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Napril 2023 Obs/Disco


Torch Tiger
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1 hour ago, jbenedet said:

As “decent” as you get around here for the calendar. Occasional break of sun but mostly mid level overcast. 54 for a high will probably do it. Couple degrees BN. Light wind. Sweatshirt is good enough for walking the dog.

 

Looking forward to some heat and humidity. Everything looks tired of the dryness. 

Despite the melt-off, the Sandy River's 1,640 cfs is less than half the median for the date (3340) and well under the 25th percentile (2210).  April precip at 1.27" - this coming week should move it closer to the 4.13" average, but the month will still finish BN.

Edit: Yet another modeled day-10 snowstorm.  Looking forward to a few catpaws.

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23 hours ago, H2Otown_WX said:

And yet everyone from here wants to live in FL. :arrowhead:

I'm down in West Palm Beach and the weather has been epic. Such a special place...

The front will eventually make it down to South Florida on Sunday in terms of a wind shift, but it will not be felt temperature-wise as temps will still hit the upper 80s with 90 degrees possible over the interior. 

 

Screenshot_20230422-131835_Gallery.jpg

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5 minutes ago, BrianW said:

I'm down in West Palm Beach and the weather has been epic. Such a special place...

The front will eventually make it down to South Florida on Sunday in terms of a wind shift, but it will not be felt temperature-wise as temps will still hit the upper 80s with 90 degrees possible over the
interior. 

 

Screenshot_20230422-131835_Gallery.jpg

Buddy lives there, love visiting.  Ever go to Buccan?  Amazing restaurant. 

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59 minutes ago, ma blizzard said:

wouldn’t be shocked to see flakes, but something measurable would be tough to pull off .. that EURO run is def intriguing though.  

It's unlikely ... I mean not that you need to be told that.  

From a telecon perspective the pattern nadirs then, however.  The presently evolving -NAO ( west limb) is by then collapsing, as the +PNA renders to an amplified +PNAP maximum. That timing of those particular major mass field indicators is cyclogen correlated. 

Specific to the deep layer synoptics, it's dubious...with a 983 mb low escaping over the BM and a new 980 mb out of no where popping off back west like that... It is indicative of a weak baroclinic physics in the lower levels, while pure mid level forcing.  The thermal setting is marginal ...but marginal ( as in +- 0C at 850) at the end of April doesn't typically cut it.  We'd need more substantial anomaly ... say  -2 or -3C, and down into the 925 mb levels by that late in the year. 

The Euro has a bit of curvature bias at that range, too. That is a D7+ Euro cyclogen look to it.   Nevertheless, the GEFs and EPS members have some deeper members cluster around the DM to BM give or take some longitude ...  

That's about it for now.  My guess is > 50% odds it won't look like that on the next run.  

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35 minutes ago, BrianW said:

I'm down in West Palm Beach and the weather has been epic. Such a special place...

The front will eventually make it down to South Florida on Sunday in terms of a wind shift, but it will not be felt temperature-wise as temps will still hit the upper 80s with 90 degrees possible over the interior. 

 

Screenshot_20230422-131835_Gallery.jpg

What beach / town is that exactly . Looks familiar but that looks like red reef park to me in boca 

Heading down In a week .

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6 hours ago, NorEastermass128 said:

A$$. This weather is a$$. That is all. 

 

6 hours ago, MJO812 said:

Feels like autumn

 

6 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said:

no no.  Tomorrow is a$$  ...

today is just smells like the a$$, tomorrow ... SNE's collective head is rammed up in the rectum

Good evening all. Sometimes when browsing, certain posts engender the strangest visuals. Stay well as always…

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2 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Craziest thing is it’s not even that bad it looks like.  Once you get outside of ORH/495 it was likely an above normal day.

-3 BOS

0 ORH

+4 BDL

Today was nice. Shorts and tees outside until late afternoon with fog and drizzle and wind hit . Had breaks of sun mid morning to mid afternoon 

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25 minutes ago, kdxken said:

Wish we golfed there.

Yeah definitely been spoiled.  We forget even normal this time of year can be rough. Like when you get a solid winter taste in mid-November with a widespread snower and everyone wants winter…. then realize that climo is still for highs of 45F with mins just below freezing in early December.

Thats what days around 50F are like this time of year after a period of 75F.

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57 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Craziest thing is it’s not even that bad it looks like.  Once you get outside of ORH/495 it was likely an above normal day.

-3 BOS

0 ORH

+4 BDL

Was a raw day in Nashua , not miserable . It is late April and this isn’t unusual . I think average high is 59. They hit 55. But sun And breeze makes a huge difference in that 55-60 temp range ..as you know 

60 and sun with a calm or light breeze feels like heaven 

54 and drizzle with 20mph gusts feels raw (but we can do much worse ) and probably will this week haha 

 

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