April 2023

[Stormlover74]

13 minutes ago, Tatamy said:

Seems unusual to have a sea breeze this far inland however that is exactly what has occurred here today.  I reached a high of 78 at 4 PM and have now dropped back to 58.

Yep

 

[Stormlover74]

1 minute ago, wishcast_hater said:

Not happening


.

Eh I don't trust the nam

[SnoSki14]

21 hours ago, Allsnow said:

Super Nino next winter….97:98 repeat? 

There's no indication of a super nino. I doubt it goes beyond moderate 

[CIK62]

The next 8 days are averaging      56degs.(49/64) or -2.

Month to date is      59.1[+7.1].           Should be       58.2[+4.6] by the 30th.

Reached 64 here yesterday at 2pm.

Today:   66-71,  wind e. to se., variable clouds-increasing, rain by midnight-over by Sunday AM.

55*(90%RH) here at 7am.     60* at 9:30am.      64* at 11am.      Reached  65* at Noon.      60* at 6pm.

[The 4 Seasons]

On 4/21/2023 at 8:02 AM, Brian5671 said:

Hard to imagine anything worse than  01-02 and 11-12 but alas here we go....

I never thought id see a winter as bad as 01-02 in my life again at the time, this was about on par with that one in terms of snowfall.

[MJO812]

45 here in the Catskills

[canderson]

Last night’s fog had some cool atmospheric looks -  taken from our balcony overlooking Bryant Park. Hope the rain holds off mostly until midnight!

[SACRUS]

 

55, low level clouds slowly burning off but front approaching.  Some early sun before clouds and then front/rain arrive later this evening/tonight.  Clearing out Sun (4/23) and should be a very nice spring/weekend day.  Cooler overall Mon (4/24) - Sat (4/29).  Doesnt appear to be very wet but with cut off low and the ECin a general trough, there should be days with precip chances.  Looks like a moderating change towards the end of the first work week next month.

 

[SACRUS]

 

Records:

Highs:

EWR: 87 (1985)
NYC: 86 (2001)
LGA: 85 (2001)

Lows:

 

EWR: 33 (1947)
NYC: 28 (1875)
LGA: 33 (1947)

 

Historical:

1883 - An outbreak of tornadoes from Louisiana to Kansas claimed the lives to 200 persons. One of the tornadoes destroyed the town of Beauregard MS. (David Ludlum)

 

1980 - A record April heat wave sent the mercury up to the 100 degree mark in Iowa. (The Weather Channel)

1987 - Fifteen cities in the southeastern U.S. reported new record high temperatures for the date. The afternoon high of 96 degrees at Pensacola FL established a record for the month of April. (The National Weather Summary)

1988 - Heavy snow fell over northern Nebraska, with 15 inches reported at Mullen. Heavy snow also blanketed the mountains of northern Arizona, with 16 inches reported at Munds Park. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Twenty-seven cities in the central U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. The high of 96 degrees at Omaha was an April record, and the high of 100 degrees at Lubbock TX equalled their record for April. Hill City KS and Liberal KS tied for honors as the hot spot in the nation with afternoon highs of 103 degrees. (The National Weather Summary)

1990 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather from the Southern and Central High Plains to northwest Florida during the afternoon and evening. Thunderstorms produced wind gusts to 67 mph at Gillette WY, hail two inches in diameter west of Roswell NM, and deluged Cheyenne OK with 8.68 inches of rain leaving some parts of the town under five feet of water. Temperatures reached the low 90s in the north central U.S. Chamberlain SD and Pickstown SD tied Presidio TX for honors as the hot spot in the nation with afternoon highs of 94 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

2011 - Lambert International Airport in St. Louis experiences extensive damage as it is hit by a group of tornados, blowing out windows in the main terminal and tearing the roof off Concourse C. Five people were taken to the hospital with minor injuries from shattered glass and flying debris.

[nycwinter]

another beautiful morning in the city..

[Stormlover74]

Other than the gfs the models are mostly giving us a solid .75 to 1" now tonight into tomorrow

[bluewave]

Lowest -AO since last December.

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/norm.daily.ao.nao.pna.aao.gdas.120days.csv

21Apr2023-3.4547

[SnoSki14]

53 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Lowest -AO since last December.

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/norm.daily.ao.nao.pna.aao.gdas.120days.csv

21Apr2023-3.4547

Looks like weeklies/monthlies actually shows a BN May after a record warm April. 

Has May ever had a lower average temperature than April?

[GaWx]

7 hours ago, SnoSki14 said:

Looks like weeklies/monthlies actually shows a BN May after a record warm April. 

Has May ever had a lower average temperature than April?

Not since at least 1870 at Central Park. The closest was 1945, when May was only 3.6 warmer followed by 2005, when May was only 3.8 warmer, and then followed by three that were only 4.6 warmer (2002, 1968, 1915).

