, 2023 Share Posted August 26, 2023 27 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: ehhh unfortunately, we can do worse than last winter...not saying we will but we have seen worse. I haven’t seen worse that I can remember..? 12” on the season is pretty bad. So I’ll have to disagree there. Sure we can see 6” this season and it’d be worse, but I have a better shot of winning the lottery imo. Ain’t gonna happen. We will do better this year for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sebastiaan1973 Posted August 26, 2023 Share Posted August 26, 2023 3 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think the odds are fairly strong that we will see a PV take shape in a couple of months, but let me know if you feel differently. What I mean is this. Please the read the link. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted August 26, 2023 Share Posted August 26, 2023 5 hours ago, WinterWolf said: I don’t get the angst with the upcoming winter. After last year, it can’t get any worse..we at the bottom already. Can only go up for most of SNE..except Hub Dave. I don’t think it’s quite as bad inland, but for my area I think it will be another dud winter. Super nino sucks here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted August 26, 2023 Share Posted August 26, 2023 6 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: It's not going to be worse than last year. I could see it being worse for Merrimack valley . I wouldn’t place money on it . But I could do worse than 40”. Now for southern CT , I think they will definitely do better than 8-10” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 27, 2023 Author Share Posted August 27, 2023 9 hours ago, sebastiaan1973 said: What I mean is this. Please the read the link. What is your issue with that title? I have no clue what you are getting at...preliminary analysis of the polar domain for winter..IOW, my first thoughts about what the polar area may or may not look like this winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 27, 2023 Author Share Posted August 27, 2023 5 hours ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I could see it being worse for Merrimack valley . I wouldn’t place money on it . But I could do worse than 40”. Now for southern CT , I think they will definitely do better than 8-10” Yea, slight chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 27, 2023 Share Posted August 27, 2023 13 hours ago, weatherwiz said: ehhh unfortunately, we can do worse than last winter...not saying we will but we have seen worse. I definitely can't see worse. Only 2" in NJ so it can only go up from here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sebastiaan1973 Posted August 27, 2023 Share Posted August 27, 2023 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: What is your issue with that title? I have no clue what you are getting at...preliminary analysis of the polar domain for winter..IOW, my first thoughts about what the polar area may or may not look like this winter. The link says preliminary analysis of extra tropical, I get don't get this but instead polar vortex analysis. So, the title says A, but I get to see B. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted August 27, 2023 Share Posted August 27, 2023 5 hours ago, sebastiaan1973 said: The link says preliminary analysis of extra tropical, I get don't get this but instead polar vortex analysis. So, the title says A, but I get to see B. You seem intentionally obtuse... The domain of the extratropical includes discussions of the polar vortex, since the polar vortex exists outside of the tropics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted August 27, 2023 Share Posted August 27, 2023 4 hours ago, Henry's Weather said: You seem intentionally obtuse... The domain of the extratropical includes discussions of the polar vortex, since the polar vortex exists outside of the tropics. I can’t even understand what he’s trying to say…..lol. But Whatever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sebastiaan1973 Posted August 27, 2023 Share Posted August 27, 2023 Preliminary Analysis of the Polar Landscape for Boreal Winter 2023-2024 https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2023/08/preliminary-analysis-of-extratropical.html?m=1 Perhaps, now people do understand. First you see Polar landscape, the second is extratropical which contains much more than polar. So the description of the link and what you get is not the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sebastiaan1973 Posted August 27, 2023 Share Posted August 27, 2023 By double clicking at the date (which is at 12th of august) I get the latest of your thoughts of 24th of August. And now it fits. So there is a problem with the website. Which I wanted to make clear. Being not native English-speaker, it was more difficult than I thought to do. Edit. After trying again, it remains wrong. Another way to get the right article, is to go to 'Blog archive' on the right side. Than you get the latest! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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