Ji Posted March 26, 2023 Share Posted March 26, 2023 classic Feb 2024 pattern 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 26, 2023 Author Share Posted March 26, 2023 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 26, 2023 Author Share Posted March 26, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted March 26, 2023 Share Posted March 26, 2023 40 minutes ago, Ji said: Look at all of that red Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 26, 2023 Share Posted March 26, 2023 22 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: Look at all of that red At least we will be chilly and rainy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 26, 2023 Share Posted March 26, 2023 2 hours ago, Ji said: West-based nino I'm all in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 26, 2023 Share Posted March 26, 2023 97-98 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 26, 2023 Share Posted March 26, 2023 Torch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 26, 2023 Share Posted March 26, 2023 28 minutes ago, CAPE said: Torch Appears the CFS is predicting a high level of underwater volcanic activity this year. Didn’t know it could do that. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted March 26, 2023 Share Posted March 26, 2023 46 minutes ago, CAPE said: Torch At least the -pdo gets reversed somewhat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 27, 2023 Author Share Posted March 27, 2023 At least the -pdo gets reversed somewhatWe are getting a double digit storm next winter 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 27, 2023 Author Share Posted March 27, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted March 27, 2023 Share Posted March 27, 2023 seasonals almost never predict below average temps for entire months at that range, so the CanSIPS showing a solidly below average February is quite impressive if we get a central-based Nino we're probably going to clean up. those are almost always money Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Its a Breeze Posted March 27, 2023 Share Posted March 27, 2023 1 hour ago, brooklynwx99 said: if we get a central-based Nino we're probably going to clean up. those are almost always money "we" as in ya'll. West-based please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted March 27, 2023 Share Posted March 27, 2023 5 minutes ago, Its a Breeze said: "we" as in ya'll. West-based please. west-based and central-based are the same thing, just different wording. they're great for both NYC and BWI due to the persistent Aleutian LP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 28, 2023 Share Posted March 28, 2023 On 3/26/2023 at 5:50 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: 97-98 Did the Sierras get buried alive with snow in 97/98? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 28, 2023 Share Posted March 28, 2023 On 3/26/2023 at 8:27 PM, Ji said: We are getting five double digit storms next winter Fixed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 28, 2023 Share Posted March 28, 2023 18 hours ago, brooklynwx99 said: seasonals almost never predict below average temps for entire months at that range, so the CanSIPS showing a solidly below average February is quite impressive if we get a central-based Nino we're probably going to clean up. those are almost always money true... but there is a reason for that. Yea a central/west based nino gives us the best chance to get the small minimal amount of cold that still exists at the mid latitudes to be over us (other then siberia which is sheltered from the impacts of the on fire global SSTs) but it does nothing to the larger scale problem that is the reason we are struggling overall, which is if 75% of the mid latitudes are above average temperatures...the odds are already stacked way against us before we even worry about any specific longwave pattern. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 28, 2023 Author Share Posted March 28, 2023 looks like we are going big....lets hope for a jan 16 repeeat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 28, 2023 Author Share Posted March 28, 2023 January 2016 was a 30 day event for us....15 days to track and 15 days aftermath...it took a month of my time which was 33% of my winter. Im good with that kind of event 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted March 28, 2023 Share Posted March 28, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 29, 2023 Share Posted March 29, 2023 1 hour ago, Ji said: January 2016 was a 30 day event for us....15 days to track and 15 days aftermath...it took a month of my time which was 33% of my winter. Im good with that kind of event It was a 30 hour snow event and was gone in two weeks. Nothing before and nothing after. Awful winter. But maybe we will get lucky and have an year like 97-98 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted March 29, 2023 Share Posted March 29, 2023 The patterns sort of ante'd up in extremes this Winter. I would say, for example, a normal effective -NAO is >+1000dm, vs +600-700dm's historically. Because of expectations it will never reach that, although the potential is there at this time. If we don't stretch the pattern, it will keep stagnating snowless for us which is what I fear... A little off topic but that's what's going on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted March 29, 2023 Share Posted March 29, 2023 24 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: It was a 30 hour snow event and was gone in two weeks. Nothing before and nothing after. Awful winter. But maybe we will get lucky and have an year like 97-98 09-10 was horrible. I've never seen 3 blizzards melt in 3 days each time like that. Would have rather there been no snow. That's why the start of the warm/stagnant pattern was somewhere 05-08. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted March 29, 2023 Share Posted March 29, 2023 6 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: 09-10 was horrible. I've never seen 3 blizzards melt in 3 days each time like that. Would have rather there been no snow. That's why the start of the warm/stagnant pattern was somewhere 05-08. holy fuck lmao absolutely insane take Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted March 29, 2023 Share Posted March 29, 2023 2 hours ago, Ji said: January 2016 was a 30 day event for us....15 days to track and 15 days aftermath...it took a month of my time which was 33% of my winter. Im good with that kind of event It was NYC's biggest snowstorm. I'll take that any day of the week, even if the rest of the winter is shit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted March 29, 2023 Share Posted March 29, 2023 5 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: holy fuck lmao absolutely insane take lol i was in Philly that year in grad school and the only part that sucked was that the city didn't plow or shovel shit. I had to walk across the Walnut St bridge to class in 2-3ft of snow multiple times. But the storms were incredible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 29, 2023 Share Posted March 29, 2023 1 minute ago, pazzo83 said: It was NYC's biggest snowstorm. I'll take that any day of the week, even if the rest of the winter is shit. Yeah, I like big dog hunting. And I got 7” of bonus snow in 15/16, which is more than I can say about 3 of the 7 winters since. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted March 29, 2023 Share Posted March 29, 2023 27 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: holy fuck lmao absolutely insane take I believe now that pressure systems are better than high latitude blocking. 13-14 and 14-15 both had ++NAO. and 15-16 was ++GOA low. Again, until we max out the raw global energy potential.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted March 29, 2023 Share Posted March 29, 2023 Please don't give me a -NAO next Winter until we saturate this pattern alot.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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