Brian5671 Posted April 27, 2023 Share Posted April 27, 2023 Just now, lee59 said: Cool late April day with my high only 56. Didn't really respond much to the sun coming out. never cracked 50 here...cloudy all day with rain and drizzle until about 2pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted April 27, 2023 Share Posted April 27, 2023 41 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: never cracked 50 here...cloudy all day with rain and drizzle until about 2pm Looks like temperatures could be like that in the entire area on Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 27, 2023 Share Posted April 27, 2023 Just now, lee59 said: Looks like temperatures could be like that in the entire area on Saturday. Miserable stretch coming up. Cleared out here quickly an hour ago and we're now at 54 so a nice little break. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted April 27, 2023 Share Posted April 27, 2023 Extreme hail in parts of Florida (Melbourne area). Unusual for down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted April 27, 2023 Share Posted April 27, 2023 I wonder what’s going with OKX. Down since this morning. Topped out at 55 after it cleared out for a bit a short while ago. No measurable rain, just a few occasional drops earlier. Garbage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tekken_Guy Posted April 28, 2023 Share Posted April 28, 2023 21 hours ago, Wxoutlooksblog said: I don't see any sign of it. Could the cooler than normal break for one or two days? Sure. But I think it would be for a one day shot of near normal". I see no sign whatsoever of a ridge in the east which is necessary for prolonged above average temperatures. For that I think at the earliest late in the third week of May--17th-24th....at the earliest. At the latest second week of June. WX/PT Does that mean May is likely to be below normal, or possibly cooler than April? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted April 28, 2023 Share Posted April 28, 2023 1 minute ago, Tekken_Guy said: Does that mean May is likely to be below normal, or possibly cooler than April? To be cooler than April it would have to be like -6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted April 28, 2023 Share Posted April 28, 2023 1 hour ago, Cfa said: I wonder what’s going with OKX. Down since this morning. Topped out at 55 after it cleared out for a bit a short while ago. No measurable rain, just a few occasional drops earlier. Garbage. The radar is having a generator replaced on it. Down for a week. There’s a notice when you go to their page. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted April 28, 2023 Share Posted April 28, 2023 Earlier today, Portugal, Spain, and Morocco experienced their highest temperatures on record during April. The 102° high in Cordoba, Spain set a European April record. In the Middle Atlantic region, cool mainly cloudy weather prevailed. A cool pattern remains in place. That pattern will likely continue through the opening week of May. There remains considerable uncertainty beyond the first week of May. Nevertheless, there are some hints that warmth could begin to return to the East while cooler weather returns to the West, as has been the case through most of the winter and spring so far. The region could experience rain Friday night into Saturday. Afterward, a moderate to perhaps significant rainfall is possible Sunday into Monday. April 2023 remains on a trajectory that will rank it among the 10 warmest Aprils on record in the northern Middle Atlantic region. The potential exists for some locations to challenge their warmest April on record. A cool end to the month won't be sufficient to avoid top 10 warmth. The most recent April case to rank among the 10 warmest was: Boston: 51.7°, 2019 (5th warmest) Bridgeport: 54.0°, 2017 (1st warmest) Islip: 51.9°, 2019 (6th warmest) New Haven: 50.8°, 2022 (6th warmest) New York City-Central Park: 57.2°, 2017 (2nd warmest) New York City-JFK Airport: 55.1°, 2017 (2nd warmest) New York City-LaGuardia Airport: 57.6°, 2017 (2nd warmest) Newark: 57.2°, 2017 (4th warmest) Philadelphia: 59.0°, 2019 (3rd warmest) Poughkeepsie: 53.0°, 2017 (3rd warmest) White Plains: 53.9°, 2017 (2nd warmest) The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +2.5°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.3°C for the week centered around April 19. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +2.20°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.08°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely prevail through at least mid-spring. El Niño conditions will very likely develop during the summer. The SOI was +9.30 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -1.738 today. On April 25 the MJO was in Phase 1 at an amplitude of 2.000 (RMM). The April 24-adjusted amplitude was 2.000 (RMM). Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal April (1991-2020 normal). April will likely finish with a mean temperature near 57.9° (4.2° above normal). That would tie the record for the warmest April on record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted April 28, 2023 Share Posted April 28, 2023 4 hours ago, Brian5671 said: That's partly why our winters have been garbage lately....torch city out there Hopefully we can get some major hurricane recurves this summer and cool it down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted April 28, 2023 Share Posted April 28, 2023 57 today. Not terrible. Weekend looks awful 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted April 28, 2023 Share Posted April 28, 2023 1 hour ago, Tekken_Guy said: Does that mean May is likely to be below normal, or possibly cooler than April? I think at least the first two thirds of May will likely be a little cooler than normal but cooler than April? Maybe. But I really do think alot will depend on whether or not and how much temperatures rebound in the last ten days of the month. It's possible they could just rebound to near normal and not above normal. It's also possible that a wet pattern could reload after a drier period in the middle of the month. We'll just have to wait and see. But as of now, the operational Euro continues to have us in a northwesterly flow aloft on May 7th. That does not bode well for warm or even near normal temperatures. WX/PT 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted April 28, 2023 Author Share Posted April 28, 2023 It wouldn't surprise me if there are some isolated 5" rainfall amounts over the next few days beginning Friday afternoon. The long duration of the event should mitigate the flooding potential with the exception of urban and poor drainage flooding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted April 28, 2023 Share Posted April 28, 2023 8 hours ago, Brian5671 said: Miserable stretch coming up. Cleared out here quickly an hour ago and we're now at 54 so a nice little break. I love it and the prolonged wet weather is much needed without the flooding risks. