Weather Will Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 16 minutes ago, Chris78 said: At this point I want to see some hits on the ops. I'm done looking at Esembles. Even when they've looks decent it didn't matter It is the OPS. Not as good but still there. 10 days is a long way out … Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 That's probably the last shot at something this season. Albeit a very small shot.This is most likely the last reasonable chance at anything, unfortunately today went the wrong way. Long way to go though . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 9 hours ago, Heisy said: This is most likely the last reasonable chance at anything, unfortunately today went the wrong way. Long way to go though . Not really. It's Spring lol. We are 0-fer the entire winter. It really is over, but we just refuse to accept it till it's mid April or something. 4 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 2 minutes ago, CAPE said: Not really. It's Spring lol. We are 0-fer the entire winter. It really is over, but we just refuse to accept it till is mid April or something. He’s in NE PA. Over is a gradually spreading south to north wave right. Maine has a lotta more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 NWS upton finally pulled the trigger on a watch for my folks this weekend. Looks like a lot of debate went into it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Just now, BristowWx said: He’s in NE PA. Over is a gradually spreading south to north wave right. Maine has a lotta more. Philly. It sucks ass there too. Either way, anyone posting in this sub gets lumped in with the rest of us snow losers. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Just now, CAPE said: Philly. It sucks ass there too. Either way, anyone posting in this sub gets lumped in with the rest of us snow losers. Can’t argue that. My best event was today because I saw it snow during the day. it stuck to some trees for 8 minutes. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 10 minutes ago, CAPE said: Not really. It's Spring lol. We are 0-fer the entire winter. It really is over, but we just refuse to accept it till is mid April or something. I agree it's ovah. Just not our year. Hard to accept sometimes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Confluence pattern got worst just like the OP euro. 2023 things. I couldn’t chase either of the Buffalo events this year and it looks like I won’t be able to get up to W MA or Catskills for tomorrow. This has been the worst winter of my life. I think 2001-02 actually had accumulating snow here. Hopefully 23-24 has an Early December event like 02-03 had heh. .Same here man. 1” of snow for the year IMBY is the worst season I’ve ever experienced. I’m a New Yorker (grew up in the Hudson valley and went to college in Buffalo) so I’m used to down seasons at least having a few minor events to hang my hat on. 2015 has been the only good winter since I moved to Maryland - which happens to be the same year I moved down here. What makes it worse is the number of chances that failed. If it was wall to wall torch with 50-70+ temps,I would have been less miserable than tracking the mirage of threats we saw all winter (I know the pattern sucked most of the season but still) Precisely why I traveled to NY for 2 previous storms (Saratoga springs and Schenectady) and will be again for the Tuesday - Wednesday storm. It still sucks to not see snow at home, but it definitely helps the weenie soul to travel and experience a good storm in person. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 1 minute ago, Chris78 said: I agree it's ovah. Just not our year. Hard to accept sometimes I mean there is still a chance over the next 10 days or so. Like 5%. We have momentum for complete futility though. No reason to think fortunes will change heading towards April lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Not really. It's Spring lol. We are 0-fer the entire winter. It really is over, but we just refuse to accept it till is mid April or something.Yea I just added that last sentence to not seem as pessimistic as I actually am. In all reality I’m over the cliff. I’m from Bensalem few miles NE of Philly….Can see the bad trend with confluence on the ensemble as well.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 7 minutes ago, CAPE said: I mean there is still a chance over the next 10 days or so. Like 5%. We have momentum for complete futility though. No reason to think fortunes will change heading towards April lol. I just can't believe it got THIS bad--so bad we can't even get 1 inch. I mean 140 years of records and we are about to see the lowest! Mercy...can we buy an inch? Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderbolt Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 20 minutes ago, Heisy said: Yea I just added that last sentence to not seem as pessimistic as I actually am. In all reality I’m over the cliff. I’m from Bensalem few miles NE of Philly…. Can see the bad trend with confluence on the ensemble as well. . I’m right around the corner from you in Levittown 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 WB 18Z GEFS, slight tick in right direction, blip or trend? TBD… 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 GFS is either struggling to sort through its multi low depiction, or a lot of folks up north may be disappointed come Tuesday. Not sure I’ve ever seen models struggle so hard to find consensus under 24 hours. The spread among models is pretty wild at such short range. NAM has honestly been a joke this season. Showed 20” at 18z for places just NW of NYC and took it all away one run later. It’s 3k and 12k depictions are also worlds apart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 7 minutes ago, jayyy said: GFS is either struggling to sort through its multi low depiction, or a lot of folks up north may be disappointed come Tuesday. Not sure I’ve ever seen models struggle so hard to find consensus under 24 hours. The spread among models is pretty wild at such short range. NAM has honestly been a joke this season. Showed 20” at 18z for places just NW of NYC and took it all away one run later. It’s 3k and 12k depictions are also worlds apart. Not sure there is ever a case to pay much attention to the 12km NAM. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 Only 3 out of 30 hits and timing slightly . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 P20 one freaking time. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 P20 and we call it a winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 10 hours ago, Weather Will said: I don’t even get an inch!!!! I would recommend surgery and medicine to rectify that issue. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve25 Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 I may be the only one, but statistically I think it's pretty wild that I've lived through Baltimore's best and worst winters of all time, just in the past 13 years. Major extremes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 Just got home. It’s snowing here. It was 50 in Vermont today. Lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 Just got home. It’s snowing here. It was 50 in Vermont today. Lol. Gfs saves winter in 9 daysSent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 WB 18Z GEFS, slight tick in right direction, blip or trend? TBD…Paved way for the gfs mecsSent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 Gfs saves winter in 9 daysSent from my SM-A515U using TapatalkBoth gfs and cmc improved for our potential even day 9-10. Better N/S push ahead of the low. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 Euro taking a step towards the gfs etc. check out this ridge in epo land, that could help force cold air SE for any pac wave. Euro a little more sloppy with the shortwave, but setup there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 Wave takes too long to come east on euro, but slight better step vs 12z. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 6z GFS run has a nice looking coastal snowstorm on the 22nd but the Western ridge looks somewhat flat. Period to watch anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 Let's hope this storm actually happens at night Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 15 minutes ago, Wonderdog said: 6z GFS run has a nice looking coastal snowstorm on the 22nd but the Western ridge looks somewhat flat. Period to watch anyway. What makes it work is constructive rather than destructive NS interaction. Good timing/location with the vorticity lobe sliding across southern Hudson Bay- creates some nice confluence and enhances surface HP in a favorable location. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now