mahk_webstah Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 12 minutes ago, dendrite said: Yeah it’s real to an extent, but often overblown. Strong deep layer NNE flow will do it though. Could be a quick thump followed by weak snow deal…especially if/when we start slotting. I’m thinking of this as a 6-12 inch or for us. That qpf signal has been on most runs for 4 days. A good storm but nowhere near JPot. Unless this thing kind of reorients itself in some way. Others need the JP more than us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 7 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Does GEFS on weathermodels not show the lows from individual members 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 2 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: When Dryslot and PF aren’t posting and high fiving after model runs, you know it’s good for the SNE brethren. What do you mean? Freak just ripped back a Weihenstephaner. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 10 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: 24 to 36 here on the Ukie Right, I would rather not get 10” of 6:1 ratio in Greenfield and kiss power goodbye for a few days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 37 minutes ago, TheSnowman said: Of All the Model Runs I’ve seen in this storm, AND storms across 2 decades of chasing them, THIS is the #1 Most Devastating. And Why I can’t fly back tomorrow night. There are still WAY too many runs by different models giving me 1-3, where even NW RI gets 12-15, and just outside 15-25. I’ll Burn Accordions if anything Remotely like that (Worse than 12/25/02) verifies. Just rent an Airbnb near wuhstuh for gods sake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 3 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: I’m thinking of this as a 6-12 inch or for us. That qpf signal has been on most runs for 4 days. A good storm but nowhere near JPot. Unless this thing kind of reorients itself in some way. Others need the JP more than us. There’s still some time for some trends, but yeah, odds are against a biggie right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
greenmtnwx Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 47 minutes ago, powderfreak said: German beer up here. That may end up being the end result. Not unusual for nw tics late in game 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Just now, dendrite said: There’s still some time for some trends, but yeah, odds are against a biggie right now. I mean the Canadian and Ukie… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 You can see models struggling to get the real good PVA and less baroclinic zone from nrn stream influence (see lows trying to suck into LI) vs a juicy baroclinic zone with convection, but weaker PVA from southern stream. It’s a marvel that models can figure this out and do it fairly accurately too. But it’s also a reason for some crazy solutions too. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Imagine if this pulled a Morch 01 on SNE and ends up a Maine special . Like the rug got pulled on the mid Atlantic then and ended up ours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 fwiw the NBC Boston has put out a preliminary snow map and they do seem to buying the bigger totals as modeled. Large swath of 8-12 and 18-24. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 4 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Thank you! Was doing a blog post and wanted to show something. But realized I could use the EPS I know we're getting out of ensemble range but good to use to illustrate some thoughts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 4 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Right, I would rather not get 10” of 6:1 ratio in Greenfield and kiss power goodbye for a few days. I’m doing some work outside today and had to get this. He’s coming next week. 3 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 11 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: starting to think we get crushed Wa wa Wachusett 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 13 minutes ago, dendrite said: Frenchy shifted way NE. Tries to keep dryslot in the game. Didn't Forky say that it could easily jackpot Maine? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 12 minutes ago, dendrite said: Frenchy shifted way NE. Tries to keep dryslot in the game. I was with a couple frenchman up in NW ME this weekend that model is as crazy as they are. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 TWC seems to be ignoring the GFS and Euro, calling for widespread 3-5" east of 495 and 1-3" SE MA, and they are using a benchmark track. They claim surface temps will be too warm for coastal areas. But they leave open the track could change. They say we could get more if the track is further out. Just saying. I'm not buying it. The GFS and Euro have been trending colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 5 minutes ago, 8611Blizz said: fwiw the NBC Boston has put out a preliminary snow map and they do seem to buying the bigger totals as modeled. Large swath of 8-12 and 18-24. That was model output. Just so you know. Not a manual forecast map. Just an FYI. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 42 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Lol.. burning accordions! I’m sorry, I’m not a Polka fan at all, but This is a BURNER!! Total Banger. back to our Regularly Scheduled Program of finding Models That Give You the Jack, Sponsored By, Preparation H. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 9 minutes ago, dendrite said: There’s still some time for some trends, but yeah, odds are against a biggie right now. We will need a little more help from the southern stream Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I’m doing some work outside today and had to get this. He’s coming next week. Phil pulling into the Harbor like 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 24 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: WTTE 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 2 minutes ago, TheSnowman said: I’m sorry, I’m not a Polka fan at all, but This is a BURNER!! Total Banger. back to our Regularly Scheduled Program of finding Models That Give You the Jack, Sponsored By, Preparation H. Fingers just burning across the squeezer. Flames shooting out with each squeeze Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 2 minutes ago, TalcottWx said: That was model output. Just so you know. Not a manual forecast map. Just an FYI. True but Bouchard especially has been on the go big or go home train for a few days now. That part scares me .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaf Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 1 hour ago, TalcottWx said: What is the max in S Ri? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 1 hour ago, Sn0waddict said: Made me think of this, just more north I suppose. 5 Years of therapy down the drain. Thanks a lot! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 12 minutes ago, greenmtnwx said: That may end up being the end result. Not unusual for nw tics late in game At least this winter they’re not unusual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mostman Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 25 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Lol - what kind of thermals is that toying with where 4 inches of QPF ends up as 8 inches of snow in metro Boston? Most of it falling as rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 9 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Wa wa Wachusett You gonna go? I haven't been in years and I live like 2 miles away lol. It's just so busy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 21 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: starting to think we get crushed Starting to? 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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