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted April 28, 2023 Share Posted April 28, 2023 looks like i’ll get good sleep friday night. open up the window and listen to the rainfall. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted April 28, 2023 Share Posted April 28, 2023 3 hours ago, Snowlover11 said: looks like i’ll get good sleep friday night. open up the window and listen to the rainfall. Sleeping in on Saturday morning should be mandatory Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted April 28, 2023 Share Posted April 28, 2023 The last 3 days of April are averaging 52degs.(49/55) or -5. Month to date is 58.2[+5.1]. April should end at 57.6[+3.9]. Reached 62 here yesterday at 5pm. Today: 54-58, wind se.-breezy, cloudy-rain by 6pm, 47 tomorrow AM. The first 10 days of May[56, or -5]look as much BN as the last week of April will, -5. It tries to warm up by the 7th., more likely the 10th. Also May appears better behaved---having warmed up by less than 1 degree in the past 60 years. April was +2.4 over that period. 51*(87%RH) here at 7am. 53* at 8am. 55* at 10am. Reached 56* at Noon. 53* at 8am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 28, 2023 Share Posted April 28, 2023 1 hour ago, Allsnow said: Sleeping in on Saturday morning should be mandatory Except when people have work 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted April 28, 2023 Share Posted April 28, 2023 11 hours ago, Wxoutlooksblog said: I think at least the first two thirds of May will likely be a little cooler than normal but cooler than April? Maybe. But I really do think alot will depend on whether or not and how much temperatures rebound in the last ten days of the month. It's possible they could just rebound to near normal and not above normal. It's also possible that a wet pattern could reload after a drier period in the middle of the month. We'll just have to wait and see. But as of now, the operational Euro continues to have us in a northwesterly flow aloft on May 7th. That does not bode well for warm or even near normal temperatures. WX/PT This isn’t going to get us warmth, that’s for sure. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted April 28, 2023 Share Posted April 28, 2023 57 minutes ago, uofmiami said: This isn’t going to get us warmth, that’s for sure. I totally agree. Now the gfs in it's fantasy time-frames is going to occasionally do what it did last night and heat us up at 300+ hours. But I'm not even close to buying anything like that. In fact with El Nino getting ready to take shape all bets are off on what type of summer is ahead. This pattern would be closer to what we'd want to see in January. WX/PT 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted April 28, 2023 Share Posted April 28, 2023 2 hours ago, Allsnow said: Sleeping in on Saturday morning should be mandatory except when i work grave shift and usually work on weekends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted April 28, 2023 Share Posted April 28, 2023 53 and cloudy with rain into EPA and SNJ with arrival in the next few hours. Into the wet part of this cooler patter. Block has forced cut lows to undercut trough and bring rain this weekend and early next week. Pattern persists on most guidance through at least the first 10 days of next month. hints the upper air pattern migrates and height build back in towards mid month,but overall cooler than normal, and wetter to potentially much wetter the next 10 - 12 days. Likely no 70s the next week at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted April 28, 2023 Share Posted April 28, 2023 so cold my hands are freezing outside oh where did i put my gloves.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted April 28, 2023 Share Posted April 28, 2023 2 hours ago, MJO812 said: Except when people have work Or kids... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 28, 2023 Share Posted April 28, 2023 1 hour ago, Snowlover11 said: except when i work grave shift and usually work on weekends. I'm off Friday's and Saturday's and work on Sunday's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 28, 2023 Share Posted April 28, 2023 53 here Feels like autumn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted April 28, 2023 Share Posted April 28, 2023 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: I'm off Friday's and Saturday's and work on Sunday's. i work wednesday night thru sunday night. mon-tues off. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted April 28, 2023 Share Posted April 28, 2023 Round 2 looks like a quick hit now Sunday afternoon then outta here. Intermittent from tonight thru Sunday morning 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted April 28, 2023 Share Posted April 28, 2023 50 with light rain here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted April 28, 2023 Share Posted April 28, 2023 Looks like you may break a rainfall record on Saturday 29th, it is an easy one to break (0.91" from 1909). The recent 1.51" on the 23rd failed to break that daily record (2.34" 2006). The April 29th record is one of only two daily records all year that are below 1.00" the other one being 0.86" for September 9th (1902). It would be neat if 2023 could eliminate both of them. The third lowest value is 1.02" for June 8th (1900). The Sunday record is a lot higher, Apr 30th 2014 had 4.97" of rain. Today's record is 2.74" from 1980. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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