ORH_wxman Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: Somewhere in CT, a bald, emaciated man is stirring in his sleep I mean, if we start capturing this off the coast of SE NJ, then all of the sudden the parallels become a bit more striking. When we’re flinging the low way east before capture, it wasn’t all that similar…but if you start capturing down there and driving the ULL into MD or VA, then you quickly have a different beast. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 The low is moving north though. Just have it rot and dumbbell east. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 43 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Because heavy snow is the only thing in this world that still affords me the opportunity to experience the very same youthful exuberance that I did as a child. So few adults in this world have something that allows that, and when you do, cherish it for life bc it's a gift. My wife loves taking pictures of me while I am using the roof rake because of the pure joy in my expression (especially when the snow is just pelting me as it falls). If the forecast doesn't change drastically i m planning on shoveling part of the garage room and breaking out the roof rake on Sunday! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I mean, if we start capturing this off the coast of SE NJ, then all of the sudden the parallels become a bit more striking. When we’re flinging the low way east before capture, it wasn’t all that similar…but if you start capturing down there and driving the ULL into MD or VA, then you quickly have a different beast. Dumb question but wouldn't that situation be a decaying low slowly drifting SE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 2 minutes ago, George001 said: Despite a really tucked low it’s colder than the other guidance. Snow east of the low? It’s not snowing due east of the low…maybe northeast of the low but that is fairly normal as long as you are north of the midlevel warm front which is pretty clear in this run… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 3 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Obviously it's the NAM still in the clown range, but I don't think it is as good as it seems. It's (hopefully) a bit too amp happy but verbatim, we may be dealing with major dryslot issues quickly with all the goods well west. With SST's 41-42°F off BOS, it's going to be hard to get snow with strong ENE winds with the NAM showing the low on the coast of NJ. Not buying a 2m temp of 33°F here at hr 84, no matter the strength of the precip. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Just now, Henry's Weather said: Dumb question but wouldn't that situation be a decaying low slowly drifting SE? Eventually it would but it’s prob going to redevelop somewhere out east when that intense vortmax down in VA keeps pressing eastward. Dec ‘92 did that too…initially captured near Delmarva but then redeveloped east and pinwheeled up to a position south of MVY where it rotted for a bit before finally drifting off E or ESE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The low is moving north though. Just have it rot and dumbbell east. You know you just need to move inland for gods sake. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 27 minutes ago, dendrite said: I just like how it covers up everyone’s shit in their yard. Are you talking like literal shit, in Moosup? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 That’s an interesting evolution. One we have not seen by the globals or ens I don’t think. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Eventually it would but it’s prob going to redevelop somewhere out east when that intense vortmax down in VA keeps pressing eastward. Dec ‘92 did that too…initially captured near Delmarva but then redeveloped east and pinwheeled up to a position south of MVY where it rotted for a bit before finally drifting off E or ESE. Fascinating Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: That’s an interesting evolution. One we have not seen by the globals or ens I don’t think. Yeah not really buying it. More just entertaining fodder before the real models come out. It does highlight some of the model guidance uncertainty though. We keep getting different variations of this storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 1 minute ago, OceanStWx said: Are you talking like literal shit, in Moosup? I’m talkin cars on blocks. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'm just frustrated. Not a skier, but good luck. Maybe try it out? Even x-country right after the storm. Crisp snowfall in the woods with no noise around....Nothing like it. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 2 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: With SST's 41-42°F off BOS, it's going to be hard to get snow with strong ENE winds with the NAM showing the low on the coast of NJ. Not buying a 2m temp of 33°F here at hr 84, no matter the strength of the precip. Out your way for sure, agreed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderblizzard Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Long range RGEM looks quite a bit less amped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 6 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: With SST's 41-42°F off BOS, it's going to be hard to get snow with strong ENE winds with the NAM showing the low on the coast of NJ. Not buying a 2m temp of 33°F here at hr 84, no matter the strength of the precip. If that were the case we’d never have had big December nor’easters with heavy snow but we do and with warmer waters. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah not really buying it. More just entertaining fodder before the real models come out. It does highlight some of the model guidance uncertainty though. We keep getting different variations of this storm. Yup…everything still on the table. We knew this would morph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah not really buying it. More just entertaining fodder before the real models come out. It does highlight some of the model guidance uncertainty though. We keep getting different variations of this storm. Not great though to see the 0z NAM continue with the trend of less southern stream involvement overall. But the southern stream may be more challenging to deal with then the northern stream really. Convection in the mid-south tomorrow and Sunday could have an influence on southern stream energy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Just now, Thunderblizzard said: Long range RGEM looks quite a bit less amped. That’s the first run it’s keeping the low east of GON…pretty snowy for interior. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderblizzard Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The low is moving north though. Just have it rot and dumbbell east. That would be preferable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 5 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Not great though to see the 0z NAM continue with the trend of less southern stream involvement overall. But the southern stream may be more challenging to deal with then the northern stream really. Convection in the mid-south tomorrow and Sunday could have an influence on southern stream energy. Definitely something to look for. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 6 minutes ago, Thunderblizzard said: Nice hit there for most… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 15 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: You know you just need to move inland for gods sake. No lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 The Nam at hr 84 has always been quite entertaining, Its like a comedian, Always good for a few laughs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 16 minutes ago, dendrite said: I’m talkin cars on blocks. That would be Hubbardston 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Icon has that awful look of getting sucked NW in an inverted trough fashion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Into RI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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