Daniel Boone Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 3 hours ago, Heisy said: There’s actually two periods to watch in the LR, and I’ll stress that it likely favors interior with all of them. We’re gonna need a little luck in coastal plain, but not impossible. This first event we’re tracking now and then possibly a front ender type if that event forms into 50/50. The pattern is gonna kill a lot of people because It’s happening when it is. Check out this pattern at end of GFS lol, pain. . Yeah, if only that had setup in January or February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 35 minutes ago, Heisy said: Baby steps . Baby steps for the last four months, baby is an old man now 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 Probability of precipitation has trended up slightly since yesterday.No cutters? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 26 minutes ago, Ji said: No cutters? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 12z CMC was the best run by far. Even if it showed no snow, it was perfect with the high position SLP track and 500mb track. I'll take my chances with that. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 This is the best looking Miller A look we’ve had all year on the snow mean. 18z eps/control improved at 144 as well with a weaker storm coming out and better confluence. 4 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 If you go back and read my posts I was never excited about the previous few weeks. I understand the climo, but I’d personally argue that this is possibly one of the best means we’ve had all season. Only issue is with climo we need to be close to perfect. . 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve25 Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 14 minutes ago, Heisy said: If you go back and read my posts I was never excited about the previous few weeks. I understand the climo, but I’d personally argue that this is possibly one of the best means we’ve had all season. Only issue is with climo we need to be close to perfect. . I appreciate those of you still tracking. You do good work. I truly hope it works out. The idea of getting a snowstorm in late March after a full winter without even a tenth of an inch in my backyard is so stupid that it just might work lol 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 I appreciate those of you still tracking. You do good work. I truly hope it works out. The idea of getting a snowstorm in late March after a full winter without even a tenth of an inch in my backyard is so stupid that it just might work lolPrecisely why it will work 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 00z GFS looks much improved…. Gotta head back to work but hopefully it leads to the good stuff. Better confluence pattern . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 Can see improved cold push, let’s see how it’s timed with the N/S shortwave around the lakes. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 Can see improved cold push, let’s see how it’s timed with the N/S shortwave around the lakes.Surface depiction at 180. 1042 high in a great spot. Snow breaking out in VA along the blue ridge and western NC. OP surface Details aren’t imperative at this range but the solid miller A signal is still there. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 High slides east and weakens a bit afterward. The low hasn’t moved at all from SC between hours 180-192. Likely ends up being warmer than we’d like but that’s okay. Signal remains. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 Low still remains in place at 198. 18 hours and counting with that low stuck in SC. Weird evolution there. Snow breaking out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 Low skirts offshore at 204. Suppressed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 1 minute ago, jayyy said: Low skirts offshore at 204. Suppressed. Suppressed and warm. Nice combo lol. Again no cold air. PSU has been talking about it for days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 12 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: Suppressed and warm. Nice combo lol. Again no cold air. PSU has been talking about it for months. Fyp 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 GEFS looks wayyyyy better than the OP. amped southern stream wave with HP in a good spot over the Northeast 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AtlanticWx Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 damn 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 Suppressed and warm. Nice combo lol. Again no cold air. PSU has been talking about it for days.He’s also been saying we can score with proper timing. Especially his area and mine in northern MD. Peep the 0z GEFS btw. Cold and not suppressed. It’s not going to be easy, clearly, but my latitude can snow into April. Not counting it out unless we get below 150 hours and it looks bleak. Cautious interest for now. It is winter 22-23 in the mid Atlantic after all. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 damnLets get this look inside 150! 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 Lets get this look inside 150!This is the real deal, one caveat is increased speed of the pac wave behind it could push it east, but maybe that helps us I don’t know . 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 WB 0Z Euro is a suppressed mess compared to 12Z. Lucy is getting off the bench… 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 WB 0Z Euro is a suppressed mess compared to 12Z. Lucy is getting off the bench… Would you rather it be a cutter? Every event at this range has been shown as basically a cutter on the euro so I still take, trended better with N/S. One downside of some of the 00z runs was the energy behind our wave could act as a kicker. We’ll see what EPS shows. . 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 Suppressed track continues on 6Z GFS. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coastal front Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 20 minutes ago, Weather Will said: Suppressed track continues on 6Z GFS. That’s exactly where we want it. I think this suppression fear is way over blown considering not 1 storm this year hit south of us. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 21 minutes ago, coastal front said: That’s exactly where we want it. I think this suppression fear is way over blown considering not 1 storm this year hit south of us. You seem to be telling yourself what you want to hear. Past weather events have nothing to do with the next one. Last weekend we had a system go south of us and basically around us. We can certainly lose with an out to sea result. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 6z gefs is still suppressed but not a bad look 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 WG 6Z GEFS has trended south of the area last 24 hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Dream Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 Can someone ban snowman19? Asking for a friend 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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