Ginx snewx Posted March 10, 2023 Author Share Posted March 10, 2023 Just now, Go Kart Mozart said: Does this imply sick banding in the Hudson Valley and the Gonadnock area? That's a monster band in SNE. Wow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 21 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: All events. This would be LOL-tastic 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 10, 2023 Author Share Posted March 10, 2023 16 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Thing is, I would need one helluva shuffle. ? Euro gave you 15 to 20and EPS is like 12. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Just now, Ginx snewx said: ? Euro gave you 15 to 20and EPS is like 12. I mean if the EURO follows the GFS/UK. The only reason I am concerned is bc of the timing of that shift....(SW onshore). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 8 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Jesus go to Mammoth Village if you are that close. They will get in 6 hrs 2 feet. You reallyyyy.... Really really don't get how this works.... do you? I can go see 10 feet of snow anytime. It's about having it WHERE you are from. In your backyard. I thought everyone on here had this mentality. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: Reggie still looks like ka-ka.....Icon coming in decently east of 06z through 78h What is the RGEM's domain region ? I'm wondering since the N stream isn't relayed in just yet ( or is it? ) ?? They're supposed ( I thought ...haha) to be relayed by the global runs around there domain termini but I was told that on the fly at some point - seems reasonable but I don't know if that's fact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: I mean if the EURO follows the GFS/UK. The only reason I am concerned is bc of the timing of that shift....(SW onshore). All new data going into models. We'll see. Only caveat being I'm not sure I trust the 4 op runs of the globals either. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 2 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said: This would be LOL-tastic Disgusting Interior always gets it good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Late to the ball game this morning but just took a look at the ICON model... Jesus christ. Has a coveted seldom seen 'magenta' band ( muah hahahaha) up and down the Worcester hills.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 That gradient from zero to like 30” between BDL and Salisbury is hilarious. But it doesn’t matter. We all know our fate rests in the capable hands of the JMA. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 10, 2023 Author Share Posted March 10, 2023 Just now, TheSnowman said: You reallyyyy.... Really really don't get how this works.... do you? I can go see 10 feet of snow anytime. It's about having it WHERE you are from. In your backyard. I thought everyone on here had this mentality. No fucking way would I pay 500 bucks to travel home see 15 to 20 inches imby. Probably seen 3 dozen of those. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: All new data going into models. We'll see. Only caveat being I'm not sure I trust the 4 op runs of the globals either. True...GEFS improved, I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Disgusting Interior always gets it good some models even screw my area so not always 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: All new data going into models. We'll see. Only caveat being I'm not sure I trust the 4 op runs of the globals either. All the other models were trending toward euro until that Ukie run which is a model known to have large jumps. I mostly want to see the ensmebles today…goal posts really aren’t narrow enough for OP runs to be super useful yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 10, 2023 Author Share Posted March 10, 2023 Just now, Hoth said: That gradient from zero to like 30” between BDL and Salisbury is hilarious. But it doesn’t matter. We all know our fate rests in the capable hands of the JMA. Hey been telling Pickles for a week to watch the JMA. He laughed me off but I think it's got the best handle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: All the other models were trending toward euro until that Ukie run which is a model known to have large jumps. I mostly want to see the ensmebles today…goal posts really aren’t narrow enough for OP runs to be super useful yet. GEFS improved....I'm gonna draw up first call and just ice it if EURO poops in the bowl 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 28 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: UGH. Rain for almost everybody east of the CT river. Could it be focusing on the wrong low in that couplet? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: All the other models were trending toward euro until that Ukie run which is a model known to have large jumps. I mostly want to see the ensmebles today…goal posts really aren’t narrow enough for OP runs to be super useful yet. GEM ensembles into Newport or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: GEM ensembles into Newport or so. they look good for here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Hey been telling Pickles for a week to watch the JMA. He laughed me off but I think it's got the best handle I hope you’re right. It’s been spitting out some beastly solutions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 airmass is so so bad ahead of this, you have a 976mb low and a rain CCB until you are in the mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 If we get screwed by a phantom duel low, man… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 10, 2023 Author Share Posted March 10, 2023 4 minutes ago, qg_omega said: airmass is so so bad ahead of this, you have a 976mb low and a rain CCB until you are in the mountains. Better check your soundings again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 GEPS and GEFS ticked east. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 2 hours ago, brooklynwx99 said: the PNA ridge on the ICON is stronger though? it’s the southern stream energy that’s a bit weaker I'm behind ..and trying to catch up to the end of hall that seems to be running away like a nightmare... haha but just as Will and I have been pointing out, this shows ... a little increase in that ridge ( more w-e than n-s but there is some of both ...) and the N stream is set upon a slightly farther E dive. very critical in a scenario with ass vomit polar rot for air massing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Remember the days with HP to the north ahead of the storm? Yeah, those days were awesome. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 JMA is in exactly the same spot as 12z yesterday but looks like it would be a little flatter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Ignoring the GFS. I honestly can't blame you ... I don't normally condone 86ing inclusion of any model ... but I really keep coming back to the subtle progessive bias of the GFS, which is noted by NCEP et al, as being instrumental/most like why it it is consummately orchestrating this thing to shallower dynamics - which of course feeds back negatively on all synoptics inherent to cyclogenesis. It can't have deep dynamics and still be hell bent of stretching, so it takes some percentage away... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 How does the Iranian look? 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Jesus can a brother get a 20 mile shift? I suspect you will in the end ( shhhh ) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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