CoastalWx Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Crusher 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 When do we start to hone in on OP’s? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Just now, Kitz Craver said: When do we start to hone in on OP’s? When they give us the ideal solution. 2 14 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: When they give us the ideal solution. I think we will see oscillations through tomorrow. It’s a highly sensitive setup. Not to mention a few miles mean everything in this too. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 10 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: I appreciate your condolences. And I didn’t mean that to sound insulting one bit. if it did, I sincerely apologize.,You seem like a smart guy, and know your stuff. My only point was, if this storm plays out as it’s currently depicted…I don’t think you need to worry in this scenario….that’s all. And I completely agree, this season is a complete turd from the get go, and it’s been wise to be pessimistic and guarded. I so hope this beast can break that persistence. Thank you again for the sympathy..it’s appreciated. Also sorry to hear about your loss. Thoughts and prayers to you 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 17 minutes ago, dendrite said: Kinda rotting at our latitude, but still decent. Hopefully we can make up for it with less slop. Its occluding so that's really where most of our qpf is coming from once the system expands, Like to see this gain a little more lat before the stall and not blow its load that far south, If it stays wound below LI were fringed here if it ends up east of there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 There will be a lot of skepticism if snow maps are big. Especially since it's March, and this winter has been trash. Not to mention the snow bust today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: I think we will see oscillations through tomorrow. It’s a highly sensitive setup. Not to mention a few miles mean everything in this too. This is looking like a nowcast event, more than usual. 0.5C and a few miles could be the difference. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Just now, TalcottWx said: There will be a lot of skepticism if snow maps are big. Especially since it's March, and this winter has been trash. Not to mention the snow bust today. Today’s writing was on the wall 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: This is looking like a nowcast event, more than usual. 0.5C and a few miles could be the difference. I think everyone below 600’ needs to be in the meat for good snows. I feel like preliminary Kevin to ORH county look good. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 1 minute ago, TalcottWx said: There will be a lot of skepticism if snow maps are big. Especially since it's March, and this winter has been trash. Not to mention the snow bust today. I don’t think huge amounts should be hoisted outside of the double saggy boobs of higher terrain. Ray went just a little wild with his first call imo. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 I need this track for coastal CT (yeah I know showing 1888 and such). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Crusher Nice clusters 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Nice clusters Still get the sense that there’s two camps. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I don’t think huge amounts should be hoisted outside of the double saggy boobs of higher terrain. Ray went just a little wild with his first call imo. TWC has me all rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 1 minute ago, EastonSN+ said: TWC has me all rain. A little weenie high would have been a game changer. That said, an all rain forecast there is a head scratcher. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Today’s writing was on the wall You'll be on the wall if this rains to Simsbury Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Still get the sense that there’s two camps. Interior looks pretty good as long as we avoid the furthest west members. We’d prob get crushed on all those buzzards bay to cape cod bay members…your area def wants that cluster east of the elbow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Just keep the shadowing/slotting to a minimum here, please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 15 minutes ago, TalcottWx said: There will be a lot of skepticism if snow maps are big. Especially since it's March, and this winter has been trash. Not to mention the snow bust today. How much were you expecting there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 8 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: TWC has me all rain. My family… “Ryan my phone says we’re getting rain, what are you talking about?!” 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: How much were you expecting there? White ground maybe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 925s are torched for many . Def take the lower end for many verbatim on that run .. looks like a change over after 8am Tuesday around here. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 10 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Just keep the shadowing/slotting to a minimum here, please. The valley is shadowing, the question is can we get enough qpf and good enough rates to overcome. I think we are looking at 50% snow differences between let’s say under 300’ and above 700’. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris12WX Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said: 925s are torched for many . Def take the lower end for many verbatim on that run .. looks like a change over after 8am Tuesday around here. Is it still 35-40 at the surface? How warm are the road surfaces going to be? Meat during daytime? Bring them down! 925 is a concern. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 9 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said: My family… “Ryan my phone says we’re getting rain, what are you talking about?!” yeah I get that alot, even though I've been avidly following weather, models and the experience of some on this forum to aid in prognostication, and more often than not am right, still mostly my in laws tell me what the "news" said...hard to argue h5 evolution, teleconectors and ensemble members, etc ,when that's a different language for most 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 17 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Interior looks pretty good as long as we avoid the furthest west members. We’d prob get crushed on all those buzzards bay to cape cod bay members…your area def wants that cluster east of the elbow. Yeah even elbow is ok. I don’t want or expect a jack. Just hoping for a fun event. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 2 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: 925s are torched for many . Def take the lower end for many verbatim on that run .. looks like a change over after 8am Tuesday around here. I'll still take it here, won't take much to push that south some, thought I saw 850 temps for all of CT below 0C, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 initial thought was 8-12 for mby, until I see different, going to stick with, can always go up..of course can always bust Low too 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 2 minutes ago, tavwtby said: I'll still take it here, won't take much to push that south some, thought I saw 850 temps for all of CT below 0C, no? Heavy rates can overcome that.. assuming that’s even correct 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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