HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 12z Thursday will be my getting interested or not interested runs. Big storm potential, I'm more worried about missing South than rain in Greenfield. But that's just stupid me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 CMC likes whites to NW Maine elevations Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 5 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: … still manages an upper moderate event for eastern north eastern mass southeast New Hampshire Probably more than upper moderate. That is Ray's wet dream (white dream?). 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: 12z Thursday will be my getting interested or not interested runs. Big storm potential, I'm more worried about missing South than rain in Greenfield. But that's just stupid me. For my own interests I want a strong low that brings heavy precip to New England not some garbage that runs out to sea and can’t phase . Been 2.5 months since a chase . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 All the local tv mets have started the hype machine tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: Probably more than upper moderate. That is Ray's wet dream (white dream?). I would be shocked if much more than a third … maybe 1/2 …of that happened given that solution the GFS. Goofball runs so far dunnite 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 3 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: For my own interests I want a strong low that brings heavy precip to New England not some garbage that runs out to sea and can’t phase . Been 2.5 months since a chase . Yeah, I want a 970mb over Chatham. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 That is a HELLACIOUS gradient. Don't want to be on the wrong side of that. 3 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Probably more than upper moderate. That is Ray's wet dream (white dream?). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 2 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: 12z Thursday will be my getting interested or not interested runs. Big storm potential, I'm more worried about missing South than rain in Greenfield. But that's just stupid me. It's funny how that works. There's always something about missing to the south that hits a note. The concern is almost always south over rain up this way. But like @STILL N OF PIKE, I just want a good New England storm. Give me 3", a plowable snowfall, and bring the interest of keeping the masses involved. These threads are already so much better because everyone still has hope. Most of this season the event threads are dumpster fires... still time to get there though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: 12z Thursday will be my getting interested or not interested runs. Big storm potential, I'm more worried about missing South than rain in Greenfield. But that's just stupid me. Could go either way but the signs favor the interior. I’d feel pretty good up there. 3 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Probably more than upper moderate. That is Ray's wet dream (white dream?). Baby #4 was just consumed. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 Nice model runs for the interior. I'll be more confident Saturday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Could go either way but the signs favor the interior. I’d feel pretty good up there. Baby #4 was just consumed. No eating children till at least we get closer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 29 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Can we lock the icon even if it’s a weird solution? That's some great meteorological gymnastics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 We’re still in the time range where OP runs are glorified ensemble members. But you can see the range of possibilities…Canadian shows what happens when it goes wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 18 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: I would be shocked if much more than a third … maybe 1/2 …of that happened given that solution the GFS. Goofball runs so far dunnite Yeah, though most of these runs are injecting solid moisture profiles with up to 150% PWATs. This time of year in March with onshore flow, many previous events have proven not to sleep on the QPF. Thermals are another thing though. *IF* the upper level features and low level low get in the right spot, I'd buy the QPF. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 9, 2023 Author Share Posted March 9, 2023 12 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Probably more than upper moderate. That is Ray's wet dream (white dream?). Nah he uses snow depth not 10 to 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Nah he uses snow depth not 10 to 1 To be honestly, a blend of the two maps would likely be the snow forecast of that particular solution. 5" or 25", call it 15" and have a day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 8 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: We’re still in the time range where OP runs are glorified ensemble members. But you can see the range of possibilities…Canadian shows what happens when it goes wrong. It does sort of give me pause, though that these models are not cutting through the morass yet… Most “big dogs“ in history tend to show up early … showing some continuity. It’s like we kind of do and don’t thought it’s weird. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 GFS was going for an Icon solution it just did it later. I bet the Euro will show something similar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 5 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: It does sort of give me pause, though that these models are not cutting through the morass yet… Most “big dogs“ in history tend to show up early … showing some continuity. It’s like we kind of do and don’t thought it’s weird. Models are so much more sensitive and jumpy now, and so many more of them too than yrs back, I think sometimes this muddys the water more now, and it takes a lil longer to parse out the noise than before…but that’s just my take. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 Ukie burial inland elevation in SNE / Monads pasted 3-3.5 Qpf ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 4 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Ukie burial inland elevation in SNE / Monads pasted 3-3.5 Qpf ? No shortage of QPF thats for sure ..too bad low levels are torchy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 Just now, ma blizzard said: No shortage of QPF thats for sure Whoa..that’s a lot of QPF over a broad area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 3 minutes ago, ma blizzard said: No shortage of QPF thats for sure I’d sign up immediately for 1” of frozen SWE on top of the current snowpack and hope you guys get 2-3”. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 1 hour ago, George001 said: Cmon man, why you gotta diss the Navy? https://youtu.be/nmGuy0jievs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 I just looked at uncle. A slow lumbering 980 low passes south of New England just inside the BM. I wish I could see 925s but the snow maps are insane. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 1 minute ago, weathafella said: I just looked at uncle. A slow lumbering 980 low passes south of New England just inside the BM. I wish I could see 925s but the snow maps are insane. Pivotal has 925s fyi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 Ukie: 6 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Ukie: LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Ukie: lol....I was afraid to post it.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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