weatherwiz Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: This may be the hardest one I have ever done...probably have something out by like 9ish I feel pretty confident this will be a crushing from southern VT down through the Berks into Litchfield County. It certainly gets more challenging outside of this area, but my leaning is this will be rather impactful for many. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: This may be the hardest one I have ever done...probably have something out by like 9ish Can you have it by 8:00, before bedtime? 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Reggie still looks like garbage....likely up the CT valley if extrapolated beyond 84. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Can you have it by 8:00, before bedtime? I'll have it out 8:01 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Reggie still looks like garbage....likely up the CT valley if extrapolated beyond 84. Yep 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Yep If its raining in NYC with that thickness and low position then I am officially declaring myself God 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 The southern stream is having less and less influence on most of these runs today which is the opposite of what we want to see....it's going to be congrats Catskills if we can't reverse that trend. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Even the 18z ICON has the weenie lobe of low pressure wanting to suck it west now, despite the low position. Blows. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 The southern stream is having less and less influence on most of these runs today which is the opposite of what we want to see....it's going to be congrats Catskills if we can't reverse that trend.Group chase? After a POS winter like this man I’m like 90% sure I’m headed up to the skills’. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 10 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: The southern stream is having less and less influence on most of these runs today which is the opposite of what we want to see....it's going to be congrats Catskills if we can't reverse that trend. I’m shocked we are seeing an unfavorable trend inside day 5. That’s so unlike this whole winter 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 11 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: The southern stream is having less and less influence on most of these runs today which is the opposite of what we want to see....it's going to be congrats Catskills if we can't reverse that trend. Opposite trend we want to see....when have we seen that before this season. Just an uncanny ability sniff out what you don't want, and then piss in your mouth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Doubtful that trend reverses IMO. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Doubtful that trend reverses IMO. But I thought you said us peeps in the Boston metro shouldn't sweat it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Group trip to Saratoga? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 7 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I’m shocked we are seeing an unfavorable trend inside day 5. That’s so unlike this whole winter It's ovah here. This could be the worst winter I've recorded, and can remember. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 1 minute ago, SouthCoastMA said: It's ovah here. This could be the worst winter I've recorded, and can remember. Same, I wasn’t really tracking snowfall here in 2011-12, but I can almost guarantee we got double digits. I think I’m at like 6” right now, maybe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Doubtful that trend reverses IMO. It will need to reverse by the 12z runs tomorrow...that's when the southern stream vort comes on shore. Northern stream became more dominant today when it came onshore, the hope is maybe southern stream can come in stronger by tomorrow. But I'm fairly pessimistic at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 8 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I’m shocked we are seeing an unfavorable trend inside day 5. That’s so unlike this whole winter Actually most storms its occurred before that lol. There has been ticks that have gone bad inside Day 5 but in general this winter models have sort of locked onto a general idea at Day 6 or 7 then held it from there. We've lost like 5 storms to cutters at 130-150 that never came back but ultimately maybe shifted 75-100 miles which impacted places like Buffalo or Detroit but one of us cared 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Hard to believe you all are giving up on snow with this. When the inevitable last 36-48 hours east shuffles begin.. you’ll wish you hadn’t . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Hard to believe you all are giving up on snow with this. When the inevitable last 36-48 hours east shuffles begin.. you’ll wish you hadn’t . I'd still be somewhat interested @ your location Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Just now, SouthCoastMA said: I'd still be somewhat interested @ your location My point is It’s not tracking up the CTRV like the 84 hour Reggie . With such tight clustering across the board over the elbow or at least mid cape.. it’s going to snow west of that track 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 They are telling us at work to prepare to be in a hotel for maybe two days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 2 minutes ago, TalcottWx said: They are telling us at work to prepare to be in a hotel for maybe two days. Flooding risk? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: My point is It’s not tracking up the CTRV like the 84 hour Reggie . With such tight clustering across the board over the elbow or at least mid cape.. it’s going to snow west of that track If guidance does converge on a track over the elbow I’ll be excited for my area, but it has trended more inland with the low. Looks toasty here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 2 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Flooding risk? I think they are having a big staff party. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 13 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: It will need to reverse by the 12z runs tomorrow...that's when the southern stream vort comes on shore. Northern stream became more dominant today when it came onshore, the hope is maybe southern stream can come in stronger by tomorrow. But I'm fairly pessimistic at the moment. Yea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 16 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: But I thought you said us peeps in the Boston metro shouldn't sweat it? I obviously said that when I thought it was tracking near the cape, which I suspect you know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I obviously said that when I thought it was tracking near the cape, which I suspect you know. Have you seriously given up? Okay, they've had a bit of a blip but nothing is set in stone that is coming into Connecticut. A lot of the members still have the low pressures out by the cape. This winter has sucked and everything has pretty much gone in the wrong direction. But, this one has been steadfast with the low pressure systems being out by the cape. I don't think it's over and I don't think it's going to come inland. Maybe it will wrap in over by the cape, but I just not sure it's going to wrap in in Connecticut or Western Mass. Don't give up man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 It will need to reverse by the 12z runs tomorrow...that's when the southern stream vort comes on shore. Northern stream became more dominant today when it came onshore, the hope is maybe southern stream can come in stronger by tomorrow. But I'm fairly pessimistic at the moment.Right at the 84-96 hour range was when the euro finally adjusted N with precip for this current event. 12z on the 7th was last run that shunting the precip S/E and the next 00z run brought it N again. We are right in the range now, not feeling great that we saw the shift today. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Goofus tracks over the dog poop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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