Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    18,203
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    happyclam13
    Newest Member
    happyclam13
    Joined

Spring 2023 Banter Hangout


Chicago Storm
 Share

Recommended Posts

  On 4/29/2023 at 2:23 PM, SolidIcewx said:

Hoping for some of those training events also! Perfect for lightning. I go to Clearwater on the 17th and look forward to all the lightning at nighttime when the storms are popping off around me by the ocean

Expand  

I love the 2-5 hour training events as you say they are the great for lightning.  Plus I am very lucky in that my area can handle several inches of rain without major flooding concern (minor yes).  I really hope we can get some incredible events this summer :D

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 4/29/2023 at 6:03 PM, Powerball said:

The heat lightning on Summer nights in Florida is definitely the best.

There was an event in MI about 15-20 years ago (wanna say 2006-ish time frame?) that had awesome heat lightning too. Was seeing frequent lightning flashes in the cloud tops of storms that were hitting Saginaw from all the way on Detroit's east side. Then headed into the evening and after sunset, it was non-stop flashes to the west and NW as storms gradually moved in from SW Michigan (they did weaken before reaching the city though).

Expand  

Distant lightning.

  • Haha 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 4/29/2023 at 7:24 PM, Harry Perry said:
Remember how the long range looked promising? 
 
It doesn’t anymore. Two or three backdoor cold fronts from the Northeast with freezing temps through the middle of the month. 
 
Sweet.

it still does.

ens>op guidance.
  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 4/29/2023 at 8:35 PM, Powerball said:

The NWS recognizes Heat Lightning as a way to describe it.

So as I said, Heat Lightning.

https://www.weather.gov/safety/lightning-heat#:~:text=The term heat lightning is,to hear the accompanying thunder.

Expand  

The term heat lightning is commonly used to describe lightning from a distant thunderstorm just too far away to see the actual cloud-to-ground flash or to hear the accompanying thunder.

Thanks for proving my point for me.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 4/29/2023 at 8:24 PM, Lightning said:

I love the 2-5 hour training events as you say they are the great for lightning.  Plus I am very lucky in that my area can handle several inches of rain without major flooding concern (minor yes).  I really hope we can get some incredible events this summer :D

Expand  

That’s a good thing! I remember a couple summers ago the rouge flooded in canton along with everywhere else. Old timers telling me they have not seen the canton portion flood in over 50 years. I was trapped in my neighborhood and water too deep without risking my vehicles. The storms that form from extreme cape is something else to witness as well 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 4/29/2023 at 9:44 PM, Harry Perry said:

What? You mean to tell me the OP runs won’t verify 5-10 days out? 
 

Ridiculous. Accuweather has the forecast for the next 2 months! 
 

I’m just taming my optimism for the warm-up in the event that it gets shunted (thanks blocking). 

Expand  

The blocking will weaken, all the teleconnections go toward favorable values and the MJO progresses out of the phase it is in now. The ensembles reflect this nicely.

  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 4/29/2023 at 9:49 PM, Stebo said:

The blocking will weaken, all the teleconnections go toward favorable values and the MJO progresses out of the phase it is in now. The ensembles reflect this nicely.

Expand  

Thanks for that Stebo. I’ve noticed the MJO looks favorable for a transition to possibly warmer than normal by week 2 of May. Hopefully we get a little more spring instead of 40’s and 50’s right to 80’s.

It’s about time, seems the blocking really tending to favor us in recent years. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 4/29/2023 at 9:58 PM, Harry Perry said:

Thanks for that Stebo. I’ve noticed the MJO looks favorable for a transition to possibly warmer than normal by week 2 of May. Hopefully we get a little more spring instead of 40’s and 50’s right to 80’s.

It’s about time, seems the blocking really tending to favor us in recent years. 

Expand  

It should be gradual this time around.

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 4/29/2023 at 8:39 PM, Stebo said:

The term heat lightning is commonly used to describe lightning from a distant thunderstorm just too far away to see the actual cloud-to-ground flash or to hear the accompanying thunder.

Thanks for proving my point for me.

Expand  

How much of an ass can you be? Sheesh man, of course that’s what it is, he even admitted that the storms were far off. If anything it’s something that usually occurs during warmer seasons only where you get the truly towering thunderstorms. Awesome to see while flying at night to be honest

  • Like 1
  • Thanks 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 4/30/2023 at 4:14 PM, nwohweather said:

How much of an ass can you be? Sheesh man, of course that’s what it is, he even admitted that the storms were far off. If anything it’s something that usually occurs during warmer seasons only where you get the truly towering thunderstorms. Awesome to see while flying at night to be honest

Expand  

Heat lightning is just not the correct term, I don't care what people called it 50 years ago, the correct scientific term is distant lightning.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 4/30/2023 at 4:14 PM, nwohweather said:

How much of an ass can you be? Sheesh man, of course that’s what it is, he even admitted that the storms were far off. If anything it’s something that usually occurs during warmer seasons only where you get the truly towering thunderstorms. Awesome to see while flying at night to be honest

Expand  

Spring storms in Michigan are often hidden by layers of frontal clouds.  Summer is when you get the blossoming distant towers with clear conditions for miles around.  I got video of a really good frequent IC display as a backbuilding complex slowly slid off to the S and SE in late August 2019.  This was one of the best ones I have seen on this side of the state.

https://youtu.be/YL4YWlq-bwg

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 5/1/2023 at 3:02 PM, SolidIcewx said:

Not gonna lie the precip screw hole in the LP of MI is definitely welcome. I’ll take cold and breezy then add rain on top

edit: not 15 mins after I post I got hailed on pretty good while I’m working lol

Expand  

I got about 0.1" of sleet with one of the showers that moved through.  

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 5/1/2023 at 3:02 PM, SolidIcewx said:

Not gonna lie the precip screw hole in the LP of MI is definitely welcome. I’ll take cold and breezy then add rain on top

edit: not 15 mins after I post I got hailed on pretty good while I’m working lol

Expand  

Would be "mercy hole".  The sun was actually poking through earlier.  Now its back to cold and gray with a pathetic drizzle you can feel on your skin but can't really even see with the naked eye.

  • Sad 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 5/3/2023 at 2:24 PM, Jonger said:

I totally hate dirt roads. Spent 16 years on one..... never again.

Expand  

They repaved it last Thursday and since 1.5-2” has fallen. Holes so bad my work truck had to go to the shop. Measured one 6.5” deep water covered too so hard to tell what ones will eat your tire for breakfast 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 5/3/2023 at 2:24 PM, Jonger said:

I totally hate dirt roads. Spent 16 years on one..... never again.

Expand  

I would say to stay away from dirt roads because of the mud (I live on a dirt road) but it is not like the paved roads are always better.  Some of the paved roads have potholes 365 days a year and take them years to schedule/do replacement.  At least they grade the dirt roads frequent enough that a good 80%+ of the year they are in great shape. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...