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The last hurrah? Putting all the eggs in the Tuesday 3/14 basket


Ginx snewx
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27 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

My “gut” says NW CT on north and into nrn ORH and CNE is the place to be right now.  Obviously things can change, but that’s what these overnight runs tell me. 

100% agree.  NW CT/Hunchie/Brian special.  Anyone else should really be holding their expecations form fantasy runs in check.  Fantasies are just that--fantasies.

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Was looking at forecasts near ALB and surprised how warm they are.  The zones read like mainly rain in the valleys.

Sunday Night... A chance of snow after 1am. Cloudy, with a low around 32. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Monday... Rain, possibly mixed with snow. High near 38. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

Monday Night... Rain, possibly mixed with snow. Low around 33. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

 

 

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5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Looks like end of 06z euro run is a bit more subdued than 00z. We’ll see if that makes a difference on the ensemble run in a bit. 

Just a tad east on 850 vorticity but looks like noise.  992 surface versus 985 but that could be slower timing. 

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1 hour ago, powderfreak said:

Looking at the individual EPS members, man a lot of those just absolutely smoke the Catskills.

Pretty crazy probs for >24" of snow.

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-neng-snow_ge_24-8989600.thumb.png.88382c7191a0e5220611ade29bb89d27.png

It’s more like 20” + odds with about 4” coming tonight from that map . 
 

check this weenie map out everyone’s  90th percentile outcome lol 

image.thumb.png.675bc144d0221de850b9270a03b53ed3.png

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4 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

It’s more like 20” + odds with about 4” coming tonight from that map . 
 

check this weenie map out everyone’s  90th percentile outcome lol 

5E2AC45F-8C2A-493D-B0DE-0FAEC37F8E08.png

that is tasty, nice little present before I head to the land of exactly the same weather and landscape every day...

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6 hours ago, brooklynwx99 said:

that increased PNA ridging is such a game changer. leads to an earlier phase and way more cold air to tap into 

UKMET did the same thing

Tip a while back said that was what was needed.

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