MJO812 Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Overall a nice run for the interior . Coast drops into the mid 30s when the CCb cranks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Coppied from NE forum 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 1 minute ago, David-LI said: Coppied from NE forum Where can I sign? Looks great...perhaps the boundary layer doesn't support these accumulations? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 3 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Overall a nice run for the interior . Coast drops into the mid 30s when the CCb cranks. Euro really hasn't waivered much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 1 minute ago, David-LI said: Coppied from NE forum Wow. Just seen this in their thread too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 1 minute ago, Metasequoia said: Where can I sign? on the dotted line buried in the snow lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 1 minute ago, Metasequoia said: Where can I sign? Right? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 2 minutes ago, David-LI said: Coppied from NE forum Not bad. Would be nice if everyone from DC-BOS got a blizzard, but that is great for NYC and I would by far have my biggest snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 4 minutes ago, David-LI said: Coppied from NE forum That 8-10 inches is enough for me, don't need any more than that. Beggars can't be choosers and especially when it's back end snow it's a lot better than front end snows that get washed away. It would qualify right up there with the best March snows of the last 3 decades here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Anyone have NYC total snowfall on this euro run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 16 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: Thats not how it works though, climate change means more extremes so more of these atmospheric river events. One thing is clear though, for us specifically it means a smaller more concentrated JF snowfall season, so I never bite into very late or very early season events anymore. One rule I steadfastly follow, if JF are bad then our snowfall season is screwed. The December rule is usually a good one especially in a Nina when we need to do well early. When there’s not at least a half decent Dec event, the rest of the winter almost always sucks. We had the Dec 16, 2020 significant event, Jan 4, 2018 major event etc before those seasons overall were successful. In a Nina we need to score early. Too early to tell for sure about what’ll happen with this Mon into Tue event but I’m not encouraged at least for most of us. We need to draw a flush. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 10, 2023 Author Share Posted March 10, 2023 The Euro develops the system a bit later but we still end up with well over 2" of QPF. This should be all from storm 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 1 minute ago, David-LI said: Anyone have NYC total snowfall on this euro run? Look above Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Just now, jm1220 said: The December rule is usually a good one especially in a Nina when we need to do well early. When there’s not at least a half decent Dec event, the rest of the winter almost always sucks. We had the Dec 16, 2020 significant event, Jan 4, 2018 major event etc before those seasons overall were successful. In a Nina we need to score early. Too early to tell for sure about what’ll happen with this Mon into Tue event but I’m not encouraged at least for most of us. We need to draw a flush. Unfortunately, this la nina was like a strong el nino for the first half of the season, which is why we got the worst possible combo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 1 minute ago, mattinpa said: Not bad. Would be nice if everyone from DC-BOS got a blizzard, but that is great for NYC and I would by far have my biggest snow. I could see maybe a Snowicane 2/25/10 scenario happen if the capture/fling north happens in a good spot. Berkshires to the Catskills are probably the prime zone at this point. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 1 minute ago, David-LI said: Anyone have NYC total snowfall on this euro run? The snowmap on pivotal shows much less than the stormvista one posted above. It has only about 4-5 inches fore NYC. This Euro run did back down from the 0z run. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 1 minute ago, Franklin0529 said: Look above That map looks like less than the first map, 2-3 inches and that's on 10:1 so half of that is more likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 8 minutes ago, David-LI said: Coppied from NE forum This must be counting sleet as snow? The Pivotal snow map shows much less. NJwx posted it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Ensembles will be interesting as the Op may continue to be an anomaly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
romba Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 This: Vs same run on pivotal Let's not get out hopes too high off of one crazy weenie map, I think the pivotal is more realistic here 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 I really don't care if I see 1-3 inches Just something to coat the ground 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 11 minutes ago, David-LI said: Coppied from NE forum wait - the euro gives me 18 to 21? HOLY SHIT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 1 minute ago, romba said: This: Vs same run on pivotal Let's not get out hopes too high off of one crazy weenie map, I think the pivotal is more realistic here OK yes pivotal is less stoned. Still... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Just now, romba said: This: Vs same run on pivotal Let's not get out hopes too high off of one crazy weenie map, I think the pivotal is more realistic here Anyone around NYC needs the strong dynamics to work out for there to be any real snow at all. If what hits us is anything less than heavy it’ll likely be rain or white rain. The low has to bomb and heights crash in the right spot. People inland and with elevation have more wiggle room with a more marginal setup. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 4 minutes ago, MJO812 said: I really don't care if I see 1-3 inches Just something to coat the ground Wonder what the QPF is on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 You need this sucker to explode and tuck. Anything less and you won't see much. There's still time for models to trend in that direction. I would give it another 2 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
romba Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 6 minutes ago, cleetussnow said: wait - the euro gives me 18 to 21? HOLY SHIT yea me too, don't buy it though that map is wayyyy overdone imo. Cut in half, and then half again is probably more realistic imby in NENJ on that run lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 2 minutes ago, hudsonvalley21 said: Wonder what the QPF is on this run. Over 2" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 10, 2023 Author Share Posted March 10, 2023 Theoretically on the Euro, most of this subforum sees 12+ hours of sleet or mixed precip which would cut down on totals along the coast. Doubt that happens in reality. We would be under the "death band" for a good 6-12 hours and even though surface temps would be 2-3 degrees above freezing I do believe it would accumulate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 10, 2023 Author Share Posted March 10, 2023 4 minutes ago, hudsonvalley21 said: Wonder what the QPF is on this run. About 2-2.5" areawide. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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