WhiteLawns Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 I’m at 970ft in harwinton it’s all snow @CT Rain 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 16 minutes ago, FXWX said: Hey Kevin... For this system, I've used a list by county and in most cases have broken the counties up into north / south zones, as well as higher v. lower elevations. Given the tremendous variations expected across short distances due to elevation changes, even within some individual districts like yours; my superintendent groups actually prefer the list range compared to a contoured map in setups like this. My take is a bit more bullish (by an inch or 2) in the central valley zone compared to some other numbers I've seen... For your area, I let the 10-14 inch zone cross the I-84 corridor by a smidge and let 14+ number get a bit closer to the MA/CT border area of Tolland Cty. The most volatile areas I think are the sharp gradients across western Hartford Cty, far northern New Haven Cty and the southern Litchfield Cty into northern Fairfield Cty area. I also think southern Tolland Cty into far northern New London Cty is going to be interesting? Thanks John. My buddy across the street is the superintendent of Union school(73 students in a K-8 lol) and has been texting me all day if he should cancel . I told him 8-12” possibly 15”, but that it was not a high confidence forecast and the flip to snow timing will make all the difference. So your forecast makes me feel a bit less stressed 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 Euro loves being east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rfgenerator Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 Here in Spencer, MA it's now snow. Sticking to the grass, but not the roads. 33.5 degrees. 820 feet above sea level. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 18z Euro didn't look drastically different than 12z to me at first glance 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderblizzard Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 8 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: Yeah, I'm down to 37 here in Plainville. I am up a little bit in elevation. I'm so curious what I'm going to wake up to. But wake up to just rain then I'll know we're not going to get much snow, but if I wake up to snow or at least a mix then I think that we can get a little pasting tomorrow A couple hundred feet lower here, but also just dropped to 37... have a feeling I'll be just on the outside here with Wolcott and elevated Bristol getting a good hit. Seems to be changing over there already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnno Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 10 minutes ago, CT Rain said: I know. They're going to rip all night. What elevation are you at in Canton? Our weather watcher in Wolcott is flipping over now at 1kft. Only about 475’ at my house, if I drive up the my road a mile or so it’s around 900’, always a noticeable difference Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 2 minutes ago, Thunderblizzard said: A couple hundred feet lower here, but also just dropped to 37... have a feeling I'll be just on the outside here with Wolcott and elevated Bristol getting a good hit. Seems to be changing over there already. This is so touch and go for where we are. I just looked outside again and I could swear I saw a few cat pours mixed in with the rain. But that also could just be my eyes deceiving me for what I'd like to see lol. I'll do it one more time before bed tonight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 It’s trying to warm aloft. Can see melting layer on BOX slowly moving NW. Probably won’t go too far though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: It’s trying to warm aloft. Can see melting layer on BOX slowly moving NW. Probably won’t go too far though. I thought I noticed that too when I was looking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It’s trying to warm aloft. Can see melting layer on BOX slowly moving NW. Probably won’t go too far though. Same here in CT. But it doesn't make it very far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 28 minutes ago, CT Rain said: I know. They're going to rip all night. What elevation are you at in Canton? Our weather watcher in Wolcott is flipping over now at 1kft. We've been mixing on and off for the past half hour or so on the west side of Westfield. I'm only about 350 feet here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 23 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Euro loves being east It went east? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 I'm at 37 with a mix, hopefully it flips to all snow in a couple of hours. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: It went east? Not much change from 12z. Just stubborn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 6 minutes ago, DavisStraight said: I'm at 37 with a mix, hopefully it flips to all snow in a couple of hours. 39 down here and rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sled Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 One more good sled for the season if I'm lucky. The classic 0-8" for my hood according to those earlier nws maps 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 That's a weird ass look. Most of the models have it too. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 Hrrr trended more euro-esque/less consolidated over the past couple runs. Separate low running east at 18hr 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 9 minutes ago, Modfan2 said: 39 down here and rain If we can flip before the majority of the heavy stuff we might do ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 47 minutes ago, WhiteLawns said: I’m at 970ft in harwinton it’s all snow @CT Rain yeah completely coated here, roads too, those paws really slushed things up now it's accumulating nicely 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 4 minutes ago, CT Rain said: That's a weird ass look. Most of the models have it too. The GFS and NAM at 18Z show 925s -2 to -3, including the CMC and UK at 12z, so the Euro is all alone with those thermals at 0. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lexclone Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 57 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Go Cyclones! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 14, 2023 Author Share Posted March 14, 2023 23 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Not much change from 12z. Just stubborn. Reverse invt slams you 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 16 minutes ago, CT Rain said: That's a weird ass look. Most of the models have it too. It’s like the finger of death beckoning weenies to their doom 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 NWS really cut back the forecast snowfall from 2-5" to less than 2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 21 minutes ago, CT Rain said: That's a weird ass look. Most of the models have it too. Correction- I misread your post as being at 18z when it is 15z, so ignore what I said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 45 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Thanks John. My buddy across the street is the superintendent of Union school(73 students in a K-8 lol) and has been texting me all day if he should cancel . I told him 8-12” possibly 15”, but that it was not a high confidence forecast and the flip to snow timing will make all the difference. So your forecast makes me feel a bit less stressed Yep... Good call... I've been very frustrated by the marginal air masses over the past 2 or 3 weeks. If we could have had just nice seasonably cold air masses with these storms not only would we already have a nice snow pack but the forecasting would have been relatively stress free. Today's another case of mostly elevation and latitude driven results. We are going to have some towns cancel school with part of the town deep in snow while on the other side of town only some slush and wet roads... Crazy stressful to deal with... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 18 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: The GFS and NAM at 18Z show 925s -2 to -3, including the CMC and UK at 12z, so the Euro is all alone with those thermals at 0. It consolidated the low more slowly and leaves the nipple longer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 The local mets really don't know what to do with 495- to the coast. Might not be able to say until tomorrow? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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