anthonyweather Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 7 minutes ago, anthonyweather said: . Slowly caving Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Don’t want to be negative but relying on long range NAM for hope is likely to lead to dissapointment. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 RGEM looks slightly improved to me but I’d say we are running out of time for only slight improvements. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 My towel is in my hand if we don’t see major changes by 12z today I’m about to throw it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 3 minutes ago, Winterweatherlover said: My towel is in my hand if we don’t see major changes by 12z today I’m about to throw it. Give it to 12z tomorrow. But yes expecting more than a couple of inches around here is being very optimistic. Great for places 50 miles or more to the north or west though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 4 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: Give it to 12z tomorrow. But yes expecting more than a couple of inches around here is being very optimistic. Great for places 50 miles or more to the north or west though. Yea for my area probably can give it until 12z tomorrow as long as it doesn’t trend worse since some models have me really close to several inches but I’m tired of being on the edge and usually being on the edge means more rain less snow. Anywhere southeast of I84 feels like the tropics this winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 I have been hanging tight with some snow north of 287 which is one of those r/s lines. If it goes to 84 I am toasted. I live right smack in between those phase lines. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Just now, cleetussnow said: I have been hanging tight with some snow north of 287 which is one of those r/s lines. If it goes to 84 I am toasted. I live right smack in between those phase lines. 287 traditionally has been the classic divider but this winter it’s been 84. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keno19 Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 This is what we need to watch where the energy moves. Not surface Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Gfs looks west and stronger this run to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdj5211 Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Yes GFS slightly west and deeper than 6z. Still warm for us unfortunately Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Just now, jdj5211 said: Yes GFS slightly west and deeper than 6z. Still warm for us unfortunately Seems to have two lows, hope the western low becomes the dominant one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 GFS much improved! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Just now, RU848789 said: GFS much improved! The frames after that get even better to the coast, big improvement. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 no words needed... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
romba Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 2 lows, drawing is back in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Just now, romba said: 2 lows, drawing is back in If the western low is dominant it will be game on. If not it’ll stink. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 This GFS run is as perfect as you can get. Small chance but it's a chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Just now, EastonSN+ said: This GFS run is as perfect as you can get. Small chance but it's a chance. Have to see rest of 12z suite to see if a new trend or a fluke. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 1 minute ago, EastonSN+ said: This GFS run is as perfect as you can get. Small chance but it's a chance. It could still be trending as 6z trended better first. A stronger, more tucked solution is feasible and that would lead to something really good. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 2 minutes ago, romba said: 2 lows, drawing is back in This double low thing will hopefully consolidate into one bigger low sooner. Probably comes from a sloppy phase. But yes, nice improvement. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 2 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: It could still be trending as 6z trended better first. A stronger, more tucked solution is feasible and that would lead to something really good. Yes as I said last night we want tucked in this time around. Can’t worry about rain if we don’t have a storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wilsonvoid1 Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 GFS with a major hit now!. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
romba Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Vastly different snow maps- Tidbits 10:1 GFS snow map versus Pivotal 10:1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 4 minutes ago, Winterweatherlover said: Have to see rest of 12z suite to see if a new trend or a fluke. The Euro especially. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 3 minutes ago, jm1220 said: This double low thing will hopefully consolidate into one bigger low sooner. Probably comes from a sloppy phase. But yes, nice improvement. Yeah it's really close to something historic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northof78 Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 GFS and NAM fairly close in general set up and track now, with a bombing cyclone to our east...If you live north of TTN I think you are good for at least decent snows.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binbisso Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 3 minutes ago, Northof78 said: GFS and NAM fairly close in general set up and track now, with a bombing cyclone to our east...If you live north of TTN I think you are good for at least decent snows.... The rgem is really close to. Crosses Montauk. Just very little precip to the west. Good hit for LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
romba Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Hopefully with all the energy on shore the GFS is the start of a positive 12z suite for us city folks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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