wxsniss Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Any experience/thoughts on how the potential counterclockwise backing-in would impact snowfall rates? Akin to surge impacted by approach of hurricanes, I'm guessing the west/southwest-ward approach (vs. the more typical northeast-ward approach) might enhance snowfall, but not sure if there's any truth to that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 My guess is she runs straight up thru Chatham 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Will be 5 years ago Monday I had a 18 spot. 30 years ago Mon-Tue something else happened. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaDuke Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 1 hour ago, weathafella said: My oldest child was 15…lol. Love seeing the multi-generational exchage of knowledge/experience on this thead! Some of you are old as fuck... others just weening off the teet!!... lmao 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Gonna be a cool run. Northern S/w further south, while southern s/w slightly more meriodonal. If I were to guess, this will be a slightly earlier phase and capture than last run, which should be right over the islands or Cape 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 1 minute ago, DaDuke said: Love seeing the multi-generational exchage of knowledge/experience on this thead! Some of you are old as fuck... others just weening off the teet!!... lmao Yeah it's a pretty awesome thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 10 minutes ago, Henry's Weather said: My guess is she runs straight up thru Chatham S stream further south ..again and cut totals My guess on this one is congrats NW NJ NW CT and Maybe SE mass (not in reality but on this run ) Gradient May shift SE on this run even thou 18z was already way East . Really depends on the phasing of E lobe and rest thou 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 1 minute ago, Henry's Weather said: Gonna be a cool run. Northern S/w further south, while southern s/w slightly more meriodonal. If I were to guess, this will be a slightly earlier phase and capture than last run, which should be right over the islands or Cape Or however you spell it... meridional? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HinghamBoss Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 23 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Sure it could be more, but I’d say that is more realistic. Would be like getting two feet this winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 2 minutes ago, DaDuke said: Love seeing the multi-generational exchage of knowledge/experience on this thead! Some of you are old as fuck... others just weening off the teet!!... lmao Not sure where that puts me. I'm almost old as f*ck, but I haven't weened off the teet, either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 9 minutes ago, dendrite said: 30 years ago Mon-Tue something else happened. Can’t believe it’s been 3 decades since that storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 12, 2023 Author Share Posted March 12, 2023 10 minutes ago, dendrite said: 30 years ago Mon-Tue something else happened. Ton of sleet like 11 inches of mix Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Can’t believe it’s been 3 decades since that storm. Some of the most man obs you’ll ever see from Logan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 20 minutes ago, TalcottWx said: Painful model runs honestly. Tired of the back and forth. Have the edibles on standby. The roller coaster is only going to get more intense near the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 I don’t think nam is gonna do much north of route 2 here . I’m at hr 48 close to consolidating better but next hour could show no beans Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I don’t think nam is gonna do much north of route 2 here . I’m at hr 48 Wish pivotal wasn't such a b*tch to use on the phone 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 12, 2023 Author Share Posted March 12, 2023 "Why have you been on your phone all day?" "It's work related" "No it's not there is a storm coming right" "I ain't saying shit about a storm coming after you busted my balls about my failure in Jan" "So what day and time and how frigging much? " I don't know!" "You spent most of the day on your phone analyzing whatever talking to your weather friends and you don't know?" " Like I said it was work related ha" Waves her hand "you guys kill me" Lol true story tonight 2 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderblizzard Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Much more northern stream on the NAM compared to 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Just now, Thunderblizzard said: Much more northern stream on the NAM compared to 18z. It’s gonna be south . Both short waves Are Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: It’s south . Both short waves Are Still could miss most in SNE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 1 hour ago, NotSureWeather said: This winter has been bad, I know, but how do you get negative six inches? It’s called flaccid 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said: Still could miss most in SNE. Doubtful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Gonna go kablam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Looks ready to blitz CT /Orh /E mass away from coast a bit after 15z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 The soundings and 2M temps off the NAM are definitely not what I’d expect for a low near ISP. What a pasting around here. I can’t recall an evolution like that IMBY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 5 minutes ago, Henry's Weather said: A couple of hundred miles east of Indian river inlet. Maybe it’ll come straight north from there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Looks like the NAM figured it out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 2 hours ago, EMontpelierWhiteout said: They attempt to do that with their 9/10 and 1/10 maps, I guess. For reference, WPC sends the local WFO the whole distribution of their super ensemble for snowfall. Then the WFO forecasts snowfall, and this value becomes the mode of that WPC distribution (thus shifting the WPC forecast if it needs it). That sets the 90th/10th maps. Is their super ensemble the best? No. Snowfall falls outside the 90/10 range often enough, but that’s more so a limitation of the models going into it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 NAM is kind of lame. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now