CoastalWx Posted April 20, 2023 Share Posted April 20, 2023 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Fabulous day today. Full sun necessitating me wearing my big floppy hat. Yeah nice today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted April 20, 2023 Author Share Posted April 20, 2023 30 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Hmm Met versus known Warminister I don't see any extreme cold or anything, probably quite a few seasonably cool days (not well below, slightly). No torch though, at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted April 20, 2023 Author Share Posted April 20, 2023 Also ya'll may be talking about May, I guess that needs a thread? Could be solidly BN early May. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 20, 2023 Share Posted April 20, 2023 sometimes these kind of back of the igloo patterns in spring end up a little less repugnant as the models paint. in theory, the hemisphere is trying to lose winter ... but we're saddled with a -NAO in the guidance, one that takes several days to retrograde fully... during that time, if we don't fully 'rhea, we're dealing with that annoying spring chill shit most likely. then, afterward, the models 'think' that's it - the pattern stays that way to oblivion without any block or real wave signature making that happen. i suspect that's all false out there beyond D 10 or 12, and we'll probably see some modulation start to emerge at some point in future guidance. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 20, 2023 Share Posted April 20, 2023 26 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: sometimes these kind of back of the igloo patterns in spring end up a little less repugnant as the models paint. in theory, the hemisphere is trying to lose winter ... but we're saddled with a -NAO in the guidance, one that takes several days to retrograde fully... during that time, if we don't fully 'rhea, we're dealing with that annoying spring chill shit most likely. then, afterward, the models 'think' that's it - the pattern stays that way to oblivion without any block or real wave signature making that happen. i suspect that's all false out there beyond D 10 or 12, and we'll probably see some modulation start to emerge at some point in future guidance. Yup won’t be any big deal other than a few cooler days and periodic showers. Rarely ever is despite the hand wringing and doom and gloom posts . 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 20, 2023 Share Posted April 20, 2023 26 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Yup won’t be any big deal other than a few cooler days and periodic showers. Rarely ever is despite the hand wringing and doom and gloom posts . How's 85 at BDL tomorrow looking? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 20, 2023 Share Posted April 20, 2023 37 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: How's 85 at BDL tomorrow looking? Dunno . Ryan has been forecasting that this week . 79-80 looks solid 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 20, 2023 Share Posted April 20, 2023 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Dunno . Ryan has been forecasting that this week . 79-80 looks solid How about KDitty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 20, 2023 Share Posted April 20, 2023 Of the two … the GFS last 2 runs are worse imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted April 21, 2023 Share Posted April 21, 2023 13 hours ago, Torch Tiger said: I don't see any extreme cold or anything, probably quite a few seasonably cool days (not well below, slightly). No torch though, at all. Some might call that seasonably normal..... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 21, 2023 Share Posted April 21, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted April 21, 2023 Share Posted April 21, 2023 55 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: That will be gone in the next two weeks 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 21, 2023 Share Posted April 21, 2023 1 hour ago, ineedsnow said: That will be gone in the next two weeks I think so 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted April 21, 2023 Share Posted April 21, 2023 The back door presses to the northern mid Atlantic tonight, and then recedes back towards CNE by tomorrow morning. I’m very skeptical of the latter part— the teles and seasonality argue for a “best in Maine” setup on Saturday. It’s a pretty classic setup for miserable weather in coastal northern mid Atlantic. I think the door presses South all day today then stalls somewhere around LI tonight and remains there most of Saturday. Saturday has a much better chance of being a shit day to the northern Jersey shore than 70. With that I still think Saturday turns out “decent” up here, but we are definitely running out of time, guidance wise. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted April 21, 2023 Share Posted April 21, 2023 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 21, 2023 Share Posted April 21, 2023 Today should be a beaut after the early morning clouds etc move out 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 21, 2023 Share Posted April 21, 2023 Lots of mid level junk for awhile. But hopefully some breaks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 21, 2023 Share Posted April 21, 2023 Damage 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted April 21, 2023 Share Posted April 21, 2023 3 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: I'm seeing 2"+ of rain at my location Sun-Tues. WTF is he looking at to say lighter, not heavier??? