40/70 Benchmark Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: From your lips to WOR hips. If the trend is done- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: If the trend is done- Which is not. I can’t foresee it locking in at d6 and we’ve been burned too many times on these. We’ll just track, salivate…and pray. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 I would not even consider this a trend with all the uncertainty surrounding this, GFS @H5 doesn't even resemble the 06z run at 12z. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: I would not even consider this a trend with all the uncertainty surrounding this, GFS @H5 doesn't even resemble the 06z run at 12z. I'm not talking about the GFS, which has been clueless on this system. Trend is apparent on EPS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 1 minute ago, dryslot said: I would not even consider this a trend with all the uncertainty surrounding this. True, a lot of moving pieces. QueenOmega and his followers are lurking in the bushes waiting to pop out too… 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'm not talking abou the GFS, which has been clueless on this system. Trend is apparent on EPS. Well, I have not really looked at much on this until now, But if that's what your basing it on, Sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 I usually compare a few different models for a "Trend" but maybe that's me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NotSureWeather Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 33 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: I'll take a left hook into EWB. Please no… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Just now, dryslot said: Well, I have not really looked at much on this until now, But if that's what your basing it on, Sure. I was just saying that the ICON reflects where I think the EPS has been headed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 GFS will be a scraper. Rather progressive. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Just now, dryslot said: I usually compare a few different models for a "Trend" but maybe that's me. I usually wait for a model to not be an extreme outlier before considering it. Korean and UK were also doing something similar last night, just a bit further east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Well it tries to capture and spread moisture well west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Just now, CoastalWx said: GFS will be a scraper. Rather progressive. But damn it's close to a bomb. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: GFS will be a scraper. Rather progressive. Feels like the 90s again. At least we’re out of the 80s, hopefully, lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 19 minutes ago, dryslot said: lol A lot of evidence that we get a stall/loop/prolonged capture. Showing up on many models. Details to be determined but glad the capture isn't off DE or Jersey. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Boundary layer is quite mild to start though. SE flow ahead of the low FTL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 GFS tries for a late capture and hook west this run, But just gets it a little to far east before it happens, Really all you want to see right now anyways but the potential is there for something big. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 2 minutes ago, CT Rain said: But damn it's close to a bomb. Just now, dryslot said: GFS tries for a late capture and hook west this run, But just gets it a little to far east before it happens, Really all you want to see right now anyways but the potential is there for something big. Yeah it's close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: True, a lot of moving pieces. QueenOmega and his followers are lurking in the bushes waiting to pop out too… I have to say I hope this storm is a WWG1WGA, just not QQomega-non style. In fact, if it is region-wide, I say we call it the Qanon storm! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NotSureWeather Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 This would be all rain most likely for my area? EWB… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 1 minute ago, dryslot said: GFS tries for a late capture and hook west this run, But just gets it a little to far east before it happens, Really all you want to see right now anyways but the potential is there for something big. Reminds me of the UK and Korean last night....compromise between that and EURO would be sweet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Just now, CoastalWx said: GFS will be a scraper. Rather progressive. I will just come out and say what most are thinking right now....Somehow this solution by the GFS will be correct. Many will assume the Euro will be right this time due to its "handling" Saturday so well. Then just like a toddler, when you think you have them potty trained, they have a huge blowout in the middle of the grocery store, on a Saturday afternoon(ok, maybe a bit of an exaggeration). I guess, in reality, follow the ensembles for now, at least until the Saturday storm is finished. GFS looks like it is trying, but is highly confused on the handling and what looks to be following the convection off shore.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 11 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Which is not. I can’t foresee it locking in at d6 and we’ve been burned too many times on these. We’ll just track, salivate…and pray. Just another Saturday night in my college years... But I feel this has been locked at a general level for 3 days. That could be the kiss of death, but Schnee! Schnee! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Argghh... 12Z GFS goes in the wrong direction. I was hoping for another big jump towards the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 5 minutes ago, dryslot said: GFS tries for a late capture and hook west this run, But just gets it a little to far east before it happens, Really all you want to see right now anyways but the potential is there for something big. time for you to change back to that feb 69 avatar.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 5 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: I will just come out and say what most are thinking right now....Somehow this solution by the GFS will be correct. Many will assume the Euro will be right this time due to its "handling" Saturday so well. Then just like a toddler, when you think you have them potty trained, they have a huge blowout in the middle of the grocery store, on a Saturday afternoon(ok, maybe a bit of an exaggeration). I guess, in reality, follow the ensembles for now, at least until the Saturday storm is finished. GFS looks like it is trying, but is highly confused on the handling and what looks to be following the convection off shore.... Lol This season has gotten to you. You’ll need to crush a few softballs in June if this ends up a dud. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 I wouldn't be sweating what the GFS has at this lead, I'm not totally sold that its replaced the Euro as some may think it has. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 1 minute ago, wxeyeNH said: Argghh... 12Z GFS goes in the wrong direction. I was hoping for another big jump towards the Euro There will be some compromise....06z EPS was the first blink from that camp....here is a gfs blink. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Cmc is way more amped Gfs is likely wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 12z GGEM is 983mb inside the BM 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now