wxsniss Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 For eSNE, BEST Euro solution yet!!!! Now a consolidated low by Tues 12z The dual low / disorganized solutions on guidance earlier today were steps in an evolution towards what we're now seeing on CMC / Euro... GFS is the clear outlier 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 EURO IS A BURIAL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mostman Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 3 minutes ago, MuddyWx said: damage Damn 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tiger_deF Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 40 minutes ago, weathafella said: Well-in about 15 minutes we will have the last Euro this "early" for 7-8 months. Unfortunately (or fortunately) daylight savings time is done. We're not getting back the early European again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MuddyWx Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 could smell a good hit coming with the other trends tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 I’ve seen 10:1 maps, which I’m sure are all over inflated in this setup, from 4 inches to over 30 over my house (Highland Mills NY, 35 miles due west of Danbury) in the last two days. I’ll gladly take the Euro as is but honestly I’m getting PTSD from all the different outcomes. May take a 24 hour break for sanities sake. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 18z Tues: 925mb winds: Surface: 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris12WX Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Drunk uncle now the right unkle...I bet my left nut EURO looks like that. Good news Ray gets to keep the left one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 1 minute ago, wxsniss said: 18z Tues: 925mb winds: Surface: Pretty, pretty good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 10 minutes ago, Henry's Weather said: Cue the accordion dude freaking out, asking if he should get on a plane Looks just like everybring else. AIT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 I'm not George but I think the B word is warranted and we'll likely see widespread warnings possibly by tomorrow night. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Hopefully with that a stream, the QPF lift a bit more north than progged. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Hopefully with that a stream, the QPF lift a bit more north than progged. 973 low on the arm of the Cape, Idk if you're gonna be struggling with QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Euro Canadian Ukie Navy Rgem and Nam all take the low over the cape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MuddyWx Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 I'll guess EPS will be a bit east of OP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 16 minutes ago, Henry's Weather said: Pretty, pretty good Reasons to "curb your enthusiasm" are shrinking... You could see since last night that momentum was east, and models just struggled to sort out low consolidation until converging on tonight's consensus among EPS, Euro, CMC, UK. GFS the clear outlier. Verbatim, the B word is warranted. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 18 minutes ago, Chris12WX said: Good news Ray gets to keep the left one I don't bet my marbles unless I know I will keep them. Enjoy it, boys....been telling you since early Novie this bitch was coming. This represented a brillant opportunity to intertwine seasonal with medium range forecasting. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 7 minutes ago, George001 said: Euro Canadian Ukie Navy Rgem and Nam all take the low over the cape Ensembles nailed this several days out....only moment that gave me pause was when OPs adjusted west just as N stream was sampled on Friday, but ultimately it was just OPs being OPs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 7 minutes ago, wxsniss said: Reasons to curb your enthusiasm are shrinking... You could see since last night that momentum was east, and models just struggled to sort out low consolidation until converging on tonight's consensus among EPS, Euro, CMC, UK. GFS the clear outlier. Verbatim, the B word is warranted. I'm interested to look at H7 to see if the porking in my area on QPF charts is warranted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Hey, @qg_omega....change it- 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 One thing I don't like a trend towards LBSW....this is going to town sooner, which mostly threatens my area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: One thing I don't like a trend towards LBSW....this is going to town sooner, which mostly threatens my area. I noticed that a good chunk of the snow is Tuesday during daylight hours into Tuesday night. That's sooner than many forecasts said previously. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 1 minute ago, 8611Blizz said: I noticed that a good chunk of the snow is Tuesday during daylight hours into Tuesday night. That's sooner than many forecasts said previously. That's awlays been what it was expected IMO. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 22 minutes ago, MuddyWx said: I'll guess EPS will be a bit east of OP I don't think it will be significant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: That's awlays been what it was expected IMO. Do you think that has any bearing on surface temps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Don't be suprised to see snow maps get more aggressive as we get to closer range...this is going to be big. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Just now, 8611Blizz said: Do you think that has any bearing on surface temps? Not unless you are on the outside looking in....if the storm materializes as forecast, it won't matter one iota. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 What tells you all you need to know about the BL not being much of an issue is that Kuchera is now a bit more aggressive than 10:1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Not unless you are on the outside looking in....if the storm materializes as forecast, it won't matter one iota. Yep, dynamics trump sun angle, anyday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 This is full steam ahead...take the flags down and tell Bruce to go the f8ck home. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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