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April 2023


Rtd208
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8 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

Sharp gradients in Nassau now..70-72 by Merrick Road...80 around the SSP...82-85 from there to the NSP then 85-89 north of that

The high in Long Beach might’ve made it to 75 today before the S wind really kicked in. Takes a really strong W flow this time of year to keep the seabreeze away. I don’t miss spring down there with the daily Ambrose Jet one second. 

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27 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said:

A swing of 44 here, 47-91

That’s pretty impressive. While this data only goes back to 1998, it’s probably safe to say it’s a new record high in your area.

https://xmacis.rcc-acis.org

Almanac for MONTGOMERY ORANGE COUNTY AP, NY
April 13, 2023
Daily Data Observed Normal Record Highest Record Lowest
Max Temperature M 59 81 in 2018 45 in 2007
Min Temperature M 35 53 in 2002 24 in 2000


 


 

TEMPERATURE (F)                                                          
 TODAY                                                               
  MAXIMUM         90R  2:57 PM  88    1945  60     30       77        
  MINIMUM         48   5:43 AM  19    1986  37     11       38        
  AVERAGE         69                        48     21       58     
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13 minutes ago, bluewave said:

That’s pretty impressive. While this data only goes back to 1998, it’s probably safe to say it’s a new record high in your area.

https://xmacis.rcc-acis.org

Almanac for MONTGOMERY ORANGE COUNTY AP, NY
April 13, 2023
Daily Data Observed Normal Record Highest Record Lowest
Max Temperature M 59 81 in 2018 45 in 2007
Min Temperature M 35 53 in 2002 24 in 2000


 


 

TEMPERATURE (F)                                                          
 TODAY                                                               
  MAXIMUM         90R  2:57 PM  88    1945  60     30       77        
  MINIMUM         48   5:43 AM  19    1986  37     11       38        
  AVERAGE         69                        48     21       58     

I had a 43 degree swing on Monday, 27-70.  It's been an impressive week up here. 

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16 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said:

I had a 43 degree swing on Monday, 27-70.  It's been an impressive week up here. 

Yeah, the lower dewpoints this month allowed the minimum departures to remain much lower than the maximum departures.


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0BC97850-439C-4C39-B55F-22613B8978D5.thumb.png.f2331e27e7feb0f285159ae7c4af38be.png

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NYC records today include max 90F (former record 88F 1977) and min 67F (former record 61F 1945, it was 60F in 1977 and 2018). 

NYC has now set more daily records than most recent years at this stage, and is on pace to finish in the top ten of records held (I had a post earlier listing the top contenders for that). The count so far is 2.83 record highs and 4.33 record high minima. The records for surviving records now on the books are 9.17 record high maxima (2001) and 12.92 record high minima (2015). 2017 was a bit higher than 2015 for record high minima until 2023 took a half share away yesterday (it was 13.17 and is now 12.67). 2015 has already lost 2.0 from the 14.92 count it had at end of its run. 

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54 minutes ago, Roger Smith said:

NYC records today include max 90F (former record 88F 1977) and min 67F (former record 61F 1945, it was 60F in 1977 and 2018). 

NYC has now set more daily records than most recent years at this stage, and is on pace to finish in the top ten of records held (I had a post earlier listing the top contenders for that). The count so far is 2.83 record highs and 2.33 record high minima. The records for surviving records now on the books are 9.17 record high maxima (2001) and 12.92 record high minima (2015). 2017 was a bit higher than 2015 for record high minima until 2023 took a half share away yesterday (it was 13.17 and is now 12.67). 2015 has already lost 2.0 from the 14.92 count it had at end of its run. 

https://threadex.rcc-acis.org

NYC recorded only 2 daily record daily high temperatures since 2015 in JJA with all the extra tree growth over the sensor. Poughkeepsie is at 10 record daily highs since 2015. Newark has 10 also since 2015 during the summer.

With bare trees during the winter, NYC has had 15 record highs DJF. There were 21 record highs at Poughkeepsie. With 16 winter record highs at Newark.

So NYC has had 4 daily record highs this year so far. That is 4 times more than when the trees were fully leafed out in the summer since 2015.

 

 

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Under abundant sunshine, temperatures rose to record levels in much of the region. Records included:

Albany: 89° (old record: 87°, 1977)
Atlantic City: 87° (old record: 83°, 1977 and 2018)
Binghamton: 86° (old record: 80°, 1977)
Bridgeport: 79° (old record: 74°, 1968)
Burlington: 88° (old record: 84°, 1945) ***Highest temperature so early in the season***
Concord: 88° (tied record set in 1945)
Hartford: 92° (old record: 86°, 1977)
Islip: 84° (old record: 82°, 1977)
Manchester, NH: 90° (old record: 77°, 1945 and 1949) ***Highest temperature so early in the season***
Mount Pocono: 82° (old record: 81°, 1977)
New York City-Central Park: 90° (old record: 88°, 1977)
New York City-JFK Airport: 85° (tied record set in 1977)
New York City-LaGuardia Airport: 89° (old record: 85°, 1977)
Newark: 92° (old record: 86°, 1977)
Ottawa: 85° (old record: 80°, 1945)
Poughkeepsie: 90° (old record: 88°, 1945)
Providence: 88° (old record: 85°, 1945 and 1977)
Salisbury: 87° (old record: 86°, 1977)
Scranton: 87° (old record: 85°, 1945)
Syracuse: 86° (old record: 85°, 1945)
Toronto: 84° (old record: 81°, 1977)
Wilmington, DE: 88° (old record: 85°, 1977)

Temperatures could reach the middle and upper 80s tomorrow, possibly challenging or breaking additional record highs. Afterward, cooler weather will follow. Next week could even see a day where readings struggle to get out of the 50s.

