MJO812 Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 On 3/9/2023 at 11:39 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: D5 trends revealing where this is heading, sigh Expand Why is it so hard to get a classic I-95 Snowstorm ? I really hate the interior and New England 4 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 On 3/9/2023 at 11:41 AM, MJO812 said: Why is it so hard to get a classic I-95 Snowstorm ? I really hate the interior and New England Expand Let’s see what today brings though. We’ll need to cut back on the lows that run into CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 On 3/9/2023 at 11:45 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Let’s see what today brings though. We’ll need to cut back on the lows that run into CT. Expand The primary needs to die faster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 On 3/9/2023 at 11:38 AM, Damage In Tolland said: 6z mean is def a bit SE Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 On 3/9/2023 at 11:48 AM, MJO812 said: The primary needs to die faster Expand if most of SNE wants in on it, the ECMWF / UKMET solution with a quicker transfer needs to happen. GFS is too late 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 On 3/9/2023 at 11:48 AM, MJO812 said: The primary needs to die faster Expand I don’t think that’s the issue tbh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 Oz euro was so close out here it is maddening but we need the ULL to dive a little more SE so the capture is not over Kevin’s head. Looks like a flatter rockies ridge is preventing that? I’m not entirely sure… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 On 3/9/2023 at 11:59 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Oz euro was so close out here it is maddening but we need the ULL to dive a little more SE so the capture is not over Kevin’s head. Looks like a flatter rockies ridge is preventing that? I’m not entirely sure… Expand A better PNA ridge would amp it even more...ideally we want to escape east some, and then capture. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 It can also dig Too much and buckle the flow to bring it north. Another needle threader. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JKEisMan Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 There’s no good cold air source to the north, temps are toasty all the way up to Montreal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 On 3/9/2023 at 12:00 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: A better PNA ridge would amp it even more...ideally we want to escape east some, and then capture. Expand Yea but how we want it to escape east.. A scooter shit streak? A ULL that dives more se I would think would help the surface not be over AC. Get it more east and hook back into CC. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 On 3/9/2023 at 12:04 PM, JKEisMan said: There’s no good cold air source to the north, temps are toasty all the way up to Montreal. Expand True, a smaller margin for error, but the track is key. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 Guess I have to root to be in the western eyewall on the gfs. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 On 3/9/2023 at 12:01 PM, CoastalWx said: It can also dig Too much and buckle the flow to bring it north. Another needle threader. Expand Ya , it has seemed that way for I-95 since it’s been evident there is no confluence , and the ull was a bit nw of an ideal locale I was satisfied thou that the euro didn’t trend toward gfs. I want a Qpf bomb and I have a tank of gas If necessary , don’t want some lead low chasing convection off shore. Im pumped for today’s 12z runs ..still another 12-24 hrs for models to move around significantly imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 Gfs at least shows you how you can flash to heavy snow with a dynamic sucker like that. Hopefully euro puts that SE of the cape. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 On 3/9/2023 at 11:41 AM, MJO812 said: Why is it so hard to get a classic I-95 Snowstorm ? I really hate the interior and New England Expand Dude, the interior and CNE and NNE watched plenty of huge storms bury southern and western coastal plain to NYC long Island and NnJ the past 20 years...geez 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 Long way to go here with this. Friday night/Saturday trending stronger, that is gonna have a say in this track imo too..how yet, I’m not sure, but it will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 On 3/9/2023 at 12:22 PM, WinterWolf said: Long way to go here with this. Friday night/Saturday trending stronger, that is gonna have a say in this track imo too..how yet, I’m not sure, but it will. Expand I’m not even sure it does to be honest. The other shit for early next week doesn’t seem to care. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 On 3/9/2023 at 12:28 PM, CoastalWx said: I’m not even sure it does to be honest. The other shit for early next week doesn’t seem to care. Expand Point is…this has twists and turns to come imo…4 days out dis a long time. And I think Friday night will influence Monday/Tuesday some how. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 On 3/9/2023 at 12:04 PM, JKEisMan said: There’s no good cold air source to the north, temps are toasty all the way up to Montreal. Expand On 3/9/2023 at 12:16 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: Ya , it has seemed that way for I-95 since it’s been evident there is no confluence , and the ull was a bit nw of an ideal locale I was satisfied thou that the euro didn’t trend toward gfs. I want a Qpf bomb and I have a tank of gas If necessary , don’t want some lead low chasing convection off shore. Im pumped for today’s 12z runs ..still another 12-24 hrs for models to move around significantly imo Expand We need more cold air to build in 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 On 3/9/2023 at 12:37 PM, George001 said: We need more cold air to build in Expand There isn’t any cold coming. That’s not changing. So you’re at the mercy of the track. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 N Stream looks weaker on the 06z EURO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 On 3/9/2023 at 11:05 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: That is a terrible change on the GFS....moved the H5 significantly north. Game over if that is the trend....that will turn it into a NNE deal. See what the 12z suite does. Expand So much for blocking can't screw you over twice this season 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris12WX Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 Pretty good consistency within the ensemble means with the low passing over/near outer Cape. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 On 3/9/2023 at 12:56 PM, Chris12WX said: Pretty good consistency within the ensemble means with the low passing over/near outer Cape. Expand Near outer cape is party time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 On 3/9/2023 at 12:40 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: N Stream looks weaker on the 06z EURO. Expand Yeah my guess is that would end up a little more subdued than 00z....we'll see what EPS says in a bit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 On 3/9/2023 at 12:54 PM, SnoSki14 said: So much for blocking can't screw you over twice this season Expand That is a good thing. Get a clue and a grip- 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 On 3/9/2023 at 12:56 PM, Chris12WX said: Pretty good consistency within the ensemble means with the low passing over/near outer Cape. Expand Normally that track would jackpot around the Berks to Dendrite, but be okay for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 06z EPS is def a bit SE of 00z (don't worry, I made sure I was toggling the right frames this time...lol) 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 EPS looks pretty good for many. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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