WxWatcher007 Posted March 14, 2023 Author Share Posted March 14, 2023 Slotting again and temp going up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 8 minutes ago, Massplow said: What are the chances we get some accumulation on asphalt in the Sharon/Mansfield/dedham areas. Have a full crew of plow drivers and shovelers and dont know what to tell them at this point Probably nothing. Anywhere south of the pike is probably cooked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said: Slotting again and temp going up. Looking at BOX to our north, the melting layer is trying to retreat. Let's hope that continues. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 15 minutes ago, TalcottWx said: I'm declaring the winter the biggest piece of s--t to ever grace CTRV and I'm going the liquor store. Here’s looking at you kid. Cheers. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Maybe a couple on inches later, but nothing crazy Agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 Scooter cautions should be followed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 15”+ S. Hooksett from my dad 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 Just now, TalcottWx said: Looking at BOX to our north, the melting layer is trying to retreat. Let's hope that continues. WTTTU Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCHurricane Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 +24” here @ Stratton 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 Is a 10:1 clown really bad (within a realistic time frame, not a week or hour 384), it gives a 'quick look' at what the model thinks will fall as snow, and can be easily adjusted for a different ratio? Just a little more work on a 1 hour or three hour update to trim off QPF when it might be snowing but not sticking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KoalaBeer Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 13 minutes ago, MegaMike said: People trash a model if snowfall doesn't produce in their back yard. If someone says 'x' model sucks, I want them to cite an evaluation (post-hoc or operational) of meteorological forcing fields related to heat and moisture both at the surface and aloft. Those fields contributes significantly to the accuracy of NWP... Not snowfall at one location (which is typically calculated from a private website, excluding a couple NWP models). If someone were to run an evaluation of this event, you'll likely find that temperature performed well (sfc + aloft), moisture performed okay (Td or specific humidity at the sfc and aloft), and wind speed performed okay (directional and magnitudinal at the sfc and aloft - worse as you approach the surface). All NWP models struggle with QPF (for a number of reasons) so it's not solely used to determine a model's overall performance. Through my experience, it usually performs reasonable as a bulk statistic. IMO, ensembles should always be used for QPF forecasting. Diagnostic models should be used to determine trends. Thanks for this post. It definitely irks me when people trash a model without data to back it up. Admittedly I wish that data was easier to find…I’ve had this bookmarked for a while, and I think CSU used to have a good page… https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/html/modeldiag.html#verification Seems like it didn’t matter how many times with this event pro mets told everyone to toss the clown maps in the trash, people were still treating them like the gospel. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ariof Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 Meanwhile Mount Snow is reporting 34" 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: WTTTU Wtf does this stand for Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MegaMike Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 30 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: IMO, the snowfall maps have been a detriment to the field. These things get tossed around left and right and literally all they do is create unrealistic expectations and create hype for the public. There is nothing worse then seeing 384-HR snow maps being thrown around all over social media or snow maps for a "D10 threat". There is absolutely ZERO reason. When an event happens the event is then measured solely on how the f****** snow maps "performed". WHO GIVES A SHIT HOW THE HELL THEY PERFORMED. Speaking of QPF though, I think models have come along way with QPF forecasting. But I think mesos have really helped with this. I totally agree with this. QPF has definitely improved over the past several decades. I just wish people would stop using mesos past 1pbl cycle. Thereafter, their reliability diminishes. It's the equivalent of using the GFS past day 7. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 Just now, TalcottWx said: Wtf does this stand for We tried to tell u Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 1 minute ago, ariof said: Meanwhile Mount Snow is reporting 34" Damn, epic! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
subdude Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 10 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: most of us should break 2 feet around here I was skeptical all week and on the low end of the 12-18" camp leading up to this. We never slotted which also helped. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 1 minute ago, dendrite said: We tried to tell u I’ve been trying to decipher that for quite some time, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HinghamBoss Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 Windy and grey skies. Light flakes. Mud city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 11.5". Still coming down fairly hard, but flake size is smaller. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 7 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Slotting again and temp going up. Raining here lol. This fucking winter can't die soon enough. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 4 minutes ago, CCHurricane said: +24” here @ Stratton absolutely dumping on the Stratton Summit 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
subdude Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 3 minutes ago, ariof said: Meanwhile Mount Snow is reporting 34" Just what the Dr. ordered. My son works at Loon he said 4" overnight. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 19 minutes ago, Massplow said: What are the chances we get some accumulation on asphalt in the Sharon/Mansfield/dedham areas. Have a full crew of plow drivers and shovelers and dont know what to tell them at this point Brutal. Sorry to hear this. Nothing worst then getting everything ready and it not come. Boston weather people going to hear it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 Just now, Hoth said: Raining here lol. This fucking winter can't die soon enough. Rain with wet snow flakes mixed in here and there. 37. I agree, in terms of frustration and wasted potential its the king of all rats. In terms of snowfall im doing ever so slightly better than 01-02 with that metric. But subjectively, its the worst. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lurker Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 1 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 Been “snowing” pretty much since 11:00 here, but it’s glorified white rain. Absolutely nothing has accumulated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 DIT must be ripping right now. 31.7° there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 7 minutes ago, dendrite said: We tried to tell u My favorite part of the storm was BOX pulling the trigger on a WSW here after all the Accumulating snow finished. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 12 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said: Here’s looking at you kid. Cheers. Beer 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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