SnowCane Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 FWIW, which is probably not much, the mesos ARW, NSSL, and FV3 each respectively bring the low over the BM, just off the coast of NJ, and into NYC/CT, although if anyone can figure out where the nipple low is on the FV3, good luck. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx_observer Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 didn’t realize the winds were expected to be this high this far inland. That, plus 12-18” sounds like generator territory. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA 335 PM EDT Sun Mar 12 2023 MAZ002>004-008-009-026-130845- /O.UPG.KBOX.WS.A.0005.230314T0000Z-230315T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KBOX.WS.W.0004.230314T0000Z-230315T1200Z/ Western Franklin MA-Eastern Franklin MA-Northern Worcester MA- Western Hampshire MA-Western Hampden MA-Northern Middlesex MA- Including the cities of Charlemont, Greenfield, Orange, Barre, Fitchburg, Chesterfield, Blandford, and Ayer 335 PM EDT Sun Mar 12 2023 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM MONDAY TO 8 AM EDT WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy wet snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 12 to 18 inches. Winds gusting as high as 55 mph. * WHERE...the high terrain of western and central Massachusetts. * WHEN...From 8 PM Monday to 8 AM EDT Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible, with snow covered roads and near zero visibility at times. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...heavy wet snow combined with gusty winds will increase the risk for power outages. This will be a high impactful winter storm. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 1 minute ago, weatherwiz said: Latest WSSI has some extreme popping up. This is a very useful product, use it quite a bit. I like that map. Moderate here is reasonable....extreme popping in Berks and NW CT hills 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 3 minutes ago, SnowCane said: Watches up for Boston! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 10 minutes ago, DJln491 said: Box latest Random that PVD isn't in a range, but exact 6" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 A Nam like solution is a state of emergency for multiple states. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 NAM looks worse initially 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 ALY AFD says WSW will be hoisted once the model consensus occurs..HA, so basically a now cast event, I like how basically all models snow maps, and weather service forecast maps keep hammering my area, but I'm still not wavering from the 8-12 until we get within 24 hours and we have a solid alignment...one thing is certain though, this is going to be a bomb, fun times! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I like that map. Moderate here is reasonable....extreme popping in Berks and NW CT hills Extreme is for snow load which is not good when talking about the tree damage/power outage potential. Going to be very ugly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Not me in VT Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 1 minute ago, wx_observer said: didn’t realize the winds were expected to be this high this far inland. That, plus 12-18” sounds like generator territory. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA 335 PM EDT Sun Mar 12 2023 MAZ002>004-008-009-026-130845- /O.UPG.KBOX.WS.A.0005.230314T0000Z-230315T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KBOX.WS.W.0004.230314T0000Z-230315T1200Z/ Western Franklin MA-Eastern Franklin MA-Northern Worcester MA- Western Hampshire MA-Western Hampden MA-Northern Middlesex MA- Including the cities of Charlemont, Greenfield, Orange, Barre, Fitchburg, Chesterfield, Blandford, and Ayer 335 PM EDT Sun Mar 12 2023 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM MONDAY TO 8 AM EDT WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy wet snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 12 to 18 inches. Winds gusting as high as 55 mph. * WHERE...the high terrain of western and central Massachusetts. * WHEN...From 8 PM Monday to 8 AM EDT Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible, with snow covered roads and near zero visibility at times. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...heavy wet snow combined with gusty winds will increase the risk for power outages. This will be a high impactful winter storm. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Any one with Generator questions shoot me a message. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 15 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Early HREF. Through 12z Tuesday. Of interest to me: NW CT is getting smoked here, and except at the immediate shoreline we are seeing 2-4 in southern CT and some 4-6 in northern Fairfield and New Haven counties verbatim. That the map is showing even minor amounts of snow at 12z Tuesday in EMA is encouraging. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Watch popped onto my phone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Hrrr looks like euro. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 13 minutes ago, DJln491 said: Box latest Now we're getting more reasonable. WSW should be extended in some areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Just now, CoastalWx said: Hrrr looks like euro. Arguably even worse but pretty far out of its range… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderblizzard Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Big jump towards that more elongated solution on the long range HRRR. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 If we can get a mainly east-west elongated look we’ll do much better. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 I am starting to buy into the Elongated initial low into CT now. The question is how much does it torch the 925 layer in places like EMA and how much QPF is wasted as rain. As mentioned above, E-W elongation torches my area much less than the SE-NW one. also have to see how much of best dynamics get shunted off to the east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 I'm not buying anything until we see the NAM and gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 1 minute ago, Thunderblizzard said: Big jump towards that more elongated solution on the long range HRRR. The regionwide big event is gone. The double low issue that seems to rear it's ugly head in nina states is real. We can salvage a decent storm though. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Seems like it’s snowing across a good part of interior SNE by evening /early night tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: If we can get a mainly east-west elongated look we’ll do much better. It does prolong easterly flow though. Personally I hate it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Seems like it’s snowing across a good part of interior SNE by evening /early night tomorrow I’d say more after midnight to prior dawn Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Point and click is far more bullish than the WSW. I'd sign on the dotted in a heartbeat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: It does prolong easterly flow though. Personally I hate it. Yeah given my druthers the sooner consolidation the better. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 20 minutes ago, TalcottWx said: Two straight snowier maps after their first was released. The maps usually get snowier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Hrrr looks like euro. How much weight is a model that initializes hourly given past about 18 hours given? #TXwx/ and Texas subforum, it is used between 6 hour NAM runs for time of dryline or WAA storm initiation. I'd prefer the NAM or nested NAM at this range myself, partly because NAM is what I'd like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 I think consolidation is the best way to get this done. The funkier dual low scenarios mean people get screwed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 7 minutes ago, Thunderblizzard said: Big jump towards that more elongated solution on the long range HRRR. Sad This winter can diaf 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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