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The last hurrah? Putting all the eggs in the Tuesday 3/14 basket


Ginx snewx
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6 minutes ago, ma blizzard said:

reminds me a little of the Jan 2015 blizzard? Could be wrong 

Yes it is similar to some extent, though the Jan 2015 blizzard had probably even a wider turn....another one is late Feb 1969, but again, a wider turn on that one too which is why it wasn't a big deal west of the CT river. This one is not quite going as far east initially. (or southeast in the case of Jan 2015)

A little bit of 3/13/18 too. But again, this northern stream seems to be slicing in from a little more west angle which keeps better precip further west.

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18 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Just imagine this. I mean there would certainly be a subsidence screw zone but given the evolution the chances of the CCB traversing the majority of the region would be high and this would likely sit and pivot somewhere...that's when you're going to be talking about the potential for some obscene totals.

image.png.d01acc2a8ce5a7cde5407701a320f54a.png

Like I said yesterday....someone gets 3 feet. My money is on ORH.

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2 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Lol imagine that 33 and rain to 8 and a white out in a few hours 

If I could go back in time and get ONE radar loop from a pre-radar storm that would be it 

Lol imagine the media chaos? What would JB blog? Ryan's weather forecast.

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Probably somewhat concerning that the GFS is very different. 
The GFS was the first to show a late SWFE storm last week while others where much more suppressed. 
And technically the 12z models moved east towards the GFS

i don't think that's concerning. Euro schools the GFS anytime


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2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

That is so infuriating...OP always goes opposite direction of ensembles. That is disconcerting.

OP is probably right in the middle of the EPS....I think this makes a whiff a lot less likely now, but I never really bought the whiff idea. I've always been more concerned with ptype in this one.

The key will be that lead southern streamer staying ahead of the northern stream long enough.

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