Overall, warmth appears likely to define April in much of the East. If the long-range guidance is accurate the first three weeks of the month could put April 2023 on a trajectory that could rank it among the 10 warmest Aprils on record in the northern Middle Atlantic region. Afterward, the latest EPS weeklies suggest that the month could finish with near normal readings.

The most recent April case to rank among the 10 warmest was:

Boston: 51.7°, 2019 (5th warmest)
Bridgeport: 54.0°, 2017 (1st warmest)
Islip: 51.9°, 2019 (6th warmest)
New Haven: 50.8°, 2022 (6th warmest)
New York City-Central Park: 57.2°, 2017 (2nd warmest)
New York City-JFK Airport: 55.1°, 2017 (2nd warmest)
New York City-LaGuardia Airport: 57.6°, 2017 (2nd warmest)
Newark: 57.2°, 2017 (4th warmest)
Philadelphia: 59.0°, 2019 (3rd warmest)
Poughkeepsie: 53.0°, 2017 (3rd warmest)
White Plains: 53.9°, 2017 (2nd warmest)

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +2.7°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was 0.0°C for the week centered around April 5. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.77°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.03°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely prevail through at least mid-spring. El Niño conditions will likely develop during the summer.

The SOI was +0.21 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.482 today.

On April 11 the MJO was in Phase 6 at an amplitude of 2.033 (RMM). The April 10-adjusted amplitude was 1.921 (RMM).

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 91% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal April (1991-2020 normal). April will likely finish with a mean temperature near 57.4° (3.7° above normal). That would rank as the second warmest April on record.

 

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37 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

Under abundant sunshine, temperatures rose to record levels in much of the region. Records included:

Albany: 89° (old record: 87°, 1977)
Atlantic City: 87° (old record: 83°, 1977 and 2018)
Binghamton: 86° (old record: 80°, 1977)
Bridgeport: 79° (old record: 74°, 1968)
Burlington: 88° (old record: 84°, 1945) ***Highest temperature so early in the season***
Concord: 88° (tied record set in 1945)
Hartford: 92° (old record: 86°, 1977)
Islip: 84° (old record: 82°, 1977)
Manchester, NH: 90° (old record: 77°, 1945 and 1949) ***Highest temperature so early in the season***
Mount Pocono: 82° (old record: 81°, 1977)
New York City-Central Park: 90° (old record: 88°, 1977)
New York City-JFK Airport: 85° (tied record set in 1977)
New York City-LaGuardia Airport: 89° (old record: 85°, 1977)
Newark: 92° (old record: 86°, 1977)
Ottawa: 85° (old record: 80°, 1945)
Poughkeepsie: 90° (old record: 88°, 1945)
Providence: 88° (old record: 85°, 1945 and 1977)
Salisbury: 87° (old record: 86°, 1977)
Scranton: 87° (old record: 85°, 1945)
Syracuse: 86° (old record: 85°, 1945)
Toronto: 84° (old record: 81°, 1977)
Wilmington, DE: 88° (old record: 85°, 1977)

Temperatures could reach the middle and upper 80s tomorrow, possibly challenging or breaking additional record highs. Afterward, cooler weather will follow. Next week could even see a day where readings struggle to get out of the 50s.

Overall, warmth appears likely to define April in much of the East. If the long-range guidance is accurate the first three weeks of the month could put April 2023 on a trajectory that could rank it among the 10 warmest Aprils on record in the northern Middle Atlantic region. Afterward, the latest EPS weeklies suggest that the month could finish with near normal readings.

The most recent April case to rank among the 10 warmest was:

Boston: 51.7°, 2019 (5th warmest)
Bridgeport: 54.0°, 2017 (1st warmest)
Islip: 51.9°, 2019 (6th warmest)
New Haven: 50.8°, 2022 (6th warmest)
New York City-Central Park: 57.2°, 2017 (2nd warmest)
New York City-JFK Airport: 55.1°, 2017 (2nd warmest)
New York City-LaGuardia Airport: 57.6°, 2017 (2nd warmest)
Newark: 57.2°, 2017 (4th warmest)
Philadelphia: 59.0°, 2019 (3rd warmest)
Poughkeepsie: 53.0°, 2017 (3rd warmest)
White Plains: 53.9°, 2017 (2nd warmest)

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +2.7°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was 0.0°C for the week centered around April 5. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.77°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.03°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely prevail through at least mid-spring. El Niño conditions will likely develop during the summer.

The SOI was +0.21 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.482 today.

On April 11 the MJO was in Phase 6 at an amplitude of 2.033 (RMM). The April 10-adjusted amplitude was 1.921 (RMM).

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 91% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal April (1991-2020 normal). April will likely finish with a mean temperature near 57.4° (3.7° above normal). That would rank as the second warmest April on record.

 

So glad NYC hit 90 degrees!  It was close!  Interesting that LGA missed by 1 degree and on a land breeze day JFK missed by 5 degrees!

Don do you have stats on that day in April 2010 when we had our earliest 90 degree day?  NYC hit 92 and if I remember correctly JFK got to 89?  So that was hotter than today and about a week earlier?  Did EWR and LGA also hit 92 that day?

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