kdxken Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Heh ...they do happen from time to ....long ass time... 1978, 1992, 1997 ... etc. But yup, the return rate's probably less than the model portrayal rate - will to guess. I'd also argue that since the era of higher gradient between the subtropic latitudes and the poles increased in winters, the faster tendencies has also limited the likeliness of that kind of behavior. In fact, this is one of the slower solutions we've probably seen in recent years... It's lowered overall impact is mostly related to p.o.s. ass vomit ot winter's bum air mass in place, though... and no source during. It was all going to have to be "manufactured" ... It's why it's up to 34 here, and hearing drips in the middle of the Nor'easter... it's f'n mid March. But we lost something like an inch in rain overnight when the Berk's roof top was glaciating. Too early to go completely post-mortem but just the mid storm impression... or latter storm In short, meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 While the mid-level evolution still appears pretty good for banding from the west to push east....I wonder if we start losing the firehose. Once llvl lows track northeast we kind of lose the infux of Atlantic moisture into the system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 5 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Looks like the band may be intensifying a bit over western Connecticut. Models nailed it. We're gonna get some great stuff for a bit. Enjoy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Where the hell is it?? I’m an idiot. I put it in Ashburnham. Lol 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 In a lull now for the last hour. The temperature went up to 36, but my thermometer is tacked on the privacy fence between my place and my neighbor's and tends to warm up this time of day. Not sure how much solar energy is getting through the clouds, but since we are up 2 to 3 degrees from surrounding stations, I wonder. Not a lot of dripping out there yet, though the wind is taking snow off the trees. I'm glad about that; less chance of losing power. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 13 minutes ago, dendrite said: Although I just looked at radar and it looks like it could be interesting here for a little while. if the band that is rocking me here gets up your way, you will be pleased. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 tiny flakes and brighter skies. 35.1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 Steadier SN now, but nothing sticking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 Had a big branch from a Norway maple come down and almost take out the lines. Lots of saggage out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 Even a marginal antecedent cold air mass might have given parts of ORH Co and the Berks possible 40" lolli's. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 Just now, CoastalWx said: Steadier SN now, but nothing sticking. Still thinking 3-6 there? Maybe .3-.6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: While the mid-level evolution still appears pretty good for banding from the west to push east....I wonder if we start losing the firehose. Once llvl lows track northeast we kind of lose the infux of Atlantic moisture into the system. Firehose out of east will def cease pretty soon and we’ll see more ML type stuff fill in. I think we’ll see some pretty good bands redevelop. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Even a marginal antecedent cold air mass might have given parts of ORH Co and the Berks possible 40" lolli's. I think they see that in Rowe area or somewhere around 2k Mitch will grab a 40” seems like Ashby mass at 1k is mid to upper 20’s by now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 Just now, CoastalWx said: Steadier SN now, but nothing sticking. Who was in Asburnham? MPM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 I'd say 7". Close to 1.5" from core. Lawn is only about 4 or 5", picnic table different story 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 1 minute ago, dendrite said: Who was in Asburnham? MPM? @JJBASHB used to live there I think 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 Meanwhile here in drizzle ville it’s 38F with bare ground and 1.96” of rain. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Firehose out of east will def cease pretty soon and we’ll see more ML type stuff fill in. I think we’ll see some pretty good bands redevelop. Ah good, that's what I was leaning with too but was a little nervous looking at the RAP and was wondering why precip didn't appear as impressive given the mlvls but forgot I was looking at 1hr QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 1 minute ago, dendrite said: Who was in Asburnham? MPM? JBASHB I think used to be. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FSUIZZY Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 1 minute ago, 8611Blizz said: tiny flakes and brighter skies. 35.1 Yeh, nothing big is going to happen over here. Maybe an inch when all is said and done. Which would be a perfect ending to this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 This storm has been like stepping on rusty nail here. 2”+ of rain. Temp of 44 here currently, and virtually no wind to speak of. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I think they see that in Rowe area or somewhere around 2k Mitch will grab a 40” seems like Ashby mass at 1k is mid to upper 20’s by now Heath and parts of Charlemont were over 2’ at noon. Love to know what Savoy has. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Steadier SN now, but nothing sticking. Temp up to 45, sun peaking out. make it stop. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 3 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: Still thinking 3-6 there? Maybe .3-.6 Nope. Always take the under this winter. And I kind of did lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 Wonder how long we'll stay in this dry slot. It looks like it extends pretty far west. A good event even if we don't get anything more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 6 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Heh ...they do happen from time to ....long ass time... 1978, 1992, 1997 ... etc. Return rate's probably a bit less than the model portrayal right - I'll give you that. I'd also argue that since the era of higher gradient between the subtropic latitudes and the poles increased in winters, the faster tendencies has also limited the likeliness of that kind of behavior. In fact, this is one of the slower solutions we've probably seen in recent years... It's lowered overall impact is mostly related to p.o.s. ass vomit ot winter's bum air mass in place, though... and no source during. It was all going to have to be "manufactured" ... It's why it's up to 34 here, and hearing drips in the middle of the Nor'easter... it's f'n mid March. But we lost something like an inch in rain overnight when the Berk's roof top was glaciating. Too early to go completely post-mortem but just the mid storm impression... or latter storm Exactly....lost slightly more than an inch of precip to rain..and then it took a while for the snow to begin accumulating because of the relatively warm and wet ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 34.9, great snow growth phasing in and out here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 Just got back down to my place in Simsbury. Roughly 3" OTG. Snow is beginning. Was raining initially, but starting to flip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 Just now, J Paul Gordon said: Wonder how long we'll stay in this dry slot. It looks like it extends pretty far west. A good event even if we don't get anything more. Should start filling in over the next 60-90 minutes if the short term mesos have any clue (and to be fair, they’ve been pretty bad). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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