wishcast_hater Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 NAM's 2 inches of QPF at a 5:1 ratio is a nice decent school canceler for SE Nassau/SW Suffolk. Not giving up hope.I laughed my ass off when I saw what you named the image. Hope.PNGLOL. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 3 minutes ago, allgame830 said: WSW just put up for Northern Westchester, Rockland and Western Bergen yup 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 54 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Euro takes it away…oh well That's one run on a weekend. WX/PT 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 46 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Central Park still has a good shot at futility. If this fails which you have to say looks more likely than not at this point it’s an F. I have 7.5” with roughly a 35” seasonal average. Huge F. At this point it’s not only possible but more likely than not cpk hits futility record. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bxstormwatcher360 Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 I think we get paste bombed for this storm..intense rates usually brings the cold air down,hence the wet snow even at 33-34 degrees..also every model differs when it comes to the ivt,some have no ivt at all which is what us coasties want. Reguardless it's gonna snow here in N.Y.C.!! 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 7 minutes ago, wishcast_hater said: I laughed my ass off when I saw what you named the image. Hope.PNG LOL . Looking at that does beg the question....when was the last time both Boston and NYC got 2 feet or more of snow (or even 20"+ each), while Philly, DC and Baltimore got 0" (or even less than 1" each?) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 I think we're gonna get NAM'd again 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 33 minutes ago, allgame830 said: NWS watches don’t make any sense…. WSW for New Haven county but skips over NoRthern Westchester and Rockland then a WSW in Orange… lol They saw what you said and put one up for those areas too lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 2 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: They saw what you said and put one up for those areas too lol Lol…. I was just stating the obvious because the gap in the watches made no sense don’t you agree? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 8 minutes ago, SRRTA22 said: I think we're gonna get NAM'd again Nope Way east How can the models be this bad 2 days out ? You can't trust anything 5 days out anymore 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tristateweatherFB Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 13 minutes ago, SRRTA22 said: I think we're gonna get NAM'd again What the heck do you see. Well east 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Mentioned in NE thread. This is a nowcast situation but there is a bad trend for down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 12 minutes ago, allgame830 said: Lol…. I was just stating the obvious because the gap in the watches made no sense don’t you agree? Yes lol I just thought it was funny right after that they put them up to cover the gap lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Just now, LibertyBell said: Yes lol I just thought it was funny right after that they put them up to cover the gap lol. True 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 FWIW OceanStWX from the NE forum thinks these models should be more focused on a low much further west and not the one wayyyy east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinRP37 Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Still looks good north of 287 and definitely 84. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mannynyc Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 NAM is farther east than 12z but still west of other models. I don't think this is the final solution but I think it does a good job. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
romba Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 12 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Nope Way east How can the models be this bad 2 days out ? You can't trust anything 5 days out anymore Unless they say cutter or OTS for NYC proper, then 0 wavering 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Just now, mannynyc said: NAM is farther east than 12z but still west of other models. I don't think this is the final solution but I think it does a good job. Ouch at Albany with that downslope. Otherwise I’m closing the shades on this unless there’s a huge turnaround tonight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 FWIW - the 18Z 3K NAM looks much better than the 12K and not much different than 12Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binbisso Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 3k looks great 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 2 minutes ago, mannynyc said: NAM is farther east than 12z but still west of other models. I don't think this is the final solution but I think it does a good job. Good job lol the model is awful. It took HPN at like 22” at 12z to 2.1” at 18z… wonderful consistency 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mannynyc Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 1 minute ago, mannynyc said: NAM is farther east than 12z but still west of other models. I don't think this is the final solution but I think it does a good job. A 6 inch+ event for NYC was never really likely. I still think we see some accumulations, 1-3 being very likely, and don't think 3-6 is totally out of the question. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 LOL what an absolute shitshow the nam is. goes from a nuke to basically nadda compared to 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Hug the 3k nam and take a nap until the 0z suite. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Just now, Rjay said: Hug the 3k nam and take a nap until the 0z suite. How in the hell can the 3k and 12k of the same model be so different can someone explain that to me and don’t give me the BS that just the model sucks we know that already… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Just now, allgame830 said: How in the hell can the 3k and 12k of the same model be so different can someone explain that to me and don’t give me the BS that just the model sucks we know that already… You just answered your own question though. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 4 minutes ago, Rjay said: Hug the 3k nam and take a nap until the 0z suite. Hug it? I am on 3rd base looking to steal home. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Latest EPS members for NYC: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 44 minutes ago, Wxoutlooksblog said: That's one run on a weekend. WX/PT Sunday scaries? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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