CAPE Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Warner Brothers has a GEFS now? Damn I'm going go check TT GEFS. It might be better! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 The system Sunday to Tuesday is very intriguing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: The system Sunday to Tuesday is very intriguing. are you chasing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 10 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Warner Brothers has a GEFS now? Damn 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 are you chasing?12z euro looks like Ukie at H5, even gets Philly in action. Poconos thru S NY demolished. I’d def chase personally if something like this happens….Euro is phasing the two streams in the LR so no chance for anything but rain I’d guess…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 4 minutes ago, Ji said: are you chasing? Nope, I’m talking here. It wouldn’t take much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 9, 2023 Author Share Posted March 9, 2023 6 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: The system Sunday to Tuesday is very intriguing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 3 minutes ago, mappy said: The position of the low and cold nearby has my attention. GFS is the only model with a lakes low at that time. It probably won’t amount to anything with our luck but a little stronger system and a little more punch from that high and it could turn into a decent event. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: The position of the low and cold nearby has my attention. GFS is the only model with a lakes low at that time. It probably won’t amount to anything with our luck but a little stronger system and a little more punch from that high and it could turn into a decent event. there is no cold nearby. you need the system to bomb way more south than what the models are showing. The bombing aspect of the storm is giving areas to our north the prolific snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: The position of the low and cold nearby has my attention. GFS is the only model with a lakes low at that time. It probably won’t amount to anything with our luck but a little stronger system and a little more punch from that high and it could turn into a decent event. With this winter. The GFS is right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 8 minutes ago, mappy said: Now that looks more like the typical Nina snow hole, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 9 minutes ago, Heisy said: 12z euro looks like Ukie at H5, even gets Philly in action. Poconos thru S NY demolished. I’d def chase personally if something like this happens…. Euro is phasing the two streams in the LR so no chance for anything but rain I’d guess… . yea euro is not reliable at the time range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 Nice frontal passage on the Euro 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 I'm considering this to be an official forecast: 2 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 6 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: I'm considering this to be an official forecast: I’m surprised that he’d hype it up like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 Checking out Wave 2 on the GFS.... 1 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 2 minutes ago, Terpeast said: I’m surprised that he’d hype it up like this. ha see his next tweet (he's joking around) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 6 minutes ago, Terpeast said: I’m surprised that he’d hype it up like this. i think joseph bastardi hacked his twitter account Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 20 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Nice frontal passage on the Euro your fired from pbp lol...or maybe you just dont want the job anymore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 23 minutes ago, Ji said: there is no cold nearby. you need the system to bomb way more south than what the models are showing. The bombing aspect of the storm is giving areas to our north the prolific snow There is cold close enough. A stronger high would help. Which is what I said. A stronger low, 3-4 millibars would help with that also. And we would have more prolific precip. The euro has that low inland NC. Put it over Norfolk and stronger and watch the result. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 2 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: There is cold close enough. A stronger high would help. Which is what I said. A stronger low, 3-4 millibars would help with that also. And we would have more prolific precip. The euro has that low inland NC. Put it over Norfolk and stronger and watch the result. Colder, heavier rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 I feel like the “due factor” has finally kicked in for the West. From 2000-2015, the east coast experienced a bunch of above average to even epic winters. Lots of cold and snow for the major east coast cities. Some better than others in our area, but NYC and points NE cashed in BIG TIME. Each winter seemed to have at least one KU during that period. I lived in the Hudson valley in NY until February 2015 and we went through a 10+ year streak of getting at least one 12”+ storm per season, sometimes more. Meanwhile, the west was pretty much always warm with prolonged / record droughts year after year. Especially in the wintertime. This year, the west is seeing record cold and snow as the east has been relatively warm and dry. I know there’s a ton of factors (niña, AGW, etc) at play, but overall, it feels like the rubber band has finally snapped back and we find ourselves 7 years into a prolonged snow drought, with the exception of one outlier winter where PSU over to my area saw 40-50”. Even so, the nearby cities saw a fraction of that. Hopefully we break the cycle next year. This blows for real. Hate having to travel to see accumulating snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 12z euro looks like Ukie at H5, even gets Philly in action. Poconos thru S NY demolished. I’d def chase personally if something like this happens….Euro is phasing the two streams in the LR so no chance for anything but rain I’d guess….I’ll meet you in the Catskills based on the EPS. About a 17” 3 day mean at a Day 6 range can’t fail… right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 Oof. Perhaps I’ll hold off on making plans to travel to my parents house in Rockland NY given the euro and gfs today. GFS says eastern NE bomb as it gets its act together too late Euro drops 9” at my parents place but only 3-4” a mere 10-15 miles to their SE and 25” 20 miles to their NW. I’d be salty being on the wrong side of that gradient. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 6 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: I’ll meet you in the Catskills based on the EPS. About a 17” 3 day mean at a Day 6 range can’t fail… right? I spent last weeks first snow up at Resorts World in Monticello to enjoy some snow. If the euro depiction is right, I’ll be headed back. I have nice comped rooms if anyone wishes to partake. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 1 minute ago, DDweatherman said: I spent last weeks first snow up at Resorts World in Monticello to enjoy some snow. If the euro depiction is right, I’ll be headed back. I have nice comped rooms if anyone wishes to partake. If that's a serious offer... feel free to PM me. I work remote, am increasingly desperate, and am very willing to meet folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xeonon Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 18 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: I spent last weeks first snow up at Resorts World in Monticello to enjoy some snow. If the euro depiction is right, I’ll be headed back. I have nice comped rooms if anyone wishes to partake. I too am interested. PM me if serious offer! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 1 hour ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Nope, I’m talking here. It wouldn’t take much Not long ago New England was in the zone, now Jersey and NYC area looking a little better. As you say, won't take much to include you guys. Still so much uncertainty however. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 @psuhoffmanwhy isnt this throwing back precip at us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 1 minute ago, Ji said: @psuhoffmanwhy isnt this throwing back precip at us Lift is focused along the inverted trough. If it was a mature low without that feature it would be. Still early in it’s development 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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