Kitz Craver Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 Nice Rainer to dryslot for CT wrt 6z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 3 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said: Nice Rainer to dryslot for CT wrt 6z GFS. Yea, if it goes over Boston, then I'm screwed...that clown map is absurd. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 That is a terrible change on the GFS....moved the H5 significantly north. Game over if that is the trend....that will turn it into a NNE deal. See what the 12z suite does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, if it goes over Boston, then I'm screwed...that clown map is absurd. That clown buries you… hard to believe though with that SLP location Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 Just now, Kitz Craver said: That clown buries you… hard to believe though with that SLP location Must be dynamics....I would def go with the depth map in that case. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 NARCAN gives me like 4-5" of slop. I would go with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 Seems more reasonable parsing that run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 If this solution worked out and this trend is final, then I'd sell those clowns to the lowest bidder. My hope is this escapes a bit more east. I'll give it until tmw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 Please, let this not be the start of the unraveling. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 LOL in real life we have to deal with increasing numbers of "Karens" and here there's an increasing number of Debbies. Just enjoy the tracking for Christ sakes. And LOL again... I thought you guys thought the GFS is B.S. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 Can you imagine if that unlikely scenario happened. This place would absolutely implode . We’ll see if the GEFS even remotely resemble that 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 1 minute ago, UnitedWx said: LOL in real life we have to deal with increasing numbers of "Karens" and here there's an increasing number of Debbies. Just enjoy the tracking for Christ sakes. And LOL again... I thought you guys thought the GFS is B.S. When it was unphased...and we were right. It just caved and is phased. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 I never said that, All guidance can contribute to the mosaic of a forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 Just say patient for now. I won't be super concerned unless this trend continues into tomorrow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 GFS is just like round 2 of December 1996. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 GEFS is maybe a hair less amped than 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: GEFS is maybe a hair less amped than 00z. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: When it was unphased...and we were right. It just caved and is phased. Understood. It's just possibly not the final outcome is what I mean. Now if other guidance starts tracking the low like this then I'll pay more attention. We still need to get through tomorrow nights event to see if this still holds anyway 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 Just now, UnitedWx said: Understood. It's just possibly not the final outcome is what I mean. Now if other guidance starts tracking the low like this then I'll pay more attention. We still need to get through tomorrow nights event to see if this still holds anyway Yea. This rain scenario makes perfect sense and is totally plausible....not saying to toss it. I just hedge against it...for now. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 14 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: When it was unphased...and we were right. It just caved and is phased. This comment wasn't supposed to be directed at you, I was just reacting to what you said about what I expect to hear from certain others this antimeridian... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 1 minute ago, UnitedWx said: This comment wasn't supposed to be directed at you, I was just reacting to what you said about what I expect to hear from certain others this anti meridian... My biggest take away from EPS and GEFS trends over night is that someone is going to measure 3 feet....whomever remains on the left side of this capture is going to make some history. The signal is just growing glaringly loud on the ensemble means. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 Each successive ensemble run is more dynamic....pretty remarkable system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 26 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: That is a terrible change on the GFS....moved the H5 significantly north. Game over if that is the trend....that will turn it into a NNE deal. See what the 12z suite does. Great pattern fail ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: My biggest take away from EPS and GEFS trends over night is that someone is going to measure 3 feet....whomever remains on the left side of this capture is going to make some history. The signal is just growing glaringly loud on the ensemble means. Agreed! This is the most interesting system we've seen in a while. We didn't get crap here with the blizzard last year, so I'll be watching intently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 29 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said: That clown buries you… hard to believe though with that SLP location Snowing east of the low Sorry, I had to say it... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 15 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: 6z mean is def a bit SE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 Just now, qg_omega said: You guys are chasing ghosts on this one Still going out to sea? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 D5 trends revealing where this is heading, sigh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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