TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 11 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Geez, GEM wasn't as much as everyone made it sound out this way...like 12" 10:1. It’s really not that impressive outside of the Berkshires and Western CT. 10:1 is also probably going to be more like 6-7:1 outside of those areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 1 minute ago, qg_omega said: Very similar It took my area up like 4", which is very significant on an ensemble mean in one run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: It’s really not that impressive outside of the Berkshires and Western CT. 10:1 is also probably going to be more like 6-7:1 outside of those areas You guys look at clown maps way too much. The GGEM was about as classic as it gets for a pretty widespread heavy snow impact. The H5 was awesome, the midlevels were awesome. I certainly wouldn’t trust the GGEM’s lowest level thermals…prob one of the worst models for that (long with Ukie) 4 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Uncle? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: It took my area up like 4", which is very significant on an ensemble mean in one run. It bumped up here by 4” as well but all those wide right members are interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: It bumped up here by 4” as well but all those wide right members are interesting. Only on planet omega is 4" on an ensemble mean insignificant. Something tells me that if it had decreased by 4", he would have noted it. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoeSnowBOS Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Rain bomb incoming for coast. Going to be very heavy rain and strong winds at coast and high elevations and inland some heavy snow. Impressive storm for sure 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 2 minutes ago, JoeSnowBOS said: Rain bomb incoming for coast. Going to be very heavy rain and strong winds at coast and high elevations and inland some heavy snow. Impressive storm for sure Why are you so certain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Just now, Henry's Weather said: Why are you so certain He wants to be convinced otherwise....another immature and not so covert defense mechanism. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 2 minutes ago, Henry's Weather said: Why are you so certain Maybe he's talking about the UK? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Ukie came east a good bit…but not a surprise after 12z’s adventures into Tolland. Ukie is dumping like 4” of QPF on WaWa and berks…lol. Prob mostly snow. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoeSnowBOS Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Lol - it’s called watching every meteo saying the same thing. So it’s this forum vs those that forecast for a living 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Ukie midlevel are improved Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Just now, JoeSnowBOS said: Lol - it’s called watching every meteo saying the same thing. So it’s this forum vs those that forecast for a living So, in other words, parroting the forecasts of the knowledgeable? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 12 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: WOW...GEFS improved The ONLY area it improved, was for where you are getting NE Mass into the Pink. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoeSnowBOS Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Just now, Henry's Weather said: So, in other words, parroting the forecasts of the knowledgeable? Yeah exactly 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 1 minute ago, JoeSnowBOS said: Lol - it’s called watching every meteo saying the same thing. So it’s this forum vs those that forecast for a living 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 UK does dump on the berks but the coast is toast in this run for snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 1 minute ago, TheSnowman said: The ONLY area it improved, was for where you are getting NE Mass into the Pink. Improved for a good portion of CT, too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoeSnowBOS Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Just now, 8611Blizz said: UK does dump on the berks but the coast is toast in this run for snow. That can’t be….throw it out 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JKEisMan Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Ukie is like 30-40” northern Litchfield up through Berks. Crazy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 There is some consensus tonight but a movement of say 40-50 miles is going to make an enormous difference for I95/128 area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 15 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: You guys look at clown maps way too much. The GGEM was about as classic as it gets for a pretty widespread heavy snow impact. The H5 was awesome, the midlevels were awesome. I certainly wouldn’t trust the GGEM’s lowest level thermals…prob one of the worst models for that (long with Ukie) It seems like the GGEM H5 evolution is the best case scenario for most of SNE, bar none. Do you agree? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Away all day, so much to catch up. One quick very favorable impression from 18z/0z runs... love that the ULL is now closing completely south of SNE on every single piece of guidance. That was not the case earlier today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 8 minutes ago, JoeSnowBOS said: Lol - it’s called watching every meteo saying the same thing. So it’s this forum vs those that forecast for a living They could be wrong, it wouldn’t be the first time nor will it be the last. The stations I watched emphasized the high degree of uncertainty here, yes they are leaning towards a rainy solution but that could change depending on what the future guidance says. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Just now, Henry's Weather said: It seems like the GGEM H5 evolution is the best case scenario for most of SNE, bar none. Do you agree? Yeah maybe…certainly close. Something like the NAM just a little further south would be pretty epic too. Essentially what you’re going for if we’re trying for the unicorn is to get that midlevel flow out of the east before it warms above 0C and at the same time we’re turning the lower levels more NE with a stall somewhere south of the islands. You need an entirely closed upper level going underneath LI elongated east-west. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 2 minutes ago, wxsniss said: Away all day, so much to catch up. One quick very favorable impression from 18z/0z runs... love that the ULL is now closing completely south of SNE on every single piece of guidance. That was not the case earlier today. I think its related to scooter's appendage becoming less prominent. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoeSnowBOS Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Just now, George001 said: They could be wrong, it wouldn’t be the first time nor will it be the last. The stations I watched emphasized the high degree of uncertainty here, yes they are leaning towards a rainy solution but that could change depending on what the future guidance says. Agree they have been wrong but they seem pretty sure it’s rain. They did say things could change but not likely. I hope they are wrong! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think its related to scooter's appendage becoming less prominent. Think you'll have enough for a first outlook after EPS tonight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 GFS and UK tracks were quite similar stalling out on the MA/RI southern border, but the results were quite different, especially in eastern areas.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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