Its a Breeze Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 5 minutes ago, lee59 said: Not long ago New England was in the zone, now Jersey and NYC area looking a little better. As you say, won't take much to include you guys. Still so much uncertainty however. There's a song in there somewhere. About us being down this road before. Knowing exactly where it leads. And that's to nothing good. But we stay on it. Hoping this time will be different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dallen7908 Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 EPS 10-day snow mean in my back yard for the last 5 runs: 5.5", 3.6", 3.2", 2.3", and today 12 UT 1.2". Tonight the rebound begins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 @Weather Will Impressive lol. Might take a trip to Deep Creek in the next couple weeks. Might not. Spring mode. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacChump Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 1 hour ago, DDweatherman said: I spent last weeks first snow up at Resorts World in Monticello to enjoy some snow. If the euro depiction is right, I’ll be headed back. I have nice comped rooms if anyone wishes to partake. 1 hour ago, NorthArlington101 said: If that's a serious offer... feel free to PM me. I work remote, am increasingly desperate, and am very willing to meet folks. 48 minutes ago, Xeonon said: I too am interested. PM me if serious offer! can't wait for the true crime podcast on this one 3 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xeonon Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 10 minutes ago, MacChump said: can't wait for the true crime podcast on this one Well count me out of that episode, my stupid self thought it was Monticello in Charlottesvile.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 1 hour ago, NorthArlington101 said: If that's a serious offer... feel free to PM me. I work remote, am increasingly desperate, and am very willing to meet folks. Sure, I work remote as well. Let me get done work for the day and drop you a note. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 18 minutes ago, MacChump said: can't wait for the true crime podcast on this one I’ve met several people from the forum in real life, so if there’s crime it’s from these guys…not I! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 8 minutes ago, Xeonon said: Well count me out of that episode, my stupid self thought it was Monticello in Charlottesvile.. Unfortunately CHO is not getting any snow, so I wouldn’t be going there haha. If so, I’d probably be able to stay put in Carroll Valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 20 minutes ago, MacChump said: can't wait for the true crime podcast on this one Weather nerd kills other weather nerd, buries him in snow 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 Just now, Baltimorewx said: Weather nerd kills other weather nerd, buries him in snow At least he’d get to go out in snow…haven’t seen it all winter haha 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 3 minutes ago, Baltimorewx said: Weather nerd kills other weather nerd, buries him in snow Next on Dateline 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 1 minute ago, Interstate said: Next on Dateline It started off as an evening looking at weather models...it ended with a body being discovered in the mountain snow 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 5 hours ago, psuhoffman said: The St Patty's storm was 2014. I was talking about the anafrontal wave in March 2015. The St Patty's storm was a follow up wave but it had enough separation I wouldn't consider it anafront. The 2015 one was one string of waves the last of which got us as the boundary pressed south under a suppressed TPV. This is one way to defeat a SE ridge. Amped up ridge out west with cross Polar flow coming straight south, and a displaced TPV. NAO is so positive that the low h5 heights are displaced into the 50-50 region. Would it still work today? Pretty unusual setup, but might be indicative of what we need going forward. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 41 minutes ago, CAPE said: @Weather Will Impressive lol. Might take a trip to Deep Creek in the next couple weeks. Might not. Spring mode. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 10 hours ago, Siberian-Snowcover-Myth said: DT says watch out for the time period around the 20th…. DT says a lot of things 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 Hmmm….just got NAM’D (WB 18Z) 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 That’s bait Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Its a Breeze Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 Looks like we lost the JMA, can anyone confirm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 WB 18Z GFS also ticked east. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 for Wave 3, GFS already looks different out west so far. My heart ain't in it yall 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 the h5 differences between 12z and 18z are so vast as to be laughable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 11 minutes ago, stormtracker said: for Wave 3, GFS already looks different out west so far. My heart ain't in it yall You’ve had some amazing endurance here. I checked out 2 months ago. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 Just now, WxUSAF said: You’ve had some amazing endurance here. I checked out 2 months ago. Don’t you have some watering to do? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 Just now, WxUSAF said: You’ve had some amazing endurance here. I checked out 2 months ago. Make room bro, I'm just about there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 Well, its better than 12z...cold with precip sliding to our south and east so far. So, its definitely a net positive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 Well, its better than 12z...cold with precip sliding to our south and east so far. So, its definitely a net positiveIt’s definitely better… just needs to be colder. And wetter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 1 hour ago, CAPE said: This is one way to defeat a SE ridge. Amped up ridge out west with cross Polar flow coming straight south, and a displaced TPV. NAO is so positive that the low h5 heights are displaced into the 50-50 region. Would it still work today? Pretty unusual setup, but might be indicative of what we need going forward. Dunno it was an incredibly rare unique setup. I didn’t see many looks like it in the hundreds of storms in the case studies I did. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 7 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Well, its better than 12z...cold with precip sliding to our south and east so far. So, its definitely a net positive notice how every model run is either just a bit too far North and West or just a bit too far south and east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 3 minutes ago, Ji said: notice how every model run is either just a bit too far North and West or just a bit too far south and east I did. But it’s so far past Christmas I am starting to think it’s November already. If so the pattern looks epic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 11 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Well, its better than 12z...cold with precip sliding to our south and east so far. So, its definitely a net positive It’s actually not that crazy different as it seems on the surface. Not like when it was off by 1000 miles on key features last week! It handles the NS SS interaction different but the waves are similar. Last run it kept the NS consolidated and phased in to our west. this run the NS stayed split in 2 waves and acted to suppress the SS. We needed an in between solution. It’s gonna move around a lot run to run. But this is the threat that at least has the ingredients to possibly work. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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