frd Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 36 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Dunno man, it was a -2.5 std dv block just 3 days ago. And that is what set off the pattern change. Yea it’s slowly fading now and will be waxing and waning bit slowly dissipating overall for the next 2 weeks. But that’s normal. A block is rarely going to maintain a crazy standard deviation for that long. It is an anomaly. The heat bubble that is the block is usually going to cool and weaken over time after the wave break or SSW that creates it wanes. If we need a 3 std block to maintain itself for weeks on end to get snow…. Again this is a matter of degrees. Yea if the block was some historic anomaly it maybe could bully things more in our favor. But we’ve snowed in the past with much less. I really don’t get it. We keep failing in different ways in looks that I know from experience are historically pretty good and the only common thread is one thing…it’s too warm. But everyone else is like “no it’s cause the high was 20 Miles too far north, then the trough axis wasn’t perfect, then it’s cause there want some cross polar arctic blast, then we didn’t have some -20 stdv block”. I mean come on. 1 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 20 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: It’s been a long year i would of lost of mind if i had move to Westminster 3-4 years ago to gain 15-20 inches of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 99.1 % Euro takes a step back at 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AtlanticWx Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 8 minutes ago, Ji said: 99.1 % Euro takes a step back at 18z. 18z has been out since 6 pm lmao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AtlanticWx Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 euro looks solid -- did take a step back but totals around suburbs remain the same prob bc of better banding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 9 minutes ago, AtlanticWx said: euro looks solid -- did take a step back but totals around suburbs remain the same prob bc of better banding Looks awful. That's white rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 Euro is a big step back from 12z for Northern MD. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 6 minutes ago, osfan24 said: Looks awful. That's white rain. Yep. Temps above freezing during the day in March. Wouldn't even be a mulch topper lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 2 hours ago, Ji said: Typical Nino December The MA forum: March 2023 - “hurry up, let’s get that el nino going! March 2024 - “whoops, can we go back to la nina please?” 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AtlanticWx Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 23 minutes ago, osfan24 said: Looks awful. That's white rain. SNOD maps which typically downplay snow have like 1" in immediate suburbs (Leesburg/MOCO) lmao, that isn't white rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 If you all put as much time and effort into something productive rather than chasing unicorns, you'd all be millionaires living in the Sierra Nevada mountains.. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 9 minutes ago, Yeoman said: If you all put as much time and effort into something productive rather than chasing unicorns, you'd all be millionaires living in the Sierra Nevada mountains.. *We 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 WB 18Z EPS…. Shift of low closer to coast, trend or noise? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 3 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 18Z EPS…. Shift of low closer to coast, trend or noise? Does that improve our snow chances? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 9 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 18Z EPS…. Shift of low closer to coast, trend or noise? But ur trended warmer too. Overall it was a net negative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 Does that improve our snow chances?It improves our rain chances 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 6 minutes ago, Chris78 said: Does that improve our snow chances? There are only a few hits at 18Z. Let’s see how tomorrow goes. There just is not enough cold air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 2 minutes ago, Weather Will said: There are only a few hits at 18Z. Let’s see how tomorrow goes. There just is not enough cold air. Lol. Let's just go to spring. Don't know why I thought March would be any different than January or February . 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 Personally, give me a 6 plus inch storm as I am not interested in tv snow in March. We need a bomb and let the rain snow line play itself out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 1 hour ago, frd said: It’s super interesting and could tie into why the Atlantic is on fire which in turn pumps the southeast ridge. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 9, 2023 Author Share Posted March 9, 2023 I’m over winter by March 1st, but given the winter we didn’t have, I’d be happy just seeing snow fall even if amounts to slush. Find joy where you can, friends. 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 31 minutes ago, mappy said: I’m over winter by March 1st, but given the winter we didn’t have, I’d be happy just seeing snow fall even if amounts to slush. Find joy where you can, friends. Daytime snow gets bonus points. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 1 hour ago, Chris78 said: Lol. Let's just go to spring. Don't know why I thought March would be any different than January or February . Well before it was too warm and the pattern was bad so storms were tracking 500 miles north of us. Now the pattern is great, storms are tracking where we want but it’s just too warm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 Crickets in here. At least 0Z long range HRrrrrrr doesn't look bad for wet snow Friday morning 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 1 hour ago, psuhoffman said: Well before it was too warm and the pattern was bad so storms were tracking 500 miles north of us. Now the pattern is great, storms are tracking where we want but it’s just too warm. It’s March Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 It’s MarchIt’s snowed in march. Numerous times. It’s march 2023 though This SERIOUSLY blows. We’re likely about to watch NYC (more likely the immediate suburbs) up to BOS get crushed. Possibly twice. I’m honestly thinking about taking the trip up to my folks house starting this weekend to be there for winter’s last hoorah next week. I have off from work for the entire week. Might as well. If the latest euro is correct, wowza. It tracked wave 2 from the benchmark to just south of LI before getting captured and looping offshore for 12+ hours. The low bombs out south of LI down to 970ish millibars. The city could have some temp issues, but the immediate suburbs of NY into SNE would likely get crushed. It has a different evolution, but the GFS also dumps nearly a foot from the nearby suburbs into SNE. ICON was very weird with its evolution but same result. They even get 3-5” from wave 1 on the GFS. Lucky bastards man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 23 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: It’s March Ah c'mon man don't let your snow optimism go out the window now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 I'm just watching to see if we can get just one dang inch and avoid the infamy of having the lowest snow total on record, smh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 WB 6Z GFS trying to pull us back in for late next week storm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Siberian-Snowcover-Myth Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 DT says watch out for the time period around the 20th…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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