ORH_wxman Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 It's still early (84h), but the 12z run looks more progressive with the main shortwave....so my guess is this solution will likely be east of 00z....but lets see if there are other factors that counter that. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lurker Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: It's still early (84h), but the 12z run looks more progressive with the main shortwave....so my guess is this solution will likely be east of 00z....but lets see if there are other factors that counter that. Not shocking if correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Northern stream is also solidly southeast of the 00z position by 96h. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Northern stream is also solidly southeast of the 00z position by 96h. Quite a bit too. Yep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Yep east and looking good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 This is gonna be a good run based on what I’m seeing at 120 with the secondary right on HSE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Will mentioned a bit earlier about this event's modeled trends and lack consistency are not like multiple other big dog events; wiggle room is limited. Most of the biggies had much more agreement across the model schemes 5 to 7 days. I say most, not all. There is still plenty of room for this to be a big event. The pattern is certainly not as stable as I would like to see it at this time. I much rather be debating where the best banding is most likely to setup and how transition lines / coastal front issues will impact snow amounts. Watching the uncertainty about how the confluence plays out and whether or not the spike in western ridging will be too much too soon makes it hard to feel good about a classic big dog event. Still plenty of room for some one to get buried but my first sense back a day or two ago was this had a decent chance to feature a widespread heavy snow... Right now, I'm still optimistic for a decent storm but the coverage of the best snows could be more limited to than first anticipated. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Euro looks really good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Oh boy! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Even with the east move, still very marginal at 925 over most of SNE. Going to need this to really intensify quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Just now, George001 said: Euro looks really good AIT....trend has been clear. It had to do this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 16 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: 12z Korean is like 1888 shifted a bit east lol Careful, you're going to rile up Tolland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 980 on the bm at 138! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Looks like a lot of rain. 2 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Interior pummeling. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Just now, CoastalWx said: Even with the east move, still very marginal at 925 over most of SNE. Going to need this to really intensify quickly. Even the GFS was marginal to start, that part seems inevitable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Just now, CT Rain said: Looks like a lot of rain. Must have kept N stream seperate..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Snowy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Loops into Newport RI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Occludes as it tries to climb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 LBS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Just now, weathafella said: Occludes as it tries to climb Fuji's west. That's a Berks to Dave hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 1035 high coming down into the plains, icing on the literal cake of our winter season....would be nice to banana that over top Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 But to Scooter’s point, 925s are extremely marginal. This would need its dynamics to work and that’s always harder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Just now, weathafella said: But to Scooter’s point, 925s are extremely marginal. This would need its dynamics to work and that’s always harder. Yeah it's not a good solution outside of far interior/elevation. Even Kevin is rain verbatim. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HinghamBoss Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 G'night winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Loops into Newport RI. Sound like the Korean...just tamer, obviously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Lot of pellets in there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Man, to get that 100 miles SE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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