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 21, 2023 Share Posted April 21, 2023 54 minutes ago, jbenedet said: The back door presses to the northern mid Atlantic tonight, and then recedes back towards CNE by tomorrow morning. I’m very skeptical of the latter part— the teles and seasonality argue for a “best in Maine” setup on Saturday. It’s a pretty classic setup for miserable weather in coastal northern mid Atlantic. I think the door presses South all day today then stalls somewhere around LI tonight and remains there most of Saturday. Saturday has a much better chance of being a shit day to the northern Jersey shore than 70. With that I still think Saturday turns out “decent” up here, but we are definitely running out of time, guidance wise. Yeah, #MeToo ... The April casting couch has hand cuffs when it comes to escaping the influence of BDs That curved pressure pattern bulging in from the E through early tomorrow ( ahead of the main baro-c axis) probably keeps SE flow in the lowest levels. Game over for warm fronts... The best bet is to be so far on the N-E side of boundary that we clear out from that subsidence. ...Sometimes the exclusion pattern really hits home when you see a clear sky coming in from the wrong direction... haha. Anyway, not sure that's even doable. I think today is an interior gem and then folks should plan on a bit of 'rhea for several days. I am noticing though that the models are attempting alleviation from the drear on the 00z solution spread. It's mostly in the deterministic solutions, tho.. The Euro and GGEM were actually improved over prior runs for D7-10. Hopefully that has legs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 21, 2023 Share Posted April 21, 2023 39 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Lots of mid level junk for awhile. But hopefully some breaks. It's completely clear W-S of here now. This type of mid level I've seen many times in the past... it seems to be fragile and related to nocturnal sounding nuances, but the sun tips over the morning horizon and goes to work and it just disappears - the sat loops seems to suggest this is one of those mornings with that stuff. May be a diffused/elevated warm frontal structure entangled in that too... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 21, 2023 Share Posted April 21, 2023 22 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: It's completely clear W-S of here now. This type of mid level I've seen many times in the past... it seems to be fragile and related to nocturnal sounding nuances, but the sun tips over the morning horizon and goes to work and it just disappears - the sat loops seems to suggest this is one of those mornings with that stuff. May be a diffused/elevated warm frontal structure entangled in that too... Yeah starting to vanish now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted April 21, 2023 Share Posted April 21, 2023 54 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Damage Same f.ucking place. I don't understand this. That stretch of highway has decent sightlines for 1000's of feet. ...No sharp turns...plenty of room. What is the constant issue there? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 21, 2023 Share Posted April 21, 2023 2 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: Same f.ucking place. I don't understand this. That stretch of highway has decent sightlines for 1000's of feet. ...No sharp turns...plenty of room. What is the constant issue there? Just go to 54 seconds in and picture those TTs accelerating down the hill and jack knifing to pieces. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 21, 2023 Share Posted April 21, 2023 7 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: Same f.ucking place. I don't understand this. That stretch of highway has decent sightlines for 1000's of feet. ...No sharp turns...plenty of room. What is the constant issue there? Same thing with 84 in Southington...it's puzzling 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 21, 2023 Share Posted April 21, 2023 14 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: What is the constant issue there? Electric Blue? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 21, 2023 Share Posted April 21, 2023 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: Electric Blue? Boobs pressed against windows and distracting drivers? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 21, 2023 Share Posted April 21, 2023 1 hour ago, Cold Miser said: Same f.ucking place. I don't understand this. That stretch of highway has decent sightlines for 1000's of feet. ...No sharp turns...plenty of room. What is the constant issue there? Speed. It's hilly and people pick up alot of speed there in my travels 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted April 21, 2023 Share Posted April 21, 2023 2 hours ago, jbenedet said: The back door presses to the northern mid Atlantic tonight, and then recedes back towards CNE by tomorrow morning. I’m very skeptical of the latter part— the teles and seasonality argue for a “best in Maine” setup on Saturday. It’s a pretty classic setup for miserable weather in coastal northern mid Atlantic. I think the door presses South all day today then stalls somewhere around LI tonight and remains there most of Saturday. Saturday has a much better chance of being a shit day to the northern Jersey shore than 70. With that I still think Saturday turns out “decent” up here, but we are definitely running out of time, guidance wise. Forget about the weather!! You need to do something about this!!! TWITTER BLUESCHAOS ON THE SOCIALARE YOU THE REAL OPRAH?POPE UNVERIFIED!MUSK 'PAYS' FOR FEW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted April 21, 2023 Share Posted April 21, 2023 Temp was 30° under starry skies at 11 last evening and I figured on low 20s this AM. Like yesterday, clear evening was followed by clouds, kicking the temp up a few degrees by 6 AM. Cloudy 40s here - in fact all Maine sites are 40s at 11 AM - though the clouds are thinner than earlier. Brief sprinkle about 8 AM. BDL was mostly sunny and 61 at 11, no 79-80 today though 70 is certainly within reach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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