michsnowfreak Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 3 hours ago, nwohweather said: Not much can beat April 2016 though. To see 7” of snow was truly shocking I was jealous of missing that one. We only had about a half inch here, just missed it to the south. But as mentioned we have been on a string of late snowfalls. April 18, 2022 April 21, 2021 April 17, 2020 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 7 hours ago, michsnowfreak said: I was jealous of missing that one. We only had about a half inch here, just missed it to the south. But as mentioned we have been on a string of late snowfalls. April 18, 2022 April 21, 2021 April 17, 2020 Now you need a last week of April to early may snowfall pic. It’s like filing out a state quarter board check it off the list 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 zzzzzzzz 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hardypalmguy Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 12 hours ago, michsnowfreak said: Meanwhile the last 3 April's at DTW 2022- 4.1" 2021- 3.6" 2020- 4.9" The April 20/21, 2021 snowstorm dropped 3.6" at DTW but 4.4" here and with things blooming early, the scenes on Apr 21st were surreal. no thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hardypalmguy Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 Palm tree weather 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 4 minutes ago, hardypalmguy said: Palm tree weather Definitely palm tree weather when I go to Clearwater in a couple months 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rainsucks Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 9 hours ago, michsnowfreak said: I was jealous of missing that one. We only had about a half inch here, just missed it to the south. But as mentioned we have been on a string of late snowfalls. April 18, 2022 April 21, 2021 April 17, 2020 that's just wrong imo. April snow is garbage 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rainsucks Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 16 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: Wishful thinking, cold and damp a lock My hopes aren't too high for a warm April either, but what makes you so sure that it's a lock? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hardypalmguy Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 5 minutes ago, rainsucks said: My hopes aren't too high for a warm April either, but what makes you so sure that it's a lock? he doesn't know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 11 hours ago, michsnowfreak said: When I see this photo, the movie "Runaway Train" instantly pops into my head. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 19 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said: When I see this photo, the movie "Runaway Train" instantly pops into my head. I remember you saying that when I originally posted it! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 4 hours ago, SolidIcewx said: Now you need a last week of April to early may snowfall pic. It’s like filing out a state quarter board check it off the list Actually...see the 11pm-1am heavy snow of May 10-11, 2020. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 2 hours ago, michsnowfreak said: Actually...see the 11pm-1am heavy snow of May 10-11, 2020. Damn those are good pics sir. Ahh that’s right I forgot about that one. I was sleeping thru that one. Pretty cool how we can torch and on the flip side get neat experiences like that. Edit: If I remember correctly didn’t the weeks following flip pretty hard? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 2 hours ago, SolidIcewx said: Damn those are good pics sir. Ahh that’s right I forgot about that one. I was sleeping thru that one. Pretty cool how we can torch and on the flip side get neat experiences like that. Edit: If I remember correctly didn’t the weeks following flip pretty hard? Yes it went from very cold to hot. Not sure if you're area got accumulation, it was mostly east side. But we did have snowflakes 5 days in a row (May 8-12). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 7 hours ago, hawkeye_wx said: When I see this photo, the movie "Runaway Train" instantly pops into my head. And cause u posted that I have Runaway Train by Soul Asylum in my head 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 23 hours ago, nwohweather said: Not much can beat April 2016 though. To see 7” of snow was truly shocking That was the first time we went sledding that Winter....if you could even call it a winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 16, 2023 Share Posted March 16, 2023 Zzzzzz 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted March 16, 2023 Share Posted March 16, 2023 1 hour ago, A-L-E-K said: Zzzzzz it's okay. You need to slow down when you're turning a corner. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 16, 2023 Share Posted March 16, 2023 17 hours ago, Frog Town said: That was the first time we went sledding that Winter....if you could even call it a winter. Wow. It's funny some winters the state line is so often the dividing line. Then toledo will randomly get a snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rainsucks Posted March 16, 2023 Share Posted March 16, 2023 On 3/11/2023 at 7:07 AM, IWXwx said: I'll just leave this right here so that our favorite tropical horticulturalist can make proper preparations. This is not going to verify well imo, at least for our region. The 18th and 19th look to be the only actual cold days, with the rest of that timeframe being slightly above to potentially well above average, we'll see tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted March 16, 2023 Share Posted March 16, 2023 1 hour ago, rainsucks said: This is not going to verify well imo, at least for our region. The 18th and 19th look to be the only actual cold days, with the rest of that timeframe