LibertyBell Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 1 hour ago, Winterweatherlover said: It might stick a little on the north shore, south shore no. I'm thinking maybe 2 inches on the north shore, 1 inch middle island, and less than an inch down here (and similar in the city), hoping for under 0.5 inch to preserve that record. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 46 minutes ago, Winterweatherlover said: 5 degrees is a big difference. yeah a 5 degree difference represents a whole lot of heat content differential. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 13, 2023 Author Share Posted March 13, 2023 All I can say is LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 3 hours ago, Tatamy said: This is their latest snow map. I am not so sure about snow amounts of 6-10” as far south as I-78 (I am assuming that refers to places west of I287). That might be a stretch. In any case the map does do a good job of matching elevated areas to increased snow amounts. uhm wow, there is no way my area in the Poconos is going to get 12-18 or even 8-12...... 6 inches would be good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 13, 2023 Author Share Posted March 13, 2023 Hot off the presses 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 Just now, NJwx85 said: Hot off the presses Eww 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 5 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Eww that's not that different from what I have for Long Island, I think they're a little excessive on NYC though, if Central Park gets half an inch consider that lucky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB_Wchstr Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 Just now, LibertyBell said: that's not that different from what I have for Long Island, I think they're a little excessive on NYC though, if Central Park gets half an inch consider that lucky. It’s really something that we’ve had to hope, pray and cast spells to finally get to a wet noodle as the grand finale to this poor excuse for a winter. I know that belongs in banter but I don’t care 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 Latest Mt. Holly snowmap 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 1 hour ago, sn0w said: The winter storm warning for western passaic, orange, and putnam was just updated 10 minutes ago. They actually upped the min totals...calling for 6-12 where the original was 4-12. I mentioned the same, for Sussex county hours ago. Maybe the pros see what we don't? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard-on-GFS Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 9 minutes ago, sussexcountyobs said: I mentioned the same, for Sussex county hours ago. Maybe the pros see what we don't? They will adjust downward. I think the HRRR has a pretty good handle of the final solution here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinRP37 Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 Just got back from catamount and it was snowing pretty good most of the day at the summit. Snow was pretty good. Halfway down it gets a little slushy but still fun conditions. I do think they will get the snow that they are modeled for. Once you get away from the coast this looks pretty good. If Metro North is running the wassaic branch tomorrow board a train and come on up. Mountains were snow capped! 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 31 minutes ago, Tatamy said: Latest Mt. Holly snowmap This looks more reasonable. I'd argue that the 8-12 for MPO should be further cut down to 6-8 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 7 minutes ago, JustinRP37 said: Just got back from catamount and it was snowing pretty good most of the day at the summit. Snow was pretty good. Halfway down it gets a little slushy but still fun conditions. I do think they will get the snow that they are modeled for. Once you get away from the coast this looks pretty good. If Metro North is running the wassaic branch tomorrow board a train and come on up. Mountains were snow capped! the northeast is morphing into the west coast lol. We're going to evolve into a similar climate where snow is common in the mountains but very rare at the coast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinRP37 Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 1 minute ago, LibertyBell said: the northeast is morphing into the west coast lol. We're going to evolve into a similar climate where snow is common in the mountains but very rare at the coast. Unfortunately we don’t have the elevation for that of warmth prevails. Tack on another 5k in elevation and that could be the case. But it is pretty cool how Belleayre will now have had over 100 inches this season with this storm despite how god awful the winter was for most of us. Catamount did not get as lucky most of the year compared to the Catskills 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinRP37 Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 12 minutes ago, Blizzard-on-GFS said: They will adjust downward. I think the HRRR has a pretty good handle of the final solution here. Damn that would be 14-18 by me. I think that’s a bit high but I guess we will see tomorrow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vegan_edible Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 GFS upped totals significantly 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 6 minutes ago, vegan_edible said: GFS upped totals significantly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 Anyone interested, especially tomorrow, here is a good webcam of Fitchburg Ma. They are expecting close to 20 inches. https://masswebcams.com/fitchburg-mass-webcam-downtown/ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vegan_edible Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 1 minute ago, Snowlover11 said: i spoke to soon, the gradient is so sharp, 10:1 (which isnt happening) puts me in white plains at 7.8" and the city at 1". The cut off looks like yonkers which i can see because there is a big drop in elevation when you hit the bronx, but still highly unlikely. just interesting to see the models inch towards a slightly more snowy outcome 12 hours away from the show 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 Any real-time obs? Pressure falls? Or are we just watching mid range models for this storm yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bxstormwatcher360 Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 My dp and temp dropped 2 degrees to 40/39. Winds are now northerly also..i do expect a positive bust here,reguardless of what the models say, the colder air is coming.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 1 hour ago, JB_Wchstr said: It’s really something that we’ve had to hope, pray and cast spells to finally get to a wet noodle as the grand finale to this poor excuse for a winter. I know that belongs in banter but I don’t care also: I hate the word "lull" they should just say nothing is happening for the next few hours, "lull" is like an excuse they give themselves....this is basically two different storms, the one tomorrow is the actual coastal. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 Channel 7 talking a little more aggressive with potential snow totals after latest guidance shows heavy bands, especially north and east, and possibly to the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tempestatis014 Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 45 and -RA here. Heaviest precipitation just offshore. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Picard Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 Don't think I've ever seen a warning followed by a prediction of 2-8 inches. Action Recommended Make preparations per the instructions Issued By Philadelphia - PA, US, National Weather Service Affected Area Sussex, Warren and Morris counties Description ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT TUESDAY... WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 8 inches. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. WHERE...Sussex, Warren and Morris counties. WHEN...Until 6 PM EDT Tuesday. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowfreak09 Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 7 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: also: I hate the word "lull" they should just say nothing is happening for the next few hours, "lull" is like an excuse they give themselves....this is basically two different storms, the one tomorrow is the actual coastal. yes, i concur 100% excellent point 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Islandersguy Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 7 minutes ago, lee59 said: Channel 7 talking a little more aggressive with potential snow totals after latest guidance shows heavy bands, especially north and east, and possibly to the coast. Saw that too! I’m also realizing tomorrow is the last time we will see snow until next year! So I’ll take it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 2 minutes ago, Snowfreak09 said: yes, i concur 100% excellent point They say it every day on every forecast, it's like a disease that's spreading lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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