wxsniss Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Actually fairly decent <100 mile consensus for low track, furthest NW tracks into SE SNE, most tracks seem to be around islands / elbow / east of the Cape Quick glance looks like 12z Euro only one with dual low / 12z UK with nipple, but otherwise NAM/GFS/CMC look consolidated Momentum seems to be east with a more dominating SRN shortwave that gets boosted but not stretched by infusion of NRN energy... for ESNE, good trend to see given that SRN shortwave was sampled this morning 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Just now, weatherwiz said: FWIW, these snow maps are the reason why last night was overblown. That entire system was completely over forecast from the upper-Midwest, northern Ohio Valley, and here. At what point…when will it happen…that people realize they’re TRASH There’s a reason we call them clown maps. They are fun to look at but they aren’t reality. They can be ok in uniform storms with a cold thermal profile but otherwise you need to really look at soundings and midlevels. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: That would probably be a foot of slush here. Garage roof down there on his/ hers matching 2012 white Acuras? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 1 minute ago, weathafella said: If we blend reggie and NAM everyone is happy. Unfortunately they are both way outside of their useful times. You can wipe with both right now. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 10 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: This storm is going to cause aneurysms. Ooof, don't want to think about that right now after a trip to the emergency room last evening. Ended up being some inner ear benign vertigo thing. Scary shit when you've never felt anything near like it before!!! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 1 minute ago, ROOSTA said: Inside of 24hrs? Thermal profile. Used in warm season for QPF and timing. I mean, isn’t it a better model 24 hours? So what does the strength of position in this last one tell you about was likely to evolve. Seems unnecessary to focus on 84 with that model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Normally I hate happy hour GFS runs but I am interested to see if the GFS continues the trend of tracking the closed H5 low further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 18z Icon still has a dual low with the western one going into ginxys hood. No good for most of SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 2 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: It was underblown here... What did you get? I went to sleep with rain drops on the noggin when letting the dog out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: BB Ok I’m stumped…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Just now, weathafella said: Ok I’m stumped…. Buzzards Bay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 1 minute ago, Amped said: Normally I hate happy hour GFS runs but I am interested to see if the GFS continues the trend of tracking the closed H5 low further south. LFG! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Buzzards Bay And I was guessing beer/bourbon 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 4 minutes ago, weathafella said: If we blend reggie and NAM everyone is happy. Unfortunately they are both way outside of their useful times. Blending two wrongs to make a right? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 1 minute ago, dryslot said: You can wipe with both right now. If the GFS comes out with a track a little further to the right, even if not as far out as the NAM, many here will be changing their tune. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Watches for 12+ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 2 minutes ago, Amped said: Normally I hate happy hour GFS runs but I am interested to see if the GFS continues the trend of tracking the closed H5 low further south. I will be UP ALL NIGHT to see if the 00z EURO does it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Just now, weathafella said: And I was guessing beer/bourbon Lol . That too . Throw in boobs on the barby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 1 minute ago, weathafella said: And I was guessing beer/bourbon I thought it was beer belly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Blending two wrongs to make a right? It’s kind of like negative number x negative number =positive 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 18z Icon still has a dual low with the western one going into ginxys hood. No good for most of SNE. tossed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I thought it was beer belly. Bifurcated bongs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 2 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: I mean, isn’t it a better model 24 hours? So what does the strength of position in this last one tell you about was likely to evolve. Seems unnecessary to focus on 84 with that model How can it go wrong? One should never base a forecast on the NAM in this type of set-up beyond 2days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 1 minute ago, 78Blizzard said: If the GFS comes out with a track a little further to the right, even if not as far out as the NAM, many here will be changing their tune. I would not be hugging any model run right now from any of them as every run is a different outcome. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Looks like Wiz map Where is his map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Where is his map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 12 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 10 to 1 is April 97 for ORH. Puke city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 CMC and RGEM almost exact now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 3 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: If the GFS comes out with a track a little further to the right, even if not as far out as the NAM, many here will be changing their tune. Nah-they still are mostly worthless at that timeframe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 3 minutes ago, weathafella said: And I was guessing beer/bourbon I use to love my boilermakers! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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