WxWatcher007 Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: That is not alot of rain for just inland. Agree. Just sitting back and biding time on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Looks like it's pretty damned good outside of 495. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 1 minute ago, Allsnow said: That’s counting a lot of very marginal junk east of Worcester, at least early on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Man just stall that like 30 miles east and it's a different ballgame. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Just now, CoastalWx said: Basically it's probably 6" paste just west of low track and 12-18 or so in the ORH hills. Assuming more realistic solution and not 10:1 maps. Yeah I'd think closer to like 8-10" here rather than the 15 on the 10 to 1 maps...and then 12-18 for ORH county to outside 495, though probably 20 burgers in the elevations above 800-1000 feet. They'd clean up big time....Winter Hill scorpion bowls. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: We will take that WOR. There is a slight se trend on euro so there is wiggle room to spread the love and not shaft the west crew. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Loop and Snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 2 minutes ago, qg_omega said: It’s also extremely unlikely and doesn’t fit the pattern, another clown solution from the long range Euro. A storm forming way off shore and whiffing like Saturdays is far more likely how does that not fit the pattern? Tip went on a whole diatribe about how this kind of exotic solution can arise. you have a massive lobe of vorticity over S Canada coinciding with a PNA phase change. it's not a ridiculous concept that a large storm can result 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I thought it would move more to the NE, but at the last second, nrn stream comes in and yanks it NW. Thats how it was able to snow at least some up here, ha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 6 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Holy smokes, break out the sandbags in eastern ma. That’s literally the last thing we need. it’s definitely a lot of rain to start for many. Very marginal. To start, inevitable. We'd need that low track to shift about 100-125 miles SE to be able to flip over to some wet snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Just now, powderfreak said: well it is all downhill from this point out here, lol...that is a power problem for us here in SWCT, 33 with heavy snow like that. Would be fun at least 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 3 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: That’s counting a lot of very marginal junk east of Worcester, at least early on Yeah lower the ratios. It’s a 10:1 map. Do the math on 7:1 or average 5-6:1 going to 10:1 late. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 It does look by the end almost everyone would flash to some snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 In the grand scheme, a much better solution for interior SNE vs 00z. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 3 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Looks rainy 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Looks rainy I wouldn't take 10:1 to heart. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Great to have something to track , nice euro run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 1 minute ago, Spanks45 said: well it is all downhill from this point out here, lol...that is a power problem for us here in SWCT, 33 with heavy snow like that. Would be fun at least This is the rare time I would embrace a grid shutemdown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Keep in mind, wherever you are putting 0.75-1.00 in the bucket on 6 hourly QPF, it's going to be rapidly accumulating snow wherever the profile supports snow. The marginal airmass will matter more when it's lighter. During that CCB that's dropping 2" of QPF over ORH in 12 hours, you aren't going to have many thermal issues....but in the parts where you get like 0.04 per hour stuff, that's when the relatively milder BL and elevation comes more into play. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: I wouldn't take 10:1 to heart. The p-type maps seem to mirror 925mb temps on WxBell. Large area of 0C that then crashes SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I wouldn't take 10:1 to heart. At least mid level temps don’t look to cook interior elevations (along pike and south ) like tolland Or Orh on this one , like they have much of year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 I'll take my chances with that if it means I have to flirt with 2" of rain. that's the risk you have to take in mid-March anywhere near the coast 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Verbatim, Its not 10:1 ratios, But were arguing semantics at day 6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 9 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Sucks the air mass isn't a little colder for us down here. That track ain't bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: This is the rare time I would embrace a grid shutemdown. 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: This is the rare time I would embrace a grid shutemdown. clear some trees for your solar.....That run looks like a few of those tasty ensembles from this morning. Starts precipitating in WSNE Monday morning, finally stops in ESNE Wednesday evening....Sheesh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 It’s a huge improvement from 0Z-that’s the most important take home message. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Anywhere from Kev to Ray on that prog, I’m not worried about rain if that’s how it rolls out. I get it for the BOS-PVD axis crew though. Just another run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 My take is that the odds of a storm in this time period are increasing. The question will be where and if the low gets cut off and loops like some of the Big Boys have in the past have. This looks like it would occur in the general area SE of New England. A change of location of 100 miles of this will determine the sensible weather in any given area. So it makes no sense to dissect each run for specifics of rain/snow lines this far out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 18 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Yeah it's not a good solution outside of far interior/elevation. Even Kevin is rain verbatim. I think it's fine here. I don't agree. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 8 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: We will take that WOR. There is a slight se trend on euro so there is wiggle room to spread the love and not shaft the west crew. There is our perfect track! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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