DomNH Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 Lol at the 3’’+ QPF max in Eastern MA on the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJOatleast7 Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: His dream For now...this is more ups and downs than Six Flags Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattm4242 Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 3 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said: Looks like a massive tidal wave about to come ashore Depending on how this goes, some may welcome it. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 2 recon planes flying around now probably have a better idea soon 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amarshall Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 Put the snowblower away in the shed . Game over . . 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 16 minutes ago, Heisy said: Yea just saw hah. I’ll find him an elevated spot got some people helping! . Dublin/Jaffrey area in NH, I'm less familiar with the VT towns. For a hairy drive in NH, take Rt 101 past Temple Mountain. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mostman Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 That BOX map is really curious. Basically going against all model guidance for eastern MA. Especially north of the pike. I can’t imagine trying to forecast this storm right now. I’m happy enough not to have any plans tomorrow that hinged on 2 versus 18 inches. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Even Kuchera map is trying to give you like 10" in 6 hours, lol High stakes for eastern SNE (among CT and other places with this storm). "non-linear" changes as you put it is so appropriate. It really wouldn't take much for a widespread 8-12" for eastern SNE, but we need that IVT lobe to fade faster. As is, we're now biting nails to see how quickly the main surface low takes over and where it slings up. Trying to figure out things we can pay attention to nowcast... one thing might be 925mb winds over LI pre-dawn Tues... if they have a more easterly component than southeasterly, the bigger scenarios are on the table. If they still have a strong southerly component, not good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 10 to 1 but this gradient is insane 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJOatleast7 Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 1 minute ago, tamarack said: Dublin/Jaffrey area in NH, I'm less familiar with the VT towns. For a hairy drive in NH, take Rt 101 past Temple Mountain. Ah...fond memories of lying in a snowbank there at 2 am photographing Comet Hyakutake in 1997. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 24 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Here's my updated map. Caveat being I didn't really pay much attention to things for RI and E Mass. Got to say after all the insane model runs, this map seems pretty likely. You must be a meteorologist or something.. ;-) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 1 minute ago, ineedsnow said: 10 to 1 but this gradient is insane About as painful as you can draw up for sne weenies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJOatleast7 Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 Just now, MJOatleast7 said: Ah...fond memories of lying in a snowbank there at 2 am photographing Comet Hyakutake in 1997. Actually I think it was 96 IIRC...1997 was Hale-Bopp. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 1 minute ago, ineedsnow said: 10 to 1 but this gradient is insane Since that’s the first post I’ve seen anyone post of a Rap map.. I’m going to assume this is the first one that cooled and shifted East enough that showed good snow for you? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 What a pain in the ass this storm is for many people. Im still going with 12-18 here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 Forecasting weather is not my day job, so with that caveat, it's definitely interesting to see a storm that's actually starting where the models can't come to a consensus on a 12-36 hour snowfall forecast. Amazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 5 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: 2 recon planes flying around now probably have a better idea soon Seems like a bit of a waste of resources, but I don’t write the checks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Since that’s the first post I’ve seen anyone post of a Rap map.. I’m going to assume this is the first one that cooled and shifted East enough that showed good snow for you? its been good up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 Woo hoo 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJOatleast7 Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Seems like a bit of a waste of resources, but I don’t write the checks. They're NOAA planes, right? If so I believe you do. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 Just now, MJOatleast7 said: They're NOAA planes, right? If so I believe you do. Well…ok lol. I suppose I meant make up the budget. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 had a bit of light rain but back over to light snow now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Seems like a bit of a waste of resources, but I don’t write the checks. They probably have just as much interest as we do as to why the models can't figure this one out in a more agreeable way. Perhaps extra data can assist... The storm is going to be affecting several million people in some way. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MuddyWx Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 7 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: 2 recon planes flying around now probably have a better idea soon anyone know how they assimilate this collected data so that it's available for models? like when would models ingest/use this new data? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Seems like a bit of a waste of resources, but I don’t write the checks. Yeah I don’t really get it, unless this is more of a research flight. God knows we need to understand wtf happened with the guidance here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 Maybe slightly ambitious but I’ll go 10-15’’ final here. I’ve seen enough to think we cash in on some insane rates tomorrow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 Just now, MuddyWx said: anyone know how they assimilate this collected data so that it's available for models? like when would models ingest/use this new data? Usually it's the next model runs after all the data is ingested. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 1 minute ago, MuddyWx said: anyone know how they assimilate this collected data so that it's available for models? like when would models ingest/use this new data? probably 0z tonight 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 4 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: its been good up here I know one run took the low to CEF so they can’t all have been good . At any rate I’ll assume the east shift will continue for the rap crap . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 Just now, MuddyWx said: anyone know how they assimilate this collected data so that it's available for models? like when would models ingest/use this new data? If it’s anything like tropical I think it’d be 00z, which isn’t particularly helpful for the GP because forecasts are out…and they’re overnight runs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now