[psv88]

NWS has me at 60. Currently 64 and sun coming through 

[bluewave]

38 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

Looks like weeklies/monthlies actually shows a BN May after a record warm April. 

Has May ever had a lower average temperature than April?

April has never averaged warmer than May before. But the monthly max has on a few occasions. Too difficult these days to get a May under 60° which would be necessary.
 

 

Monthly Mean Avg Temperature for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Year	Apr	May	Season
2023	59.0	M	59.0
2010	57.9	66.2	62.1
1994	57.4	63.7	60.6
2017	57.2	61.1	59.2
1985	57.0	67.1	62.1
1974	56.5	62.7	59.6
1941	56.2	63.1	59.7
2002	56.0	60.9	58.5
2006	55.7	63.8	59.8
2011	55.5	65.6	60.6

 

Monthly Highest Max Temperature for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Year	Apr	May	Season
2002	97	90	97
1990	94	83	94
2023	93	M	93
2009	93	87	93
1976	93	83	93
2010	92	95	95
1994	92	95	95
1974	91	94	94
1960	91	83	91
1942	91	93	93
1941	91	95	95
1977	90	91	91
1962	90	98	98

 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Month of May
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Year	Mean Avg Temperature	Missing Count
2022	66.2	0
2021	64.3	0
2020	60.8	0
2019	63.5	0
2018	66.9	0
2017	61.1	0
2016	62.6	0
2015	68.2	0
2014	64.1	0
2013	63.3	0
2012	66.4	0
2011	65.6	0
2010	66.2	0
2009	63.3	0
2008	60.5	0
2007	65.1	0
2006	63.8	0
2005	59.1	0
2004	66.3	0
2003	58.9	0
2002	60.9	0
2001	64.0	0
2000	64.2	0
1999	63.2	0
1998	64.9	0
1997	59.2	0
1996	61.6	0
1995	62.7	0
1994	63.7	0
1993	67.0	0
1992	61.6	0
1991	68.9	0

[psv88]

Next week will not be cold. Low 60s. Beautiful 

[Stormlover74]

21 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Next week will not be cold. Low 60s. Beautiful 

Below average 

[SnoSki14]

27 minutes ago, GaWx said:

Not since at least 1870 at Central Park. The closest was 2005, when May was only 3.8 warmer, followed by three that were only 4.6 warmer (2002, 1968, 1915).

But it is theoretically possible then. This April is averaging 59 and we've had Mays average below 60. 

We would need a May 2005 though which is highly unlikely 

[nycwinter]

38 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Next week will not be cold. Low 60s. Beautiful 

chilly in the morning..

[nycwinter]

i was out this morning temp low 50's cloudy east breeze it felt cold outside..

[psv88]

20 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Below average 

Yea below average but not cold. 

[Brian5671]

2 hours ago, Stormlover74 said:

Other than the gfs the models are mostly giving us a solid .75 to 1" now tonight into tomorrow

CMC/RGEM and Euro give places east of the city up to 2-3 inches-we could use it out here been bone dry for a month

[SACRUS]

Up to 69 here with partly / muggy sunny conditions

 

[GaWx]

45 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

But it is theoretically possible then. This April is averaging 59 and we've had Mays average below 60. 

We would need a May 2005 though which is highly unlikely 

 Per two regular posters April is headed to ~58, warmest on record. NYC Mays have been colder than 58 six times since 1870 or once every 25 years. That implies ~4% chance. However, the last one was way back in 1967 during a colder climate. Also, each of those six sub 58 Mays followed a BN to NN April as the six preceding Aprils were 46.9-49.6. This all tells me that the true chance for next month being colder than 58 without knowing how May would start is probably <4%. With May progged to start off BN, I'd raise the chance back up some though probably not above 5% considering our warmer climate.

[Tekken_Guy]

2 hours ago, SnoSki14 said:

Looks like weeklies/monthlies actually shows a BN May after a record warm April. 

Has May ever had a lower average temperature than April?

 

[SACRUS]

3- 4 hours away from rain 

 

[Tekken_Guy]

1 hour ago, GaWx said:

 Per two regular posters April is headed to ~58, warmest on record. NYC Mays have been colder than 58 six times since 1870 or once every 25 years. That implies ~4% chance. However, the last one was way back in 1967 during a colder climate. Also, each of those six sub 58 Mays followed a BN to NN April as the six preceding Aprils were 46.9-49.6. This all tells me that the true chance for next month being colder than 58 without knowing how May would start is probably <4%. With May progged to start off BN, I'd raise the chance back up some though probably not above 5% considering our warmer climate.

The BN pattern in May could last like 3 days before shifting to more seasonal. I can’t see this holding for more than two weeks.

[Stormlover74]

[Stormlover74]

Totally forgot Philly radar is down for maintenance 

Temp up to 70