8611Blizz Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 GFS does go apeshit from about hour 75 to 85. Long enough to bring the goods. Of course if that low position is off by a bit... well I'll worry about that 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ariof Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 18 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Turning the clocks ahead makes us one hour closer to May 1st!!! One less hour of morch 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 I know it seems like the models are a bit inconsistent with where the main low will track. I think you're seeing them this evening splitting the lows because it's not sure exactly where they'll consolidate. I'm still thinking around the elbow of the cape is a good spot, I don't think it's going to be that far east just as I don't think it's going to be going into Connecticut. I do think that the 00z runs tonight, and even 12Z tomorrow should let us know what's going to happen. After that. It's just a bit of wiggle here and there. I hope that the storm this time gives everybody but they were hoping for all winter. And it has that potential to do so!!!! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 31 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Winter storm watch here yet no accumulation forecast for Greenfield. Just be aware that the zones don’t mention accumulation after the third period. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Box map is an absolute mess . I mean beyond lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Box map is an absolute mess . I mean beyond lol lol 1 1 9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: lol You wonder if Stevie Wonder was at the desk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherWilly Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 I didn't realize the low was forecasted to go over Hartford. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Just now, WeatherWilly said: I didn't realize the low was forecasted to go over Hartford. It’s not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 The weather hotline is seeing increased call volume 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnno Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Man keep that for posterity later, don’t see many cut offs like that between zones lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 The storm goes around the elbow of the Cape because the center pulls a counterclockwise loop from initially moving close to the Benchmark, then being blocked from the receding storm. Depending on which model your looking at. But a track that would be most favorable for us here in Eastern Mass with the exception of the far SouthShore, Cape and islands would be a track just like it does initially (close to the Benchmark) and then a smaller loop south of the Cape and Islands then tracks east/northeast to a spot under Nova Scotia. That would just about do it. That would result in a quicker turn over to snow after a period of mix on the onset and we'd receive the heaviest omega the storm would have to offer and then pull slowly away. It would be a good for sure after such a lack luster season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 3 minutes ago, Johnno said: Man keep that for posterity later, don’t see many cut offs like that between zones lol You just have to assume it was a huge mistake and someone completely screwed up . Maybe it was bring your infant to work day in the office and the baby took the mouse over . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 That does end at 8pm Tuesday. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Box map is an absolute mess . I mean beyond lol Agree this will likely change… unless anticipating further east all happens after 8pm Tuesday, and guidance has trended later with the further east captures Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 If the low was a little more west on hour 78 shown on the GFS a lot of us would get buried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 11, 2023 Author Share Posted March 11, 2023 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Just saw the GFS. Jesus. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tolland Death Band Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Those box maps are rarely wrong especially when showing a downcast depiction. Weigh it, factor it, pause a bit on the breathless exuberance 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: You wonder if Stevie Wonder was at the desk They cut if off at 8pm Tue which is strange too. Make the map for the entire storm or don't make one at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 11, 2023 Author Share Posted March 11, 2023 1 hour ago, weatherwiz said: Does this mean bars close an hour earlier? Stay open 2 becomes 1. Nah they close at 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 The phrase i like to use is shit or get off the pot. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Stay open 2 becomes 1. Nah they close at 2 Unfortunately I am about 2 hours away from bed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Stay open 2 becomes 1. Nah they close at 2 Do they have to close at 1:59 because 2 becomes 3? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 11 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: lol Bruins game beer shenanigans??? I mean, come on man! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crownweather Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: You wonder if Stevie Wonder was at the desk It makes the snow map I created look like something else for sure. Went with 10-15” south of ORH and 15-20” ORH to Route 2 . CT River Valley may get shadowed and see 5-10”. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 7 minutes ago, wxsniss said: Agree this will likely change… unless anticipating further east all happens after 8pm Tuesday, and guidance has trended later with the further east captures They are obviously very gun shy with the idea of a a Strong CCB thru 8pm Thursday . one of the more consistent features (if there has been one ) is the N stream heavy precip over Catskills and Berks and to a lesser degree the monads and they are keying in on that . Also they probably have a good bit of continuity in their forecast and I think they would probably up elevations in NE CT and I would guess that if the CCB works out you can tack on 6-9” to that map? Where that hits Id like to see their 10% or maximum map to see their confidence level which I assume is low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 2 minutes ago, Tolland Death Band said: Those box maps are rarely wrong especially when showing a downcast depiction. Weigh it, factor it, pause a bit on the breathless exuberance I can’t recall many that were correct. They have 1-2” in places that couid see 1-2’ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 1 hour ago, weatherwiz said: Does this mean bars close an hour earlier? Were going forward 1 hr not back lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 4 minutes ago, wxsniss said: Agree this will likely change… unless anticipating further east all happens after 8pm Tuesday, and guidance has trended later with the further east captures a little more on par for what I was thinking for mby, but ALY has me at 18-24, I thought the three stations were going to collaborate with the snow maps, after the debacle a few years ago, I think the box map is what shows all of SNE, no? but I'd be shocked if we get more than a foot here and BDL gets like 2-4, that is a sick gradient... although, I got 1.4 this morning and just up the hill a bit they got close to 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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