weathafella Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 1 minute ago, EastonSN+ said: I hope the EPS proves the op runs to be off it's rocker. It’s a tad colder but similar. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Just now, weathafella said: It’s a tad colder but similar. Yikes. I guess the EPS would follow the op this close in. It must have really cut back on totals then for southern parts of the forum . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 DST means it’ll be over an hour until we know NAM 18z verdict and it’s 2:53 already…. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: We saw that last year with the Jan blizzard. Although euro wasn’t chasing like it is now. It's just a weird look to me when you have essentially the same 250 mb and 500 mb look between the Euro and NAM. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Hopefully it’s an artifact but the double boobie lows are a bit of a rug pull and eps just bolstered the idea 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 1 minute ago, Kitz Craver said: Hopefully it’s an artifact but the double boobie lows are a bit of a rug pull and eps just bolstered the idea Yeah the fact that the EPS backed up the op runs is a huge red flag. GFS look awful too. Hopefully NAM saves the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 26 minutes ago, dendrite said: That’s how I’d lean right now. Let the DPVA rule the day. So you’re saying there’s a chance… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 26 minutes ago, dendrite said: That’s how I’d lean right now. Let the DPVA rule the day. So you’re saying there’s a chance… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 When do we expect first flakes?-I mean first drops? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 We’ve had some big runs in eastern ma, but 12z was kind of an overall step back, and eps looking like OP is not good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 It's rare to see Euro and Ukie in such disagreement this close in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: What about this one yesterday? Reasonable ? That could still happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Oh Nammy I need you, if there ever was a time for a coup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnno Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 1 minute ago, Kitz Craver said: Oh Nammy I need you, if there ever was a time for a coup Nammy had a few good ones, one of the big storms in 2011 I think ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 2 minutes ago, codfishsnowman said: That could still happen It Could… that’s exactly what the dual low/ IVT trough set up does, it allows for a prolonged invasion of warmth in an already shot airmass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 6 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: We’ve had some big runs in eastern ma, but 12z was kind of an overall step back, and eps looking like OP is not good Seeing ensembles less dispersive this close in is not shocking. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 48 hours out you can usually have some confidence in a 50/50 ECM/NAM blend, but they're kind of out on their own with the high totals for my area (in Lowell for this one). But even if you take a 20% reduction for ratios, it's still pretty high. NWS has been bumping up there maps all day. So that's a good sign. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HinghamBoss Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Appreciate all the NAM talk. Hard to ignore the Euro/EPS signal. Feels like we are starting to get our answer and narrow the goalposts - however disappointing that is for some folks. Present company included Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 12, 2023 Author Share Posted March 12, 2023 10 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Yeah the fact that the EPS backed up the op runs is a huge red flag. GFS look awful too. Hopefully NAM saves the day. Where are we see double lows on EPS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 12, 2023 Author Share Posted March 12, 2023 13 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said: Hopefully it’s an artifact but the double boobie lows are a bit of a rug pull and eps just bolstered the idea Link? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Tried to book at Blue Vista motor lodge in Florida mass at 2200’ closed for arrivals -Monday -Wednesday off season . Next Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Where are we see double lows on EPS? It’s the elongated look in the mean until consolidation similar to the op. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Tried to book at Blue Vista motor lodge in Florida mass at 2200’ closed for arrivals -Monday -Wednesday off season . Next Go to ORH county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Yes, the mean is stretched Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 12, 2023 Author Share Posted March 12, 2023 Just now, weathafella said: It’s the elongated look in the mean until consolidation similar to the op. Hasn't that been there? I keep thinking back to Jan 20 when that nip low was progged until like 24 hrs prior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 If the NAM and GFS go to that nipple into CT it's game over for EMA and many other areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 1 minute ago, 78Blizzard said: If the NAM and GFS go to that nipple into CT it's game over for EMA and many other areas. Not for my area...just a more moderate impact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJln491 Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Lots of nipple talk lol. Would someone mind posting a visual of this nipple? ty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 38 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Stick to your guns . Wether I agree with or not . It’s your ideas and if someone else wants to make their OWN map let them , but don’t let them effect yours . That’s how you learn and improve , I think lol His map makes a lot of sense Its realistic imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Not for my area...just a more moderate impact. I meant as far as a foot or more. Moderate impact here, too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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