being slightly above to potentially well above average, we'll see tho. You do know what our normals are? Hoping you are right but I am not seeing it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted March 17, 2023 Share Posted March 17, 2023 Next Thursday checks pattern recognition boxes for a legit severe/tornado threat in the region given a juicy air mass (55-60+ Td) surging northward with a sharpening warm front, 70-90 kt flow at h5, and forecast steep mid-level lapse rates. The forecast lower amplitude 500 mb pattern results in a more favorable wind profile with height, WSW or SW at h5, vs. meridional south or SSW with a negatively tilted trough. In addition, there would be a chance for right moving storms to have residence time near the warm front as opposed to immediately surging north of the boundary.All the usual caveats apply, including meaningful shifts in the currently favorable looking setup, but at this lead time, one of the better late March synoptic patterns in recent years. March 28, 2020 comes to mind and that event not performing to its potential exemplifies the caveats for March setups. Signal is there for a flooding threat as well if the boundary can stay convectively active through the night. At least it's something to monitor and more interesting than the brutal CAD to start this weekend. 8 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 17, 2023 Share Posted March 17, 2023 exciting times Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted March 17, 2023 Share Posted March 17, 2023 41 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said: Next Thursday checks pattern recognition boxes for a legit severe/tornado threat in the region given a juicy air mass (55-60+ Td) surging northward with a sharpening warm front, 70-90 kt flow at h5, and forecast steep mid-level lapse rates. The forecast lower amplitude 500 mb pattern results in a more favorable wind profile with height, WSW or SW at h5, vs. meridional south or SSW with a negatively tilted trough. In addition, there would be a chance for right moving storms to have residence time near the warm front as opposed to immediately surging north of the boundary. All the usual caveats apply, including meaningful shifts in the currently favorable looking setup, but at this lead time, one of the better late March synoptic patterns in recent years. March 28, 2020 comes to mind and that event not performing to its potential exemplifies the caveats for March setups. Signal is there for a flooding threat as well if the boundary can stay convectively active through the night. At least it's something to monitor and more interesting than the brutal CAD to start this weekend. Timing looks off for our region on the 06Z GFS. There's some instability but the lead surface low comes through too early, veering the winds, while the main one is still hanging back in the Rockies at 21Z Thursday. Lots of bouncing around to go...something to watch, at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted March 17, 2023 Share Posted March 17, 2023 Timing looks off for our region on the 06Z GFS. There's some instability but the lead surface low comes through too early, veering the winds, while the main one is still hanging back in the Rockies at 21Z Thursday. Lots of bouncing around to go...something to watch, at least.I wasn't even looking at specific timing too much since the ingredients were fairly similar on the overnight guidance. Considering the propensity of warm fronts to get hung up by the lake this time of year, the 00z Euro had a plausible look to it. Plus if the wave is lower amplitude, you'd be more likely to have a weaker sfc low initially and gradual intensification more conducive to slower northward movement of the warm front.That's probably even too specific at 6+ days out, though using typical early spring setups as a guide, it's certainly more common for warm fronts to get hung up farther south than for them to rapidly surge north. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rainsucks Posted March 17, 2023 Share Posted March 17, 2023 19 hours ago, Harry said: You do know what our normals are? Hoping you are right but I am not seeing it. I'm well aware of what our normals are, and all of next week looks to be above that, with Thursday in particular looking to be very mild for the region. Hell, you may not have a daytime high below 50 for the entirety of next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 17, 2023 Share Posted March 17, 2023 2 hours ago, rainsucks said: I'm well aware of what our normals are, and all of next week looks to be above that, with Thursday in particular looking to be very mild for the region. Hell, you may not have a daytime high below 50 for the entirety of next week. We going to be well below average on the 18th of the 19th. The map you shared was for the 18th-24th, which will very likely finish colder than average even if the period ends warmer than average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 17, 2023 Share Posted March 17, 2023 snow after mid march is about as exciting as having sex with a leather condom 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaryWarren Posted March 17, 2023 Share Posted March 17, 2023 23 minutes ago, buckeye said: snow is about as exciting as having sex with a leather condom fyp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted March 17, 2023 Share Posted March 17, 2023 3 hours ago, rainsucks said: I'm well aware of what our normals are, and all of next week looks to be above that, with Thursday in particular looking to be very mild for the region. Hell, you may not have a daytime high below 50 for the entirety of next week. Nws has 45 Monday, 50 Tuesday, 49 wednesday, and 53 Thursday with a cold front incoming. Normal high 50-51.. You were saying? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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