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Napril 2023 Obs/Disco


Torch Tiger
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30 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

It’s coming.

 

Not disagreeing or agreeing with it, but what a blatant mis-reading of that product.

Greater than 40% chance of highs exceeding 65-70F?  That product isn’t built around maximum temps for one, could be high mins.  Also that statement seems to allow for up to a 60% chance of highs below 65-70?

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39 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Not disagreeing or agreeing with it, but what a blatant mis-reading of that product.

Greater than 40% chance of highs exceeding 65-70F?  That product isn’t built around maximum temps for one, could be high mins.  Also that statement seems to allow for up to a 60% chance of highs below 65-70?

It’s a horrible product. Between the 33s are equal chances. But yeah when you read it literally, it’s almost disagreeing with what the graphic is communicating. 

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48 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Sunny breaks before sunrise 

 

improve, but heavy downpours
should be all but over between 06Z (SW CT) and 09Z (NE MA). Clouds
will clear as well, such that breaks of sunshine will develop before
sunrise across the interior.

:lol:

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10 hours ago, weatherwiz said:

Ahh gotcha, my fault :lol: 

wish this was here 


URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Marquette MI
320 PM EDT Sun Apr 30 2023

MIZ004-005-011000-
/O.CON.KMQT.WS.W.0007.230501T0000Z-230502T1500Z/
Baraga-Marquette-
Including the cities of L`Anse, Gwinn, and Marquette
320 PM EDT Sun Apr 30 2023

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING
TO 11 AM EDT TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy wet snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to
  24 inches. The lowest snow accumulations will occur close to
  Lake Superior, and the greatest accumulations will occur in the
  area to the south and east of L`anse and to the west and
  northwest of Negaunee. Snow totals could approach 36 inches in
  those area. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph late tonight
  through Monday evening.

* WHERE...Baraga and Marquette Counties.
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Moderate to heavy snow will be ongoing across much of the interior
west by Monday morning.  Surface low will deepen to sub 980 mb
during the day Monday as it rotate westward to near Drummond Island.
With the very slow movement and off the charts moisture
availability from the Gulf and Atlantic, the western U.P. will be
in the comma head for an extended period of time. While 85H
temperatures will not be cold enough for lake enhancement, thank
goodness, persistent upslope flow with northerly winds will maximize
precipitation over the highest terrain. Models are in consensus with
widespread 2 to 5 inch qpf amounts with locally higher amounts
expected over the Huron Mountains.  The NAM Nest depiction of 8.5
inches of qpf and 85 inches of snow is clearly overdone, but its
scary to see a model solution like that at this close of a time
range.
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