RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 On 3/12/2023 at 4:59 PM, wx2fish said: Pivotals UK map seems awful bearish looking at temp profile and qpf Expand Yup. Not sure why but mid level track is good with crashing 925s tuesday morning. QueenOmega is going with it, GL to her. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 On 3/12/2023 at 4:47 PM, Sey-Mour Snow said: Aw thanks that’s the nicest thing anyone has ever said to us. Expand Hey as I said before, Scooter loves all. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 On 3/12/2023 at 4:52 PM, 78Blizzard said: It's 2 days. Expand I'll compromise (2 1/2) it's just a comment to express a point not exact time, Geez! Anyways from beginning to end, end being sometime Wed. Total accum by 8am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 On 3/12/2023 at 5:01 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yup. Not sure why but mid level track is good with crashing 925s tuesday morning Expand Tells me everything I need to know. On to the euro. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 On 3/12/2023 at 4:59 PM, Typhoon Tip said: wait, I don't get the reference ? Expand Merrimack valley ...I.E ash is boned ..I.e where he lives Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 On 3/12/2023 at 4:26 PM, EastonSN+ said: I will accept your deal if you throw out the GFS as well. So a NAM/EURO blend. Deal? Expand Deal. EE of yore. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 12, 2023 Author Share Posted March 12, 2023 On 3/12/2023 at 2:55 PM, EastonSN+ said: It would be cool if they developed an interactive tool where you can plus in any ratio and the algorithm would spit out the map. Expand Here ya go https://meteor.geol.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/bufkit/data/retro_map.html 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 12, 2023 Author Share Posted March 12, 2023 On 3/12/2023 at 3:04 PM, Ginx snewx said: Wish I had Cobb Bufkit for the Euro. Nam coming up Expand 27 on the Nam for ORH in Cobb Bufkit 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 I don’t envy anyone making a forecast for the public. Ukie and cmc are virtually nada here and the Nam and gfs are 15-18+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Nothing has my hood with a JP,, but I think they all hit me with double digits---well maybe not the ICON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mannynyc Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 On 3/12/2023 at 5:05 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I don’t envy anyone making a forecast for the public. Ukie and cmc are virtually nada here and the Nam and gfs are 15-18+ Expand No matter what happens TV mets are going to get some crazy calls Wednesday and Thursday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 UK is 5 degrees colder here at 18z Tuesday vs the 0z run and the 925 temps are also colder. But then the low at 0z is west of last night's run, so the thermals then go higher. It will all come down to the position of that low between 18z and 0z. The UK and Canadian are the furthest west, pending the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Uncle gives a lot more snow to eastern areas vs that map based on all levels and 925s. A lot more-a crushing for many. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 On 3/12/2023 at 4:59 PM, wx2fish said: Pivotals UK map seems awful bearish looking at temp profile and qpf Expand The Ukie has a pretty bad warm bias right at the sfc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 On 3/12/2023 at 5:05 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I don’t envy anyone making a forecast for the public. Ukie and cmc are virtually nada here and the Nam and gfs are 15-18+ Expand GFS/EURO/NAM blend crushes. the Canadians are hot garbage here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 On 3/12/2023 at 5:15 PM, SouthCoastMA said: GFS/EURO/NAM blend crushes. the Canadians are hot garbage here Expand We’ll see, hoping for a state snow day Tuesday. Maybe Wednesday too I’d this all comes together 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 GEFS looked a hair west of the op. It’s a very complicated setup of pinpointing where and how the parent low develops. It’s interesting though that the hi res and Canadian don’t chase the convection. If we could only get the nam to verify lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 On 3/12/2023 at 4:56 PM, olafminesaw said: What a forecasting nightmare. Fun to watch from the outside, with no skin in the game. Expand Orh airport at highest part of town seems as locked as any spot in SNE as well as Pete’s spot in E slope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Most important euro run of the season in 45 mins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 RAP rams this almost into CT shoreline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 12, 2023 Author Share Posted March 12, 2023 On 3/12/2023 at 5:21 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: Orh airport at highest part of town seems as locked as any spot in SNE as well as Pete’s spot in E slope Expand Yes east inflow everyone knows the rules. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 12, 2023 Author Share Posted March 12, 2023 On 3/12/2023 at 4:59 PM, Typhoon Tip said: wait, I don't get the reference ? Expand It's a joke about her music wanting you to take a toaster bath. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 On 3/12/2023 at 5:21 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: Orh airport at highest part of town seems as locked as any spot in SNE as well as Pete’s spot in E slope Expand Yeah I have a hard time seeing how ORH gets less than a foot unless this thing unravels with a strong trend toward primary being dominant…which guidance has trended away from in the past 24-36 hours. Toughest area in MA is prob like Ray and your area near ASH down 495 and then towards 128 and interior SE MA. I feel reasonably confident at a big storm for the 495 crowd but there’s enough lingering doubt that we get a sloppy 3-6” instead of double digits that I want to see another model run. A good euro run would increase confidence because the euro has been pretty bullish and relatively consistent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 On 3/12/2023 at 5:02 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: Merrimack valley ...I.E ash is boned ..I.e where he lives Expand I am all in on the spring train so I don't really care but that's a tough look for the MV and central CT. Plus I think there would be a lot of localized subsidence screw zones in that scenario. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Too early for rap, but good to track what it's doing. We now look for the rap to cave east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Important to reflect on the potential of this one. Verbatim, Canadian or nam is a widespread, damaging wet snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 3 19 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 On 3/12/2023 at 5:21 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: Orh airport at highest part of town seems as locked as any spot in SNE as well as Pete’s spot in E slope Expand Shocked by both. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 On 3/12/2023 at 5:26 PM, ORH_wxman said: Yeah I have a hard time seeing how ORH gets less than a foot unless this thing unravels with a strong trend toward primary being dominant…which guidance has trended away from in the past 24-36 hours. Toughest area in MA is prob like Ray and your area near ASH down 495 and then towards 128 and interior SE MA. I feel reasonably confident at a big storm for the 495 crowd but there’s enough lingering doubt that we get a sloppy 3-6” instead of double digits that I want to see another model run. A good euro run would increase confidence because the euro has been pretty bullish and relatively consistent. Expand Can you group this area in with ORH yet? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 On 3/12/2023 at 5:36 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Can you group this area in with ORH yet? Expand No, but your area is still looking pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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