mahk_webstah Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 5 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: Brian, we got to dynamite the Whites. Get shadowed badly. Only .45" on the GFS. Man, SNE! Been talking about that for 3 days. Is it real? Has showed up many runs to varying degrees. Probably because wins are more NNE than ENE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 95 is on the line in both gfs and Canadian. Give it take a few miles. ya canadian snow line rides 95.. almost nothing south and east to 15-25" just north or west... hoping my 12 miles is enough .. but again these models are jumping so much still, snow lines won't be know until Monday AM (hopefully) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: ya canadian snow line rides 95.. almost nothing south and east to 15-25" just north or west... hoping my 12 miles is enough .. but again these models are jumping so much still, snow lines won't be know until Monday AM (hopefully) I hope even the coast gets smoked. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: thanks. That was my line of thinking as well. Hopefully Easton gets 8” of mash. That would be good down there. Damn good. Canadian obliterates interior. Let’s keep the euro and Ukie in the flock. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 German beer up here. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 1 minute ago, EastonSN+ said: I hope even the coast gets smoked. Me too. Just bring nuclear winter over the entire megalopolis 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 12z Canadian 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 That 7h track on 12z Canadian is perfect for all of CT. It would be deformation band central. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said: Me too. Just bring nuclear winter over the entire megalopolis Desperate to keep BDR out of the record books. I am only 1 mile north of the Merritt Parkway, and only feel confident when I see LI modeled for snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 canadian is a top 5er 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 9 minutes ago, Modfan2 said: Jeez. Supposed to drive to Indy on Wed, hoping this does not verify Sir, You’re on the Wrong Website. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Haven't seen the 12z GFS ...and tossing ICON After spending time looking over this stuff ... I don't believe we will have as many ptype contentions as much as the guidance cinema et al are cute with, if that blend of the 00z GGEM/Euro were to work out - the course of lesser regret. This thing will get a toehold on "cold momentum" prior to dawn on Tuesday, and then the juggernaut dynamics of this particular example of closing mid level centers (a burst of core UVM/frontogenics from 850 to 700 mb from T crashing in the deep layer) over top, will take a 38/30 type entry temp and obliterated down to 31.9/31.9 Willamantic CT to Bedford MA in quick work, ... while a lot of formed weather forecasts are dinking around with rain changing to snow timing tedium. This might be a situation where too much technology actually obfuscates matters, when just a -4 850 mb thermal layout/event entry along said axis, then processing under close mlv centers SE of said axis, is plenty from orbit - for me anyway... 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 10 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: thanks. That was my line of thinking as well. Hopefully Easton gets 8” of mash. I'm picking up here just north of 84 by a few miles. You should be looking good if these model still stay consistent with a real decent amount 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 3 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Desperate to keep BDR out of the record books. I am only 1 mile north of the Merritt Parkway, and only feel confident when I see LI modeled for snow. Oh so our 4-6” zone is exactly for the Merritt corridor. We could be low, or high lol, but we’ll re-evaluate tomorrow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Of All the Model Runs I’ve seen in this storm, AND storms across 2 decades of chasing them, THIS is the #1 Most Devastating. And Why I can’t fly back tomorrow night. There are still WAY too many runs by different models giving me 1-3, where even NW RI gets 12-15, and just outside 15-25. I’ll Burn Accordions if anything Remotely like that (Worse than 12/25/02) verifies. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 CMC and gfs just a bit different here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 3 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: I'm picking up here just north of 84 by a few miles. You should be looking good if these model still stay consistent with a real decent amount You’re in a good spot. The more NE, the better. The hills your NW, even better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 It is what it is. At the height of the storm SFC temperatures are marginal at best. I have no idea where or why I'm "downing" this. Playing devil's advocate to a possible solution. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 1 minute ago, ROOSTA said: It is what it is. At the height of the storm SFC temperatures are marginal at best. I have no idea where or why I'm "downing" this. Playing devil's advocate to a possible solution. Is that a 776 low? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Just now, TheSnowman said: Of All the Model Runs I’ve seen in this storm, AND storms across 2 decades of chasing them, THIS is the #1 Most Devastating. And Why I can’t fly back tomorrow night. There are still WAY too many runs by different models giving me 1-3, where even NW RI gets 12-15, and just outside 15-25. I’ll Burn Accordions if anything Remotely like that (Worse than 12/25/02) verifies. Lol.. burning accordions! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherWilly Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Rough track for those on the Cape for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 15 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: You’re in a good spot. The more NE, the better. The hills your NW, even better. GEFS finally really on board for western CT. an absolute crushing 10" mean with pretty high odds for 12"+ 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 1 minute ago, EastonSN+ said: Is that a 776 low? Day After Tomorrow stuff 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Just now, EastonSN+ said: Is that a 776 low? That should be able to ‘make it’s own cold air’. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: That should be able to ‘make it’s own cold air’. By pulling it down out of the stratosphere. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Good Luck Everyone, for those interested, since the first AR hit Central California, I've received 26.4" of Rain.. that is December 1st till now, expecting another 2-4" next week.. impressive and I'm not in the higher prone areas like Big Sur that has had 5x that at least and the mountains are insane. Anyone hopefully you guys get buried! 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: That should be able to ‘make it’s own cold air’. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 3 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Is that a 776 low? Yes. I'm really rooting for you guys. Just don't see it playing out as most are portraying. Subject to changing my mind. he-he-he 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 1 minute ago, ROOSTA said: Yes. I'm really rooting for you guys. Just don't see it playing out as most are portraying. Subject to changing my mind. he-he-he I think that number is off a tad... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I think that number is off a tad... No way. This is the big one we've all been waiting for! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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